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#93L now a small better defined circulation with deep convection set to come ashore N of Tampico, MX. Recon investigating. Still 40% odds.

Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 299 (Idalia) , Major: 299 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 299 (Idalia) Major: 299 (Idalia)

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News Talkback >> 2002 News Articles and Talkback

Marktropic
Unregistered

Re: recon
Tue Sep 17 2002 11:48 AM

Well TD# 10 developes a bit more south than I thought last night. This does change things a bit but in what direction its unsure. The path forcasted should be a bit west of the previous one so western Cuba or eastern Yucatan is a possibility. Latest satellite pictures do show a LLCC with developing thundestorms on its east and north side. By 5pm I do expect T.S. Isidore. So where next? Read this and it will help:
BOTH THE AVN AND CANADIAN MODELS HINT AT
REDEVELOPMENT OF A CENTER ALONG THE NORTH COAST OF CUBA UNDERNEATH
THE MOST FAVORABLE UPPER-ENVIRONMENT. THIS SCENARIO SEEMS UNLIKELY.
THE NOGAPS AND GFDL WANT TO TAKE THE DEPRESSION NORTHWARD OVER
CENTRAL AND WESTERN CUBA...RESPECTIVELY. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST
SHOWS A SOFTER NORTHWESTWARD TURN IN AN ATTEMPT TO BE MORE
CONSISTENT WITH THE 500 MB AVN AND UKMET LARGE SCALE FORECAST
FIELDS. PERHAPS COINCIDENTALLY...THIS FORECAST IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT
WITH THE BAM AND LBAR MODELS.

So I believe the forcast track will change over the next 24 hours to the east and how far will have towait. As for TD#10 moving west I don't think it is its moving w-nw but very slow and thats another problem so read this:
BECAUSE THE CIRCULATION CENTER IS NEW...THE INITIAL MOTION IS VERY
UNCERTAIN...BUT THE BEST ESTIMATE IS 270/8...PERHAPS LESS.
So we will wait and see at 5pm when new more reliable information is out until we get down to exact track.

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
To Be or Not To Be?	CFHC	Tue Sep 17 2002 11:48 AM
Re: To Be or Not To Be?	Anonymous	Tue Sep 17 2002 05:58 PM
Re: To Be or Not To Be?	Anonymous	Tue Sep 17 2002 04:55 PM
Not YET	Anonymous	Tue Sep 17 2002 04:58 PM
Re: To Be or Not To Be?	Anonymous	Tue Sep 17 2002 04:51 PM
td 10/11	HanKFranK	Tue Sep 17 2002 05:00 PM
Re: td 10/11	Joe	Tue Sep 17 2002 05:12 PM
Re: td 10/11	Anonymous	Tue Sep 17 2002 05:17 PM
Re: td 10/11	Joe	Tue Sep 17 2002 05:19 PM
Td 10	Kevin	Tue Sep 17 2002 05:52 PM
Re: To Be or Not To Be?	Anonymous	Tue Sep 17 2002 04:37 PM
Re: To Be or Not To Be?	andy1tom	Tue Sep 17 2002 04:44 PM
Re: To Be or Not To Be?	Rich B	Tue Sep 17 2002 04:46 PM
TD# 11 Discussion	Mike	Tue Sep 17 2002 04:52 PM
Re: To Be or Not To Be?	Anonymous	Mon Sep 16 2002 10:56 PM
Re: To Be or Not To Be?	medic8ed	Mon Sep 16 2002 10:10 PM
WHERE IT GOES??	WXMAN RICHIE	Mon Sep 16 2002 10:16 PM
Re: To Be or Not To Be?	Anonymous	Mon Sep 16 2002 10:05 PM
Re: To Be or Not To Be?	Anonymous	Mon Sep 16 2002 08:54 PM
no telling	HanKFranK	Mon Sep 16 2002 09:11 PM
Re: no telling	troy2	Mon Sep 16 2002 11:57 PM
Re: no telling	Domino1	Tue Sep 17 2002 12:32 AM
Re: no telling	Anonymous	Tue Sep 17 2002 12:08 AM
Re: Direct TV	Domino1	Tue Sep 17 2002 12:35 AM
recon	HanKFranK	Tue Sep 17 2002 12:48 AM
Re: recon	doug	Tue Sep 17 2002 05:33 AM
Re: recon	Anonymous	Tue Sep 17 2002 09:50 AM
Re: recon	garyb	Tue Sep 17 2002 09:44 AM
Re: recon	Mike	Tue Sep 17 2002 09:50 AM
Re: recon	Marktropic	Tue Sep 17 2002 11:48 AM
Movine west?	Southern4sure	Tue Sep 17 2002 10:04 AM
Re: Movine west?	Rasvar	Tue Sep 17 2002 10:47 AM
Re: Movine west?	Mike	Tue Sep 17 2002 10:49 AM
Re: Movine west?	Rasvar	Tue Sep 17 2002 11:19 AM
Re: recon	garyb	Tue Sep 17 2002 09:56 AM
Re: recon	Mike	Tue Sep 17 2002 10:02 AM
Re: recon	Anonymous	Tue Sep 17 2002 09:42 AM
Re: recon	Anonymous	Tue Sep 17 2002 09:40 AM
TD Ten is back!	Rich B	Tue Sep 17 2002 09:45 AM
Re: TD Ten is back!	garyb	Tue Sep 17 2002 09:49 AM
Re: TD Ten is back!	troy2	Tue Sep 17 2002 01:49 PM
getting ready to explode	Rick in Mobile	Tue Sep 17 2002 02:05 PM
Re: getting ready to explode	Anonymous	Tue Sep 17 2002 02:21 PM
Re: getting ready to explode	John C	Tue Sep 17 2002 02:56 PM
Re: getting ready to explode	Colleen A.	Tue Sep 17 2002 03:06 PM
Re: getting ready to explode	Joe	Tue Sep 17 2002 02:47 PM
Re: getting ready to explode	Colleen A.	Tue Sep 17 2002 03:02 PM
Re: getting ready to explode	Joe	Tue Sep 17 2002 03:05 PM
May I present....	Rasvar	Tue Sep 17 2002 02:58 PM
Re: May I present....	Colleen A.	Tue Sep 17 2002 03:04 PM
Re: May I present....	Rasvar	Tue Sep 17 2002 03:07 PM
transgendered systems	HanKFranK	Tue Sep 17 2002 03:43 PM
Re: transgendered systems	Rich B	Tue Sep 17 2002 04:05 PM
TD#11 at 5 PM	Cycloneye	Tue Sep 17 2002 03:49 PM
How rude.	Rasvar	Tue Sep 17 2002 03:02 PM
Re: TD Ten is back!	Anonymous	Tue Sep 17 2002 01:55 PM
Re: TD Ten is back!	troy2	Tue Sep 17 2002 01:46 PM
Re: TD Ten is back!	troy2	Tue Sep 17 2002 01:09 PM
Re: TD Ten is back!	Anonymous	Tue Sep 17 2002 01:06 PM
Re: TD Ten is back!	Colleen A.	Tue Sep 17 2002 01:57 PM
games	HanKFranK	Tue Sep 17 2002 02:09 PM
Re: games	Hurric	Tue Sep 17 2002 02:20 PM
Re: TD Ten is back!	scottsvb	Tue Sep 17 2002 01:10 PM
Re: TD Ten is back!	Rich B	Tue Sep 17 2002 01:17 PM
Re: TD Ten is back!	andy1tom	Tue Sep 17 2002 01:39 PM
Re: TD Ten is back!	troy2	Tue Sep 17 2002 12:39 PM
Re: TD Ten is back!	troy2	Tue Sep 17 2002 12:37 PM
Re: TD Ten is back!	troy2	Tue Sep 17 2002 12:33 PM
Re: TD Ten is back!	Anonymous	Tue Sep 17 2002 12:10 PM
33/52	HanKFranK	Tue Sep 17 2002 12:18 PM
On Track?	scottsvb	Tue Sep 17 2002 12:54 PM
Re: On Track?	Marktropic	Tue Sep 17 2002 01:20 PM
track	HanKFranK	Tue Sep 17 2002 01:44 PM
Re: track	Anonymous	Tue Sep 17 2002 03:51 PM
Td 10 (future Isidore) track	Kevin	Tue Sep 17 2002 04:05 PM
Re: Td 10 (future Isidore) track	brew	Tue Sep 17 2002 04:30 PM
Kevin	clyde w	Tue Sep 17 2002 06:19 PM
Tallahassee Bill	Anonymous	Tue Sep 17 2002 06:51 PM
Re: track	Anonymous	Tue Sep 17 2002 03:45 PM
11 noname	Alan	Tue Sep 17 2002 03:39 PM
Re: On Track?	Marktropic	Tue Sep 17 2002 01:37 PM
Re: 33/52	Mary	Tue Sep 17 2002 12:37 PM
Re: 33/52	Anonymous	Tue Sep 17 2002 12:47 PM
Re: TD Ten is back!	Rich B	Tue Sep 17 2002 09:47 AM
Why Not A Test ?	garyb	Tue Sep 17 2002 09:39 AM
Re: Why Not A Test ?	Anonymous	Tue Sep 17 2002 05:48 PM
No Storm Yet	garyb	Tue Sep 17 2002 09:34 AM
Re: recon	Anonymous	Tue Sep 17 2002 09:33 AM
Re: recon	clyde w.	Tue Sep 17 2002 08:27 AM
Re: recon	RBL	Tue Sep 17 2002 09:34 AM
Re: recon	Rick in Mobile	Tue Sep 17 2002 08:11 AM
Isadore??	clyde w.	Tue Sep 17 2002 08:11 AM
Re: recon	Anonymous	Tue Sep 17 2002 07:52 AM
Re: recon	Anonymous	Tue Sep 17 2002 07:49 AM
Re: recon	Rasvar	Tue Sep 17 2002 08:09 AM
Re: recon	Anonymous	Tue Sep 17 2002 07:23 AM
bingo DELETED	HanKFranK	Tue Sep 17 2002 07:35 AM
what the..	HanKFranK	Tue Sep 17 2002 07:36 AM
32/52	HanKFranK	Tue Sep 17 2002 07:39 AM
bingo	HanKFranK	Tue Sep 17 2002 07:33 AM
Re: recon	Anonymous	Tue Sep 17 2002 06:50 AM
Re: recon	Domino	Tue Sep 17 2002 05:50 AM
Re: recon	57497479	Tue Sep 17 2002 06:26 AM
Re: recon	BabyCat	Tue Sep 17 2002 06:36 AM
Re: no telling	troy2	Mon Sep 16 2002 11:52 PM
Re: no telling	Anonymous	Mon Sep 16 2002 11:54 PM
Re: no telling	troy2	Mon Sep 16 2002 11:44 PM
Re: no telling	StormHound	Mon Sep 16 2002 11:54 PM
Re: no telling	RBL	Mon Sep 16 2002 11:53 PM
Re: no telling	troy2	Mon Sep 16 2002 11:32 PM
Re: no telling	StormHound	Mon Sep 16 2002 11:35 PM
getting fun, ain't it?	Rick in Mobile	Mon Sep 16 2002 11:06 PM
Re: getting fun, ain't it?	57497479	Mon Sep 16 2002 11:16 PM
LLCC?	StormHound	Mon Sep 16 2002 11:22 PM
Re: Any Ideas on Florida Impact?	JustinMiami	Mon Sep 16 2002 10:57 PM
Re: no telling	Anonymous	Mon Sep 16 2002 10:18 PM
Re: no telling	Anonymous	Mon Sep 16 2002 09:31 PM
TD 10????	WXMAN RICHIE	Mon Sep 16 2002 09:55 PM
Re: no telling	Anonymousnickd	Mon Sep 16 2002 09:21 PM
Re: To Be or Not To Be?	Anonymous	Mon Sep 16 2002 08:26 PM
Re: To Be or Not To Be?	Anonymous	Mon Sep 16 2002 08:21 PM
Re: To Be or Not To Be?	troy2	Mon Sep 16 2002 08:20 PM
Re: To Be or Not To Be?	Anonymous	Mon Sep 16 2002 08:12 PM
Re: To Be or Not To Be?	Joe	Mon Sep 16 2002 08:20 PM
Re: To Be or Not To Be?	Anonymous	Mon Sep 16 2002 08:12 PM
Re: Mark	Kevin	Mon Sep 16 2002 08:21 PM
Re: Mark	Joe	Mon Sep 16 2002 08:27 PM
Re: To Be or Not To Be?	Anonymous	Mon Sep 16 2002 07:54 PM
Re: To Be or Not To Be?	ShawnS	Mon Sep 16 2002 08:11 PM
an early good night	Robert	Mon Sep 16 2002 07:57 PM
Re: an early good night	Kevin	Mon Sep 16 2002 08:04 PM
Re: an early good night	Bruce	Mon Sep 16 2002 08:14 PM
Re: an early good night	Anonymousnickd	Mon Sep 16 2002 08:29 PM
Re: an early good night	Joe	Mon Sep 16 2002 08:34 PM
discussion...	Anonymousnickd	Mon Sep 16 2002 08:32 PM
Re: To Be or Not To Be?	troy2	Mon Sep 16 2002 07:48 PM
Re: To Be or Not To Be?	Cycloneye	Mon Sep 16 2002 07:51 PM
Re: To Be or Not To Be?	scottsvb	Mon Sep 16 2002 07:32 PM
Re: To Be or Not To Be?	Robert	Mon Sep 16 2002 07:18 PM
Re: To Be or Not To Be?	Kevin	Mon Sep 16 2002 07:35 PM
Re: To Be or Not To Be?	ShawnS	Mon Sep 16 2002 07:42 PM
Re: To Be or Not To Be?	StormHound	Mon Sep 16 2002 07:32 PM

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