Actually we are not getting rainbands from Arlene yet. Closest bands are near the keys. Currently the thunderstorms getting developing over central florida are from a deep Se flow off the Atlantic interacting with a trough of lower pressure over florida and the eastern gulf. So the flow may look like its from arlene all the way up to the panhandle/ With regards to the Fox guy in Ft Myers saying landfall might brush Ft Myers, I think he ment the steady heavy rainfall with amounts up to 5 inches. Most of the weather is to the E of the center. Arlene should slowly become better organized. If she does get under a large TS complex then she could intensify rapidly up to 65-70mph with a pressure down to 995mb during a 6-12 hour time frame. Currently she looks pretty much as I said yesterday. Alot of dry air to her W with deep tropical mositure to her east moving up thru florida. Landfall looks like the Panhandle of Florida from just east of Pensecola to Panama City if she gets stronger, but if she stays around 1000mb or higher then landfall could be more w near the Al-Miss border. Nevertheless most of the heavy rain and small spawned tornados will be near or east of the center up to 200 miles.
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