latest recon had 1001 and 46 kt FL, 40 kt surface (45 mph), so it does seem to be strengthening. Does seem to be getting better organized.
80 degrees is plenty warm for a storm to intensify...what matters most is the depth of the warn layer....in this the SE Gulf has a way to go, but there is also the 'loop current' which has lots of energy for the storm.
Cat 1 is not out of the question, if the shear will let up.
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