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Unseasonably stout wave in Caribbean bringing enhanced showers and tstorms for several days, but lacks model support for development 5/26
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 271 (Idalia) , Major: 271 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 271 (Idalia) Major: 271 (Idalia)
 


News Talkback >> 2004 News Talkbacks

Ricreig
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Posts: 431
Loc: Orlando, Fl
Re: New Invest
      Tue Oct 12 2004 06:17 PM

Thankfully, this system even if it becomes a TS or more, will likely NOT affect the US mainiland. There is plenty of sheer and the remains of several cold fronts that should provide weakness in the ridges to the north that *should* allow this system to migrate west, then north well before causing the US problems. This could be considered negative wishcasting, but seems reasonable given the current and forecast weather patterns.

The ones I worry most about is the stalled, tail-ends of fronts pushing into the Western Gulf of Mexico and developing into 'home-brew' tropical cyclones ala Matthew, but having real possibilities of becoming full fledged TS or Hurricanes. These storms tend to move E-NE and often affect the Eastern Gulf from New Orleans around the big bend to S. Florida. With luck, all of the US is out of the tropical storm business for the year, but as they say, "it ain't over till the Fat Lady sings"...which isn't likely till November-ish.

--------------------
Richard
A forecast is NOT a promise!

Edited by Ricreig (Tue Oct 12 2004 06:19 PM)

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Subtropical Storm Nicole Develops Near Bermuda Ed DunhamAdministrator Tue Oct 12 2004 06:17 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Storm Nicole Develops Near Bermuda Keith234   Sun Oct 10 2004 09:40 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Storm Nicole Develops Near Bermuda Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sun Oct 10 2004 10:00 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Storm Nicole Develops Near Bermuda Keith234   Sun Oct 10 2004 10:19 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Storm Nicole Develops Near Bermuda Terra   Sun Oct 10 2004 10:06 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Systems Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sun Oct 10 2004 10:26 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Storm Nicole Develops Near Bermuda ShanaTX   Sun Oct 10 2004 10:02 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Storm Nicole Develops Near Bermuda Keith234   Sun Oct 10 2004 10:36 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Storm Nicole Develops Near Bermuda ShanaTX   Sun Oct 10 2004 10:46 PM
. * * Hurricane Season 2004 Website recmod   Mon Oct 11 2004 10:59 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Season 2004 Website Anony   Mon Oct 11 2004 04:07 PM
. * * Large waves from Karl Domino   Mon Oct 11 2004 09:02 AM
. * * Nicole reclassified to Tropical Storm danielwAdministrator   Mon Oct 11 2004 02:26 AM
. * * Re: Nicole reclassified to Tropical Storm Ed DunhamAdministrator   Mon Oct 11 2004 02:55 AM
. * * Re: Nicole reclassified to Tropical Storm Steve   Mon Oct 11 2004 03:05 AM
. * * Re: Nicole reclassified to Tropical Storm danielwAdministrator   Mon Oct 11 2004 02:48 AM
. * * Nicole thoughts Clark   Mon Oct 11 2004 03:20 AM
. * * Re: Nicole thoughts Matt033   Mon Oct 11 2004 03:28 AM
. * * Re: Nicole thoughts Clark   Mon Oct 11 2004 04:13 AM
. * * Re: Nicole thoughts Matt033   Mon Oct 11 2004 07:03 AM
. * * Re: Nicole thoughts Keith234   Mon Oct 11 2004 02:42 PM
. * * Re: Nicole thoughts Clark   Mon Oct 11 2004 05:16 PM
. * * Re: Nicole thoughts Keith234   Mon Oct 11 2004 05:26 PM
. * * Overview of Current Weather Keith234   Mon Oct 11 2004 07:58 PM
. * * Back after a nice respite (for me) LI Phil   Mon Oct 11 2004 08:54 PM
. * * Re: Back after a nice respite (for me) Keith234   Mon Oct 11 2004 09:10 PM
. * * Re: Back after a nice respite (for me) LI Phil   Mon Oct 11 2004 09:23 PM
. * * Re: Back after a nice respite (for me) Redbird   Tue Oct 12 2004 09:42 PM
. * * Re: Back after a nice respite (for me) Keith234   Mon Oct 11 2004 10:29 PM
. * * New Invest Bloodstar   Mon Oct 11 2004 10:42 PM
. * * Re: New Invest Keith234   Mon Oct 11 2004 11:44 PM
. * * Re: New Invest HumanCookie   Tue Oct 12 2004 12:37 AM
. * * Re: New Invest Ricreig   Tue Oct 12 2004 06:17 PM
. * * Current Weather Overview 10/12 Keith234   Tue Oct 12 2004 08:48 PM
. * * Thoughts from Thomas WXMAN RICHIE   Tue Oct 12 2004 09:39 PM
. * * Re: Thoughts from Thomas LONNY307   Wed Oct 13 2004 11:55 AM
. * * Re: Thoughts from Thomas Storm Cooper   Wed Oct 13 2004 02:40 PM
. * * Re: Back after a nice respite (for me) Katie   Mon Oct 11 2004 08:57 PM
. * * Re: Back after a nice respite (for me) GuppieGrouper   Mon Oct 11 2004 11:34 PM
. * * Re: Nicole thoughts DroopGB31   Mon Oct 11 2004 07:34 PM
. * * Re: Interesting Read RedingtonBeachGuy   Mon Oct 11 2004 02:39 AM
. * * Re: Subtropical Storm Nicole Develops Near Bermuda Matt033   Sun Oct 10 2004 10:46 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Storm Nicole Develops Near Bermuda Keith234   Sun Oct 10 2004 07:19 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Storm Nicole Develops Near Bermuda Keith234   Sun Oct 10 2004 08:51 PM
. * * More Records For 2004 Hurricane Season recmod   Sun Oct 10 2004 09:17 PM
. * * Re: More Records For 2004 Hurricane Season ShanaTX   Sun Oct 10 2004 10:06 PM
. * * Re: More Records For 2004 Hurricane Season Keith234   Sun Oct 10 2004 09:25 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Storm Nicole Develops Near Bermuda Rabbit   Sun Oct 10 2004 05:02 PM

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