F

Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane Center - Tracking Storms since 1995Hurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995

Newly tagged Invest 91L in the Central American Gyre heading towards MX/TX, a slow and sprawling flood threat. Bahamas hybrid well E of FL 10%/30% odd and expected to track back to the W across FL or SE US this week.

Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 292 (Idalia) , Major: 292 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 292 (Idalia) Major: 292 (Idalia)

NEWS

CURRENT STORMS

Invest 91L Click for Invest Information from CIMSS

Click for Invest Information from CIMSS

HypeScale: 1.8

COMMUNICATION

STORM DATA

CONTENT

FOLLOW US

National Hurricane Center

You are not logged in. [Login]

Other Forums · Search · Active Topics
New user · Who's Online · FAQ · Rules · Calendar

News Talkback >> 2002 News Articles and Talkback

HanKFranK
User

Reged:
Posts: 1841
Loc: Graniteville, SC

talk talk
Wed Sep 18 2002 01:13 AM

i keep hearing 'convection is starting to wrap around the center' and 'i can see the spin' all the time.. yet still we still have a big amorphous system with convection bursting mostly east of the center. the center is still at the eastern edge of the whole mass, below the western side of jamaica. folks really just plot the center from the vortex message (it has been erratically bobbing around south of jamaica all day) and you can see that the storm is still lopsided and disorganized. believe it or not the reason the storm isnt intensifying is BECAUSE of all the convection away west. put it in the wrong place and it starves the center of inflow, if the upward forcing is going on elsewhere. the richest inflow in this case is the low level easterly flow... and where is most of the deep (very deep) convection.. east of the center.
system is still the snowball at the top of the hill. once the convection finally starts to 'wrap' as everybody always claims to see (or at least some bursts west of the center, or directly overhead).. then this thing will start to deepen like crazy.
keep delaying that and the storm misses critical guidance connections.. in other words we get a wandering system that doesnt try to phase in. a massive storm that is a forecasting nightmare.
its very unlikely this storm will continue to avoid deepening indefinitely, but not impossible. i must say though, i have never seen a storm in a better position keep refusing to knock out the one stone that causes the mountain to fall.
HF 0105z18september

Post Extras

Print Post

Remind Me!

Notify Moderator

Entire topic
Subject	Posted by	Posted on
TD #10 and TD #11	CFHC	Wed Sep 18 2002 01:13 AM
Re: TD #10 and TD #11	Anonymous	Wed Sep 18 2002 02:31 AM
Re: TD #10 and TD #11	rick in mobile	Wed Sep 18 2002 02:36 AM
Re: TD #10 and TD #11	Anonymous	Wed Sep 18 2002 02:26 AM
Re: TD #10 and TD #11	rick in mobile	Wed Sep 18 2002 02:02 AM
MIAMI STATEMENT	WXMAN RICHIE	Wed Sep 18 2002 02:10 AM
Re: TD #10 and TD #11	Anonymous	Wed Sep 18 2002 01:58 AM
Re: TD #10 and TD #11	Anonymous	Wed Sep 18 2002 01:55 AM
Check This Out......	Colleen A.	Wed Sep 18 2002 02:10 AM
Re: Check This Out......	nick	Wed Sep 18 2002 02:21 AM
Re: TD #10 and TD #11	Joe	Wed Sep 18 2002 01:58 AM
eye?	Domino	Wed Sep 18 2002 05:53 AM
Re: eye?	Anonymous	Wed Sep 18 2002 07:35 AM
Re: eye?	Rich B	Wed Sep 18 2002 08:09 AM
Re WHAT DIRECTION?	57497479	Wed Sep 18 2002 10:00 AM
Re: eye?	Anonymous	Wed Sep 18 2002 07:14 AM
Re: eye?	troy2	Wed Sep 18 2002 06:11 AM
Re: eye?	troy2	Wed Sep 18 2002 06:09 AM
Re: eye?	troy2	Wed Sep 18 2002 06:04 AM
Re: eye?	troy2	Wed Sep 18 2002 06:02 AM
Re: eye?	Domino	Wed Sep 18 2002 06:07 AM
Re: eye?	Anonymous	Wed Sep 18 2002 06:10 AM
Re: eye?	Domino	Wed Sep 18 2002 06:13 AM
Re: eye?	Anonymous	Wed Sep 18 2002 06:33 AM
Re: eye?	troy2	Wed Sep 18 2002 05:58 AM
Mary	clyde w.	Wed Sep 18 2002 03:38 AM
Re: Mary	Floridacane	Wed Sep 18 2002 03:44 AM
Re: TD #10 and TD #11	troy2	Wed Sep 18 2002 03:36 AM
Local Wx Reports	clyde w.	Wed Sep 18 2002 03:33 AM
Re: Local Wx Reports	wxman007	Wed Sep 18 2002 05:02 AM
Re: TD #10 and TD #11	clyde w.	Wed Sep 18 2002 03:04 AM
Re: TD #10 and TD #11	Mary	Wed Sep 18 2002 03:33 AM
Re: TD #10 and TD #11	Anonymous	Wed Sep 18 2002 03:05 AM
New data	alan	Wed Sep 18 2002 02:49 AM
All I can say is...	StormHound	Wed Sep 18 2002 02:55 AM
Re: All I can say is...	Mary	Wed Sep 18 2002 03:07 AM
de plane.. de plane...	HanKFranK	Wed Sep 18 2002 03:36 AM
by the way..	HanKFranK	Wed Sep 18 2002 03:41 AM
Re: All I can say is...	Anonymous	Wed Sep 18 2002 03:03 AM
knots to mph	Anonymous	Wed Sep 18 2002 02:39 AM
Re: TD #10 and TD #11	Anonymous	Wed Sep 18 2002 02:17 AM
ten	HanKFranK	Wed Sep 18 2002 02:22 AM
Hey Ronn!!	Anonymous	Wed Sep 18 2002 01:53 AM
Re: TD #10 and TD #11	Ronn	Wed Sep 18 2002 01:12 AM
Re: TD #10 and TD #11	APM	Wed Sep 18 2002 01:03 AM
target....gulf of mexico...then?	Rick in Mobile	Wed Sep 18 2002 12:27 AM
Re: target....gulf of mexico...then?	mbfly	Wed Sep 18 2002 01:34 AM
Re: target....gulf of mexico...then?	JustMe	Wed Sep 18 2002 01:54 AM
Re: target....gulf of mexico...then?	Anonymous	Wed Sep 18 2002 01:43 AM
Predicting Predictions	Anonymous	Wed Sep 18 2002 12:42 AM
talk talk	HanKFranK	Wed Sep 18 2002 01:13 AM
Re: talk talk	rickin mobile	Wed Sep 18 2002 01:26 AM
Re: TD #10 and TD #11	clyde w.	Wed Sep 18 2002 12:00 AM
Not concerned in Louisiana...	Anonymous	Wed Sep 18 2002 12:17 AM
Re: TD #10 and TD #11	clyde w.	Tue Sep 17 2002 11:47 PM
Re: TD #10 and TD #11	Anonymous	Tue Sep 17 2002 11:16 PM
Re: TD #10 and TD #11	57497479	Tue Sep 17 2002 11:52 PM
Re: TD #10 and TD #11	Rad	Tue Sep 17 2002 11:40 PM
Re: TD #10 and TD #11	ROB H	Tue Sep 17 2002 11:58 PM
Re: TD #10 and TD #11	Anonymous	Tue Sep 17 2002 09:56 PM
cor	HanKFranK	Tue Sep 17 2002 10:27 PM
Re: cor	Colleen A.	Tue Sep 17 2002 10:39 PM
Re: cor	HanKFranK	Tue Sep 17 2002 11:02 PM
Re: cor	ShawnS	Tue Sep 17 2002 11:04 PM

Extra information

0 registered and 119 anonymous users are browsing this forum.

Moderator:

Forum Permissions
      You cannot start new topics
      You cannot reply to topics
      HTML is disabled
      UBBCode is enabled

Rating:
Thread views: 10474

Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources.
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center