Gulf area up to 60% chance for weak development. A new Atlantic system is now up with a 20% chance for development, FL east coast and GA coast should watch for mid-late this week.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any
290 (Idalia)
, Major:
290 (Idalia)
Florida - Any: 290 (Idalia)
Major:
290 (Idalia)
Javlin -- yes, that is a reflection of the subtropical jet around 20N in the vertical wind shear profiles. Interesting to note that if it can get into what is termed the right entrance region -- think of winds going west-to-east, just south of the western extent of the strongest winds -- rising motion may be enhanced within the storm. At its likely location, that may just add to the precipitation troubles on the northward facing beaches/mountain ranges (as the storm passes).
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