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Keith234
Storm Chaser


Reged:
Posts: 921
Loc: 40.7N/73.3W Long Island
Re: Model Runs and thoughts on TD-1 (E Pac)
      Tue May 17 2005 05:45 PM

The problem is, most of all models are not purely dynamic-they are more so hybrid (staticscal and dynamical). The fact that there is virtually no climatology for this storm doesn't help forecasting, but I like what the NHC is doing, although I would favor a bit higher. Just go back to your basics, it's forming in a a pool of 30 C+ waters, and no shear with aided outflow from jet above. To top it off it's moving slow! I hope this isn't a bad omen.

--------------------
"I became insane with horrible periods of sanity"
Edgar Allan Poe


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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* 90E Strengthens hurricane_run Tue May 17 2005 05:45 PM
. * * Re: 90E Strengthens Bloodstar   Tue May 17 2005 03:20 PM
. * * Re: 90E Strengthens Storm Hunter   Tue May 17 2005 03:32 PM
. * * Re: 90E Strengthens Clark   Tue May 17 2005 04:05 PM
. * * Re: 90E Strengthens hurricane_run   Tue May 17 2005 04:25 PM
. * * Re: 90E Strengthens hurricane_run   Tue May 17 2005 04:27 PM
. * * Re: 90E Strengthens Storm Hunter   Tue May 17 2005 04:33 PM
. * * Re: 90E Strengthens hurricane_run   Tue May 17 2005 05:14 PM
. * * Re: 90E Strengthens Storm Hunter   Tue May 17 2005 05:19 PM
. * * Model Runs and thoughts on TD-1 (E Pac) Bloodstar   Tue May 17 2005 05:31 PM
. * * Re: Model Runs and thoughts on TD-1 (E Pac) Keith234   Tue May 17 2005 05:45 PM
. * * Re: Model Runs and thoughts on TD-1 (E Pac) hurricane_run   Tue May 17 2005 06:14 PM
. * * Re: Model Runs and thoughts on TD-1 (E Pac) Lysis   Tue May 17 2005 08:05 PM
. * * Re: Model Runs and thoughts on TD-1 (E Pac) hurricane_run   Tue May 17 2005 08:29 PM
. * * Re: Model Runs and thoughts on TD-1 (E Pac) Lysis   Tue May 17 2005 08:33 PM
. * * Re: Model Runs and thoughts on TD-1 (E Pac) Keith234   Tue May 17 2005 08:48 PM
. * * Re: Model Runs and thoughts on TD-1 (E Pac) Lysis   Tue May 17 2005 08:58 PM
. * * Re: Model Runs and thoughts on TD-1 (E Pac) LI Phil   Tue May 17 2005 09:05 PM
. * * Re: Model Runs and thoughts on TD-1 (E Pac) Lysis   Tue May 17 2005 09:17 PM
. * * Re: Model Runs and thoughts on TD-1 (E Pac) B.C.Francis   Wed May 18 2005 09:27 AM
. * * Re: Model Runs and thoughts on TD-1 (E Pac) Lysis   Wed May 18 2005 05:24 PM
. * * Re: Model Runs and thoughts on TD-1 (E Pac) Cycloneye11   Wed May 18 2005 06:53 PM
. * * Re: Model Runs and thoughts on TD-1 (E Pac) B.C.Francis   Thu May 19 2005 12:35 PM
. * * Re: Adrian Update June 1. 2005 danielwAdministrator   Wed Jun 01 2005 10:07 PM
. * * Re: Adrian Update June 1. 2005 LadyStorm   Thu Jun 02 2005 06:18 AM
. * * Re: Model Runs and thoughts on TD-1 (E Pac) LI Phil   Wed May 18 2005 10:49 PM
. * * Re: Model Runs and thoughts on TD-1 (E Pac) LI Phil   Wed May 18 2005 05:58 PM
. * * Re: 90E Strengthens hurricane_run   Tue May 17 2005 04:18 PM
. * * Re: 90E Strengthens rmbjoe1954   Tue May 17 2005 04:23 PM
. * * TD 1-E forms Cycloneye11   Tue May 17 2005 04:26 PM
. * * Re: 90E Strengthens hurricane_run   Tue May 17 2005 03:42 PM
. * * Re: 90E Strengthens LI Phil   Tue May 17 2005 03:57 PM
. * * Re: 90E Strengthens hurricane_run   Tue May 17 2005 03:29 PM

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