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POLO CROSSING BAJA. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE IN AND AROUND EL PASO, TX TONIGHT. LARGEST MODERATE RISK FOR FLOODING IN HISTORY SPANS SEVERAL STATES AND DAYS.

Days since last Hurricane Landfall — US Any: 719 (Milton), US Major: 719 (Milton), FL Any: 719 (Milton), FL Major: 719 (Milton)

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General Discussion >> Other Storm Basins

Keith234
Storm Chaser

Reged:
Posts: 921
Loc: 40.7N/73.3W Long Island

Re: Model Runs and thoughts on TD-1 (E Pac)
Tue May 17 2005 05:45 PM

The problem is, most of all models are not purely dynamic-they are more so hybrid (staticscal and dynamical). The fact that there is virtually no climatology for this storm doesn't help forecasting, but I like what the NHC is doing, although I would favor a bit higher. Just go back to your basics, it's forming in a a pool of 30 C+ waters, and no shear with aided outflow from jet above. To top it off it's moving slow! I hope this isn't a bad omen.

--------------------
"I became insane with horrible periods of sanity"
Edgar Allan Poe

Post Extras

Entire topic
Subject	Posted by	Posted on
90E Strengthens	hurricane_run	Tue May 17 2005 05:45 PM
Re: 90E Strengthens	Bloodstar	Tue May 17 2005 03:20 PM
Re: 90E Strengthens	Storm Hunter	Tue May 17 2005 03:32 PM
Re: 90E Strengthens	Clark	Tue May 17 2005 04:05 PM
Re: 90E Strengthens	hurricane_run	Tue May 17 2005 04:25 PM
Re: 90E Strengthens	hurricane_run	Tue May 17 2005 04:27 PM
Re: 90E Strengthens	Storm Hunter	Tue May 17 2005 04:33 PM
Re: 90E Strengthens	hurricane_run	Tue May 17 2005 05:14 PM
Re: 90E Strengthens	Storm Hunter	Tue May 17 2005 05:19 PM
Model Runs and thoughts on TD-1 (E Pac)	Bloodstar	Tue May 17 2005 05:31 PM
Re: Model Runs and thoughts on TD-1 (E Pac)	Keith234	Tue May 17 2005 05:45 PM
Re: Model Runs and thoughts on TD-1 (E Pac)	hurricane_run	Tue May 17 2005 06:14 PM
Re: Model Runs and thoughts on TD-1 (E Pac)	Lysis	Tue May 17 2005 08:05 PM
Re: Model Runs and thoughts on TD-1 (E Pac)	hurricane_run	Tue May 17 2005 08:29 PM
Re: Model Runs and thoughts on TD-1 (E Pac)	Lysis	Tue May 17 2005 08:33 PM
Re: Model Runs and thoughts on TD-1 (E Pac)	Keith234	Tue May 17 2005 08:48 PM
Re: Model Runs and thoughts on TD-1 (E Pac)	Lysis	Tue May 17 2005 08:58 PM
Re: Model Runs and thoughts on TD-1 (E Pac)	LI Phil	Tue May 17 2005 09:05 PM
Re: Model Runs and thoughts on TD-1 (E Pac)	Lysis	Tue May 17 2005 09:17 PM
Re: Model Runs and thoughts on TD-1 (E Pac)	B.C.Francis	Wed May 18 2005 09:27 AM
Re: Model Runs and thoughts on TD-1 (E Pac)	Lysis	Wed May 18 2005 05:24 PM
Re: Model Runs and thoughts on TD-1 (E Pac)	Cycloneye11	Wed May 18 2005 06:53 PM
Re: Model Runs and thoughts on TD-1 (E Pac)	B.C.Francis	Thu May 19 2005 12:35 PM
Re: Adrian Update June 1. 2005	danielw	Wed Jun 01 2005 10:07 PM
Re: Adrian Update June 1. 2005	LadyStorm	Thu Jun 02 2005 06:18 AM
Re: Model Runs and thoughts on TD-1 (E Pac)	LI Phil	Wed May 18 2005 10:49 PM
Re: Model Runs and thoughts on TD-1 (E Pac)	LI Phil	Wed May 18 2005 05:58 PM
Re: 90E Strengthens	hurricane_run	Tue May 17 2005 04:18 PM
Re: 90E Strengthens	rmbjoe1954	Tue May 17 2005 04:23 PM
TD 1-E forms	Cycloneye11	Tue May 17 2005 04:26 PM
Re: 90E Strengthens	hurricane_run	Tue May 17 2005 03:42 PM
Re: 90E Strengthens	LI Phil	Tue May 17 2005 03:57 PM
Re: 90E Strengthens	hurricane_run	Tue May 17 2005 03:29 PM

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