At 5:00 pm EDT T.S. Arlene is now moving slightly west of north at 17 mph with maximum sustained winds of 65 mph. The NHC has now brought it's official track further east with a landfall near Pensacola, in line with my forecast. Remember that this tropical cyclone is large and disorganized and sustained tropical storm force winds with gusts to hurricane force will impact much of the Florida Panhandle coast tomorrow from about Apalachicola westward, well in advance of the cyclone center landfall.
Also as I've mentioned repeatedly flooding rainfall, a small storm surge and tornadoes are likely east of the landfall location.
Take Care, Thomas F. Giella, KN4LF Retired Space & Atmospheric Weather Forecaster Plant City, FL, USA kn4lf@arrl.net
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