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Area in the MDR Atlantic being watched for later next week, 20% chance of development. Leeward Islands need to watch closely.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 18 (Beryl) , Major: 331 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 331 (Idalia) Major: 331 (Idalia)
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Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)


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Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
Re: Bahamas death toll.
      Sat Oct 23 2004 05:16 PM

An effort should have been made to verify the facts before submitting this type of a post. It took me about 12 seconds to determine that the loss of life attributed to Frances was 23 and the loss of life attributed to Ivan was 90 - and thats for the entire track. A Category V storm surge is only about 25 feet - and thats with a direct hit. In the Caribbean Sea (deep water and no nearshore 'shelf' effect) the maximum storm surge is probably more like 15 feet It is unlikely that a 15 foot storm surge would extend inland over a half mile (probably less). In other words, Grand Cayman could never be inundated by a hurricane. Loss of life could still be high, but in this case (Ivan) it wasn't. The port is open on Grand Cayman and utilities (mostly power) are still being restored.
ED

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Bahamas death toll. Spike Sat Oct 23 2004 05:16 PM
. * * Re: Bahamas death toll. Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sat Oct 23 2004 05:16 PM
. * * Re: Bahamas death toll. LI Phil   Sat Oct 23 2004 06:25 PM
. * * Re: Bahamas death toll. hahaaha   Sat Oct 23 2004 01:26 PM

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