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Unseasonably stout wave in Caribbean bringing enhanced showers and tstorms for several days, but lacks model support for development 5/26

Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 276 (Idalia) , Major: 276 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 276 (Idalia) Major: 276 (Idalia)

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News Talkback >> 2005 News Talkbacks

danielw
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Posts: 3525
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)

Re: Quiet Weekend Continues
Mon Jun 20 2005 12:06 AM

Quote:

That line of squally weather between the Yuc and Cuba although nothing important has a weird placement that I do not recall seeing before. I also felt several times this week when I viewed the loops that the frames were in backwards with everything pushing south and east instead of North and West...

The weird circulation pattern that you have been seeing this week is due, in part, to a stalled front along the Northern Gulf Coast and a rather large High pressure area over Lower Mexico.
The high is giving a "backwards" movement to the Yucatan Channel area, and at this point 'semi-blocking' anything from moving further north into the GOM.
Several of the models have hinted at an area of rain forming in the Yucatan Peninsula area this week and moving NE toward the W and SW FL coast.
The high pressure will have to break down a little more to allow this. I'm not sure how or if the front/ trough lying across the Northern GOM will play a part in anything that might develop.
Models I saw earlier were just indicating a persistant area of thunderstorms moving toward the NE from Cozumel, MX.

Current imagery from LSU satellites indicates the -24C line extends from Veracruz, MX to the Ft Myers area to the Melbourne area. Areas North of this line are not likely to have thunderstorm formation, due to the dry air in place. ( S.A. Hsu & Melvin F Martin,Jr)
http://antares.csi.lsu.edu/AOI/AOI0_wv_loop.html

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Quiet Weekend Continues	MikeC	Mon Jun 20 2005 12:06 AM
Re: Quiet Weekend Continues	Domino	Tue Jun 21 2005 03:52 AM
Re: Quiet Weekend Continues	ftlaudbob	Tue Jun 21 2005 01:33 PM
Re: Quiet Weekend Continues	GuppieGrouper	Tue Jun 21 2005 01:58 PM
July, August, September?	Ryan	Tue Jun 21 2005 03:08 PM
Re: July, August, September?	AgentB	Tue Jun 21 2005 04:55 PM
Re: July, August, September?	Cycloneye11	Tue Jun 21 2005 05:35 PM
Re: July, August, September?	Ed in Va	Tue Jun 21 2005 05:40 PM
Re: July, August, September?	MikeG	Tue Jun 21 2005 06:04 PM
Re: July, August, September?	Clark	Tue Jun 21 2005 06:32 PM
look ahead	HanKFranK	Tue Jun 21 2005 04:54 AM
Re: look ahead	doug	Tue Jun 21 2005 06:13 PM
Re: look ahead	rmbjoe1954	Tue Jun 21 2005 11:05 PM
Re: look ahead	lysis-in-TX	Wed Jun 22 2005 01:47 PM
Happy Father's Day	LadyStorm	Sun Jun 19 2005 02:27 PM
Re: Happy Father's Day	Heather	Mon Jun 20 2005 01:01 AM
Re: Happy Father's Day	FlaMommy	Mon Jun 20 2005 01:51 PM
Re: Happy Father's Day	LI Phil	Sun Jun 19 2005 05:34 PM
Re: Happy Father's Day	Lysis	Sun Jun 19 2005 06:17 PM
Re: Quiet Weekend Continues	GuppieGrouper	Sun Jun 19 2005 02:13 PM
Re: Quiet Weekend Continues	danielw	Mon Jun 20 2005 12:06 AM
Re: Quiet Weekend Continues	Steve hirschb.	Mon Jun 20 2005 04:29 PM
Re: Quiet Weekend Continues	Storm Cooper	Mon Jun 20 2005 12:27 AM
Re: Quiet Weekend Continues	Clark	Mon Jun 20 2005 01:03 AM
Re:GFS discussion	danielw	Mon Jun 20 2005 01:15 AM
Re:GFS discussion	Clark	Mon Jun 20 2005 03:13 AM
Re:GFS discussion	Big TK	Mon Jun 20 2005 05:16 AM
Re:AVN/ GFS Model Feedback	danielw	Mon Jun 20 2005 06:13 AM
Morning Model Update KLIX-Slidell	danielw	Mon Jun 20 2005 10:29 AM
Re: Morning Model Update KLIX-Slidell	GuppieGrouper	Mon Jun 20 2005 01:19 PM
Re: Morning Model Update KLIX-Slidell	Benjamin	Mon Jun 20 2005 03:59 PM
Re: Morning Model Update KLIX-Slidell	Clark	Mon Jun 20 2005 06:00 PM
Re: Morning Model Update KLIX-Slidell	javlin	Tue Jun 21 2005 12:31 AM
Re: Morning Model Update KLIX-Slidell	Storm Cooper	Tue Jun 21 2005 12:21 AM
Re: Morning Model Update KLIX-Slidell	Rabbit	Mon Jun 20 2005 04:30 PM
Re: BOC in GOM	MikeG	Mon Jun 20 2005 05:01 PM
Re: Quiet Weekend Continues	ticka1	Sun Jun 19 2005 03:43 PM
Re: Quiet Weekend Continues	rmbjoe1954	Sun Jun 19 2005 10:45 PM
Re: Quiet Weekend Continues	GuppieGrouper	Sun Jun 19 2005 04:14 PM
Re: Quiet Weekend Continues	Benjamin	Sun Jun 19 2005 05:09 PM
Re: Quiet Weekend Continues	Lucasnfl	Sun Jun 19 2005 08:24 PM
Re: Quiet Weekend Continues	ticka1	Sun Jun 19 2005 10:02 PM
Re: Quiet Weekend Continues	Storm Cooper	Sun Jun 19 2005 10:22 PM
Re: Eating crow	MapMaster	Sun Jun 19 2005 05:30 PM
Re: Quiet Weekend Continues	stormchazer	Sun Jun 19 2005 03:10 PM

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