well if you were looking at CLIPER (CLimate and PERsistance) it would be bsically useless. GFDL has been giving this storm a lot of stength. So it depends and that is why there is more then one model. Some models are statistical and others are dynamic but most are hybrids. So on one factor (climatology) they may be skewed but others maybe right on. Well just have to wait and see.
Any of the experts want to add?
P.S Clark and Jason and others may have better input.
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