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Invest 94L just northeast of the ABC islands in the Caribbean moving west, 20% development chance. Another area near the Cabo Verde islands has a 20% chance to develop over the next 7 days.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 301 (Idalia) , Major: 301 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 301 (Idalia) Major: 301 (Idalia)
 


News Talkback >> 2005 News Talkbacks

KN4LF
Unregistered




Re: Thankfully Arlene Remains Tropical Storm
      Sat Jun 11 2005 10:45 AM

#32 Published Saturday June 11, 2005 at 10:30 am EDT

Last evenings WNW cyclone center wobble/reformation/relocation became a sustained new heading of NW for T.S. Arlene. At 8:00 am EDT she is moving NW-NNW at 16 mph with sustained winds of 70 mph. Wind shear and dry air entrainment halted further strengthening during the overnight hours.

However looking at the latest visible satellite imagery we are now seeing an eye feature with one last burst of convection on the NW side. This means that minimal category 1 hurricane status may still be reached right before landfall somewhere just east of Mobile Bay near Gulf Shores, AL. this afternoon. Might as well flip a coin!

Tornadoes and waterspouts have continued to occur across the Florida Peninsula region with Arlene's spiral feeder bands but I think the overall threat of tornadoes has lessened across the Gulf Coast for now.

Take Care,
Thomas F. Giella, KN4LF
Retired Space & Atmospheric Weather Forecaster
Plant City, FL, USA
kn4lf@arrl.net

NWS Tampa Bay, FL SKYWARN Observer #HIL-249

Plant City, FL NWS CWOP Weather Station #AR692 Live Data: http://www.kn4lf.com/index1.html
Plant City, FL NWS CWOP Weather Station #AR692 3 Minute Data: http://www.kn4lf.com/index.html
Plant City, FL Daily Climatological Weather Data Archive Blog: http://www.kn4lf.com/kn4lf22.htm
Florida Daily Weather Discussion Blog: http://www.kn4lf.com/flwx1.htm
Florida Raw Weather Forecasting Product Links: http://www.kn4lf.com/kn4lf13.htm
Global Warming Refuted: http://www.kn4lf.com/kn4lf42.htm

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Arlene Remains Tropical Storm MikeCAdministrator Sat Jun 11 2005 10:45 AM
. * * Re: Conditions in Mobile Rabbit   Sat Jun 11 2005 01:53 PM
. * * Re: Arlene Remains Tropical Storm MikeCAdministrator   Sat Jun 11 2005 01:52 PM
. * * Re: Arlene Remains Tropical Storm Storm Cooper   Sat Jun 11 2005 01:55 PM
. * * Re: Conditions in Mobile MikeCAdministrator   Sat Jun 11 2005 01:51 PM
. * * Re: Thankfully Arlene Remains Tropical Storm MikeCAdministrator   Sat Jun 11 2005 01:50 PM
. * * Re: Thankfully Arlene Remains Tropical Storm MikeCAdministrator   Sat Jun 11 2005 01:49 PM
. * * set your replies here HanKFranK   Sat Jun 11 2005 01:22 PM
. * * structure HanKFranK   Sat Jun 11 2005 01:14 PM
. * * Re: Conditions in Mobile HCW   Sat Jun 11 2005 01:07 PM
. * * Re: Conditions in Mobile Rabbit   Sat Jun 11 2005 12:48 PM
. * * Re: Conditions in Mobile Southern4sure   Sat Jun 11 2005 12:41 PM
. * * Re: Test Post Storm Cooper   Sat Jun 11 2005 12:38 PM
. * * Re: Conditions in Mobile mbfly   Sat Jun 11 2005 12:36 PM
. * * Re: Conditions in Mobile Southern4sure   Sat Jun 11 2005 12:25 PM
. * * Re: Conditions in Mobile mbfly   Sat Jun 11 2005 12:19 PM
. * * Re: Conditions in Mobile B.C.Francis   Sat Jun 11 2005 12:15 PM
. * * Re: Conditions in Mobile Southern4sure   Sat Jun 11 2005 12:06 PM
. * * Re: Conditions in Mobile HCW   Sat Jun 11 2005 11:59 AM
. * * Re: Conditions in Mobile Southern4sure   Sat Jun 11 2005 11:54 AM
. * * Re: Thankfully Arlene Remains Tropical Storm LadyStorm   Sat Jun 11 2005 11:48 AM
. * * Re: Conditions in Mobile mbfly   Sat Jun 11 2005 11:47 AM
. * * Re: Conditions in Mobile Keith234   Sat Jun 11 2005 11:45 AM
. * * Re: Thankfully Arlene Remains Tropical Storm Storm Cooper   Sat Jun 11 2005 11:43 AM
. * * Conditions in Mobile Southern4sure   Sat Jun 11 2005 11:37 AM
. * * Re: Thankfully Arlene Remains Tropical Storm mbfly   Sat Jun 11 2005 11:33 AM
. * * Re: Thankfully Arlene Remains Tropical Storm Storm Cooper   Sat Jun 11 2005 11:31 AM
. * * Re: Global Warming Is A Fallacy Keith234   Sat Jun 11 2005 11:06 AM
. * * Re: Thankfully Arlene Remains Tropical Storm CFHCAdministrator   Sat Jun 11 2005 11:04 AM
. * * Re: Thankfully Arlene Remains Tropical Storm KN4LF   Sat Jun 11 2005 10:45 AM
. * * Re: Thankfully Arlene Remains Tropical Storm Frank P   Sat Jun 11 2005 10:23 AM
. * * Re: Thankfully Arlene Remains Tropical Storm HCW   Sat Jun 11 2005 10:20 AM
. * * Re: Thankfully Arlene Remains Tropical Storm Storm Cooper   Sat Jun 11 2005 10:13 AM
. * * Thankfully Arlene Remains Tropical Storm MikeCAdministrator   Sat Jun 11 2005 09:45 AM
. * * Re: Thankfully Arlene Remains Tropical Storm MikeCAdministrator   Sat Jun 11 2005 05:15 PM

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