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NHC advisories to begin shortly on Storm 01L (Potential Tropical Cyclone 01L) in the Western Gulf. Elsewhere, low east of Bahamas being tracked.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 293 (Idalia) , Major: 293 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 293 (Idalia) Major: 293 (Idalia)
Ptnl One
ADV#3A 8:00 am EDT
21.5N 92.8W
Wind: 40MPH
Pres: 999mb
Moving:
N at 6 mph
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News Talkback >> 2005 News Talkbacks
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HanKFranK
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Posts: 1841
Loc: Graniteville, SC
structure
      Sat Jun 11 2005 05:14 PM

eye or not, arlene had it's worst quadrant intruded upon by subsidence wrapped in from the south... where all the bad weather is supposed to be the convection is capped, and all the energy is being expended on the western, weak side. the pressure is still at 991, but with the structure all screwed up and recon only finding mid-gale strength winds at flight level, i'd safely assume that arlene isn't going to give the alabama or panhandle beaches any 70mph winds. last night before the convection became intermittent and less defined, recon was finding conditions normally associated with a minimal hurricane... nhc was hesitant to kick it up i guess (maybe they thought all the mandatory evacuations that would kick in would not be worth the risk)... but i've got a mind that season post-analysis will tag arlene as a minimal hurricane on the afternoon of june 10th, like claudette of 2003 was reanalyzed to have briefly been in the NW caribbean. effective landfall intensity going into the historic database will probably be 50-60mph, even with the low pressure hanging near 990... unless we get a last minute rally and a half. with the right quadrant smacked down like it's been, though... arlene shouldn't be a very memorable storm at the coast. after this afternoon it's a rain event/tornado threat only.
HF 1813z11june

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Arlene Remains Tropical Storm MikeCAdministrator Sat Jun 11 2005 05:14 PM
. * * Re: Conditions in Mobile Rabbit   Sat Jun 11 2005 05:53 PM
. * * Re: Arlene Remains Tropical Storm MikeCAdministrator   Sat Jun 11 2005 05:52 PM
. * * Re: Arlene Remains Tropical Storm Storm Cooper   Sat Jun 11 2005 05:55 PM
. * * Re: Conditions in Mobile MikeCAdministrator   Sat Jun 11 2005 05:51 PM
. * * Re: Thankfully Arlene Remains Tropical Storm MikeCAdministrator   Sat Jun 11 2005 05:50 PM
. * * Re: Thankfully Arlene Remains Tropical Storm MikeCAdministrator   Sat Jun 11 2005 05:49 PM
. * * set your replies here HanKFranK   Sat Jun 11 2005 05:22 PM
. * * structure HanKFranK   Sat Jun 11 2005 05:14 PM
. * * Re: Conditions in Mobile HCW   Sat Jun 11 2005 05:07 PM
. * * Re: Conditions in Mobile Rabbit   Sat Jun 11 2005 04:48 PM
. * * Re: Conditions in Mobile Southern4sure   Sat Jun 11 2005 04:41 PM
. * * Re: Test Post Storm Cooper   Sat Jun 11 2005 04:38 PM
. * * Re: Conditions in Mobile mbfly   Sat Jun 11 2005 04:36 PM
. * * Re: Conditions in Mobile Southern4sure   Sat Jun 11 2005 04:25 PM
. * * Re: Conditions in Mobile mbfly   Sat Jun 11 2005 04:19 PM
. * * Re: Conditions in Mobile B.C.Francis   Sat Jun 11 2005 04:15 PM
. * * Re: Conditions in Mobile Southern4sure   Sat Jun 11 2005 04:06 PM
. * * Re: Conditions in Mobile HCW   Sat Jun 11 2005 03:59 PM
. * * Re: Conditions in Mobile Southern4sure   Sat Jun 11 2005 03:54 PM
. * * Re: Thankfully Arlene Remains Tropical Storm LadyStorm   Sat Jun 11 2005 03:48 PM
. * * Re: Conditions in Mobile mbfly   Sat Jun 11 2005 03:47 PM
. * * Re: Conditions in Mobile Keith234   Sat Jun 11 2005 03:45 PM
. * * Re: Thankfully Arlene Remains Tropical Storm Storm Cooper   Sat Jun 11 2005 03:43 PM
. * * Conditions in Mobile Southern4sure   Sat Jun 11 2005 03:37 PM
. * * Re: Thankfully Arlene Remains Tropical Storm mbfly   Sat Jun 11 2005 03:33 PM
. * * Re: Thankfully Arlene Remains Tropical Storm Storm Cooper   Sat Jun 11 2005 03:31 PM
. * * Re: Global Warming Is A Fallacy Keith234   Sat Jun 11 2005 03:06 PM
. * * Re: Thankfully Arlene Remains Tropical Storm CFHCAdministrator   Sat Jun 11 2005 03:04 PM
. * * Re: Thankfully Arlene Remains Tropical Storm KN4LF   Sat Jun 11 2005 02:45 PM
. * * Re: Thankfully Arlene Remains Tropical Storm Frank P   Sat Jun 11 2005 02:23 PM
. * * Re: Thankfully Arlene Remains Tropical Storm HCW   Sat Jun 11 2005 02:20 PM
. * * Re: Thankfully Arlene Remains Tropical Storm Storm Cooper   Sat Jun 11 2005 02:13 PM
. * * Thankfully Arlene Remains Tropical Storm MikeCAdministrator   Sat Jun 11 2005 01:45 PM
. * * Re: Thankfully Arlene Remains Tropical Storm MikeCAdministrator   Sat Jun 11 2005 09:15 PM

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