Gulf area up to 60% chance for weak development. A new Atlantic system is now up with a 20% chance for development, FL east coast and GA coast should watch for mid-late this week.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any
291 (Idalia)
, Major:
291 (Idalia)
Florida - Any: 291 (Idalia)
Major:
291 (Idalia)
Phil -- best bet is that it's a result of some diffluence aloft due to the upper low in the eastern Gulf of Mexico. It's projected to lift slowly northward & eastward across Florida over the coming days. If somethnig were to stick around after everything clears out, then it might have a shot down the road -- not sure if this is what the models were picking up on then or not -- but that's 4 days out or so and I'm not sure it'll hold the course there. If anything is going to get going in the near-future, though, it's likely going to be the SW Caribbean once the GoM low clears out -- shear is too great everywhere else.
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