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Tropical Storm Alberto has formed from Potential Tropical Cyclone 01L. Onshore flow creating some surge, wind and heavy rains into TX/MX

Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 294 (Idalia) , Major: 294 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 294 (Idalia) Major: 294 (Idalia)

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News Talkback >> 2005 News Talkbacks

danielw
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Posts: 3525
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)

Morning Model Update KLIX-Slidell
Mon Jun 20 2005 10:29 AM

For those that have been following the GFS forecast. Please read the link below for this morning's Area Forecast Discussion from NWS Slidell.
It's educational and informative. Seems the ETA and GFS are giving the forecasters quiet a stir, too! There is Still no mention of any development in the GOM.
Here are the first two sentences from the KLIX AFD~Slidell, LA.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION ( edited to shorten post~danielw)
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
300 AM CDT MON JUN 20 2005

.DISCUSSION...
"WOW...WHAT A DIVERGENT SOLUTION IN THE MAJOR MODEL SUITES. BEGINNING AT 48 HOURS THE GFS AND ETA DIVERGE STRONGLY UNTIL THEY ARE 180 DEGEES OUT OF PHASE. BY 78 HRS THE ETA HAS A SFC HIGH IN THE SAME LOCATION THAT THE GFS HAS A TROPICAL SFC LOW...HMMMMMM..."

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/data/LIX/AFDLIX.0506200726

Last two sentences of this discussion follow.
..."WILL SIMPLY NOT TOUCH ANY OF THE EXTENDED FORECAST ATTM SINCE SOLUTIONS FROM ALL MODELS HAVE BEEN SHAKY AT BEST THE LAST 3 DAYS.
AS CONFIDENCE INCREASES...WE WILL BEGIN TO PLACE A SFC LOW WHERE IT NEEDS TO BE IN THE MID TO EXTENDED PORTION OF THE FORECAST."

Please check local NWS Forecasts in your area for the extended forecasts.

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Entire topic
Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Quiet Weekend Continues	MikeC	Mon Jun 20 2005 10:29 AM
Re: Quiet Weekend Continues	Domino	Tue Jun 21 2005 03:52 AM
Re: Quiet Weekend Continues	ftlaudbob	Tue Jun 21 2005 01:33 PM
Re: Quiet Weekend Continues	GuppieGrouper	Tue Jun 21 2005 01:58 PM
July, August, September?	Ryan	Tue Jun 21 2005 03:08 PM
Re: July, August, September?	AgentB	Tue Jun 21 2005 04:55 PM
Re: July, August, September?	Cycloneye11	Tue Jun 21 2005 05:35 PM
Re: July, August, September?	Ed in Va	Tue Jun 21 2005 05:40 PM
Re: July, August, September?	MikeG	Tue Jun 21 2005 06:04 PM
Re: July, August, September?	Clark	Tue Jun 21 2005 06:32 PM
look ahead	HanKFranK	Tue Jun 21 2005 04:54 AM
Re: look ahead	doug	Tue Jun 21 2005 06:13 PM
Re: look ahead	rmbjoe1954	Tue Jun 21 2005 11:05 PM
Re: look ahead	lysis-in-TX	Wed Jun 22 2005 01:47 PM
Happy Father's Day	LadyStorm	Sun Jun 19 2005 02:27 PM
Re: Happy Father's Day	Heather	Mon Jun 20 2005 01:01 AM
Re: Happy Father's Day	FlaMommy	Mon Jun 20 2005 01:51 PM
Re: Happy Father's Day	LI Phil	Sun Jun 19 2005 05:34 PM
Re: Happy Father's Day	Lysis	Sun Jun 19 2005 06:17 PM
Re: Quiet Weekend Continues	GuppieGrouper	Sun Jun 19 2005 02:13 PM
Re: Quiet Weekend Continues	danielw	Mon Jun 20 2005 12:06 AM
Re: Quiet Weekend Continues	Steve hirschb.	Mon Jun 20 2005 04:29 PM
Re: Quiet Weekend Continues	Storm Cooper	Mon Jun 20 2005 12:27 AM
Re: Quiet Weekend Continues	Clark	Mon Jun 20 2005 01:03 AM
Re:GFS discussion	danielw	Mon Jun 20 2005 01:15 AM
Re:GFS discussion	Clark	Mon Jun 20 2005 03:13 AM
Re:GFS discussion	Big TK	Mon Jun 20 2005 05:16 AM
Re:AVN/ GFS Model Feedback	danielw	Mon Jun 20 2005 06:13 AM
Morning Model Update KLIX-Slidell	danielw	Mon Jun 20 2005 10:29 AM
Re: Morning Model Update KLIX-Slidell	GuppieGrouper	Mon Jun 20 2005 01:19 PM
Re: Morning Model Update KLIX-Slidell	Benjamin	Mon Jun 20 2005 03:59 PM
Re: Morning Model Update KLIX-Slidell	Clark	Mon Jun 20 2005 06:00 PM
Re: Morning Model Update KLIX-Slidell	javlin	Tue Jun 21 2005 12:31 AM
Re: Morning Model Update KLIX-Slidell	Storm Cooper	Tue Jun 21 2005 12:21 AM
Re: Morning Model Update KLIX-Slidell	Rabbit	Mon Jun 20 2005 04:30 PM
Re: BOC in GOM	MikeG	Mon Jun 20 2005 05:01 PM
Re: Quiet Weekend Continues	ticka1	Sun Jun 19 2005 03:43 PM
Re: Quiet Weekend Continues	rmbjoe1954	Sun Jun 19 2005 10:45 PM
Re: Quiet Weekend Continues	GuppieGrouper	Sun Jun 19 2005 04:14 PM
Re: Quiet Weekend Continues	Benjamin	Sun Jun 19 2005 05:09 PM
Re: Quiet Weekend Continues	Lucasnfl	Sun Jun 19 2005 08:24 PM
Re: Quiet Weekend Continues	ticka1	Sun Jun 19 2005 10:02 PM
Re: Quiet Weekend Continues	Storm Cooper	Sun Jun 19 2005 10:22 PM
Re: Eating crow	MapMaster	Sun Jun 19 2005 05:30 PM
Re: Quiet Weekend Continues	stormchazer	Sun Jun 19 2005 03:10 PM

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