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Sara's remnants are now in the Gulf, but are not expected to reorganize much. Elsewhere, no tropical development is anticipated.

Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 43 (Milton) , Major: 43 (Milton) Florida - Any: 43 (Milton) Major: 43 (Milton)

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News Talkback >> 2005 News Talkbacks

SteveinLA
Unregistered

Re: disturbance near nicaragua
Thu Jun 23 2005 05:28 PM

>>Tropics-wise, 94L's on or near its last hurrah, while activity associated with a new complex south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec is on the increase. Some slow development of that is likely over the next few days.

Only in as much as it's "94L." The wave that spawned it is still in full effect and continues moving WNW while some of the energy got entrained into the east side of the MLL/ULL moving across Southern FL. Like last night, look for a burst late and another pulse down. If anything's happening with this entity, it won't be until Saturday or Sunday at the earliest. The ECWMF which has had the best handle on the future of the system from the get-go (or at least the southern side prior to the partial splitting of the wave energy) is down right now. I haven't seen the 12z runs to see if it still wants to do that low off the upper Texas Coast come Monday or Tuesday. The convective feedback issues associated with the GFS & CMC have many people along the Carolina coast a bit edgy. I think something could get going there, but it's more likely to be a rogue type NEer storm or possibly a weak system at the surface. The ECWMF completely ignores that energy so it's not all that correct either. But as a trackable entity, the southern part of that wave was the real deal. Once the upper low is out the way and the surface trof weakens in the wake of high pressure building over the SE Gulf aloft, something could get going.

So even if you're writing off 94l as the NRL did, I don't think the wave itself should be written off yet. Best shot is a deep surge of tropical moisture with a very outside chance for up to a mid-grade Tropical Storm come Monday or so.

Steve

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Entire topic
Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Nothing to See Here	MikeC	Thu Jun 23 2005 05:28 PM
Re: Nothing to See Here	adogg76	Wed Jun 22 2005 10:30 AM
Re: Nothing to See Here	Clark	Wed Jun 22 2005 12:04 PM
Re: Nothing to See Here	John3	Wed Jun 22 2005 11:28 AM
Re: Nothing to See Here	MikeG	Wed Jun 22 2005 12:04 PM
Re: Nothing to See Here	FlaRebel	Wed Jun 22 2005 12:39 PM
Re: Nothing to See Here	Katie	Wed Jun 22 2005 01:36 PM
Re: Nothing to See Here	Steve hirschb.	Wed Jun 22 2005 01:09 PM
Re: Nothing to See Here	Maybe, maybenot	Wed Jun 22 2005 01:37 PM
Re: Nothing to See Here	MikeG	Wed Jun 22 2005 02:01 PM
Re: Nothing to See Here	Steve hirschb.	Wed Jun 22 2005 03:36 PM
94L invest	Cycloneye11	Wed Jun 22 2005 03:37 PM
Re: 94L invest	Tazmanian93	Wed Jun 22 2005 04:10 PM
Re: 94L invest	D3m3NT3DVoRT3X	Wed Jun 22 2005 04:35 PM
Re: 94L invest	Rich B	Wed Jun 22 2005 07:00 PM
Re: 94L invest	Clark	Wed Jun 22 2005 07:20 PM
disturbance near nicaragua	AMK	Thu Jun 23 2005 04:55 PM
Re: disturbance near nicaragua	Tropics Guy	Thu Jun 23 2005 05:14 PM
Re: disturbance near nicaragua	SteveinLA	Thu Jun 23 2005 05:28 PM
Re: disturbance near nicaragua	Clark	Thu Jun 23 2005 06:36 PM
Re: disturbance near nicaragua	Big Tk	Thu Jun 23 2005 07:06 PM
splitter	HanKFranK	Thu Jun 23 2005 07:34 PM
Re: splitter	Steve	Thu Jun 23 2005 07:52 PM
Re: splitter	GuppieGrouper	Thu Jun 23 2005 08:39 PM
Re: splitter	Colleen A.	Thu Jun 23 2005 09:13 PM
Re: splitter	Storm Cooper	Thu Jun 23 2005 09:19 PM
Re: splitter	ftlaudbob	Thu Jun 23 2005 10:41 PM
Re: splitter	LisaA	Fri Jun 24 2005 08:10 AM
4th weather	Katie	Fri Jun 24 2005 09:29 AM
Re: 4th weather & This Weekend	Colleen A.	Fri Jun 24 2005 10:49 AM
Re: splitter	Jekyhe904	Fri Jun 24 2005 12:40 AM
Re: splitter	hurircaneready	Fri Jun 24 2005 04:21 AM
5 AM EDT	danielw	Fri Jun 24 2005 05:27 AM
Space Coast	Cocoa Beach	Fri Jun 24 2005 08:04 AM
Re: Space Coast	Jekyhe904	Fri Jun 24 2005 12:03 PM
Re: Space Coast	Tazmanian93	Fri Jun 24 2005 11:10 AM
Re: Space Coast	Steve	Fri Jun 24 2005 11:26 AM
Re: Space Coast	Wingman51	Fri Jun 24 2005 11:33 AM
Re: Space Coast	Colleen A.	Fri Jun 24 2005 11:53 AM
Re: Space Coast	Steve hirschb.	Fri Jun 24 2005 12:02 PM
new thread	HanKFranK	Fri Jun 24 2005 12:05 PM
Re: Space Coast	Wingman51	Fri Jun 24 2005 11:58 AM
Re: Space Coast	Katie	Fri Jun 24 2005 11:22 AM
Re: Space Coast	doug	Fri Jun 24 2005 10:50 AM
Re: splitter	Lysis_	Thu Jun 23 2005 09:19 PM
Re: disturbance near nicaragua	Jekyhe904	Thu Jun 23 2005 05:32 PM
Re: disturbance near nicaragua	Rich B	Thu Jun 23 2005 06:06 PM
Re: disturbance near nicaragua	Storm Cooper	Thu Jun 23 2005 06:33 PM
Re: 94L invest	LONNY307	Thu Jun 23 2005 08:12 AM
Lonny's weekend weather	Katie	Thu Jun 23 2005 01:56 PM
Polk County storms	Katie	Thu Jun 23 2005 02:38 PM
Re: Polk County storms	Wrkn in Orl	Thu Jun 23 2005 03:15 PM
Re: Polk County storms	Clark	Thu Jun 23 2005 03:23 PM
Re: New complex	doug	Thu Jun 23 2005 04:28 PM
Re: Polk County storms	Benjamin	Thu Jun 23 2005 04:04 PM
Re: 94L invest	Clark	Thu Jun 23 2005 10:01 AM
Re: 94L invest	LisaA	Thu Jun 23 2005 08:34 AM
Re: 94L invest	yecatsjg	Thu Jun 23 2005 01:34 PM
Re: 94L invest	B.C.Francis	Thu Jun 23 2005 08:52 AM
Re: 94L invest	tpratch	Thu Jun 23 2005 10:43 AM

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