Things have been pretty quiet for awhile - and most of us are grateful for that after such a hectic summer. An old frontal boundary is interacting with an upper level low and firing convection near 15N 65W. A small chance that a tropical or subtropical cyclone could develop in the northeast Caribbean Sea in the next day or two. Shear is on the increase though, so the odds are slim for any organized development. Even without development, heavy rainfall is likely in the northeast islands. The rest of the basin is quiet.
ED
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