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#Beryl expected to landfall near Matagorda Bay Pre-Dawn Monday as a hurricane.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 312 (Idalia) , Major: 312 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 312 (Idalia) Major: 312 (Idalia)
27.6N 95.6W
Wind: 70MPH
Pres: 986mb
Moving:
Nnw at 10 mph
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News Talkback >> 2005 News Talkbacks

Steve
Senior Storm Chaser


Reged:
Posts: 1063
Loc: Metairie, LA
Re: splitter
      Thu Jun 23 2005 07:52 PM

Good post H/F.

Clark,

We're going to have to see because whatever resolves from the pattern won't be anything but speculation until Saturday or Sunday at the earliest. There are several elements that stand between now and possible development that need to be worked out.

If the ECMWF was right with it's low pressure off the Upper Texas Coast Tuesday or Wednesday, it's still not going to really do anything for another 48-72 hours - that is if anything besides a deep tropical surge pops. It had the impulse up near the Yucatan on Monday. If it has that look [tm - Lois Cane], we'll know it's going to at least take a shot at development. As far as the origins, I think the energy from the wave in the area interacting with the remnants of the surface trof, the upper/mid low moving across S. FL and the flow in the extreme western Caribbean is more the defined entity than what was depicted as 94L to begin with. I agree about the various mid-level features going off down there (most of it has been diurnal), but it's the wave (which is now intersecting) that's supplying the real kick.

At least we've got something to watch for a while.

Steve

--------------------
MF'n Super Bowl Champions

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Nothing to See Here MikeCAdministrator Thu Jun 23 2005 07:52 PM
. * * Re: Nothing to See Here adogg76   Wed Jun 22 2005 10:30 AM
. * * Re: Nothing to See Here Clark   Wed Jun 22 2005 12:04 PM
. * * Re: Nothing to See Here John3   Wed Jun 22 2005 11:28 AM
. * * Re: Nothing to See Here MikeG   Wed Jun 22 2005 12:04 PM
. * * Re: Nothing to See Here FlaRebel   Wed Jun 22 2005 12:39 PM
. * * Re: Nothing to See Here Katie   Wed Jun 22 2005 01:36 PM
. * * Re: Nothing to See Here Steve hirschb.   Wed Jun 22 2005 01:09 PM
. * * Re: Nothing to See Here Maybe, maybenot   Wed Jun 22 2005 01:37 PM
. * * Re: Nothing to See Here MikeG   Wed Jun 22 2005 02:01 PM
. * * Re: Nothing to See Here Steve hirschb.   Wed Jun 22 2005 03:36 PM
. * * 94L invest Cycloneye11   Wed Jun 22 2005 03:37 PM
. * * Re: 94L invest Tazmanian93   Wed Jun 22 2005 04:10 PM
. * * Re: 94L invest D3m3NT3DVoRT3X   Wed Jun 22 2005 04:35 PM
. * * Re: 94L invest Rich B   Wed Jun 22 2005 07:00 PM
. * * Re: 94L invest Clark   Wed Jun 22 2005 07:20 PM
. * * disturbance near nicaragua AMK   Thu Jun 23 2005 04:55 PM
. * * Re: disturbance near nicaragua Tropics Guy   Thu Jun 23 2005 05:14 PM
. * * Re: disturbance near nicaragua SteveinLA   Thu Jun 23 2005 05:28 PM
. * * Re: disturbance near nicaragua Clark   Thu Jun 23 2005 06:36 PM
. * * Re: disturbance near nicaragua Big Tk   Thu Jun 23 2005 07:06 PM
. * * splitter HanKFranK   Thu Jun 23 2005 07:34 PM
. * * Re: splitter Steve   Thu Jun 23 2005 07:52 PM
. * * Re: splitter GuppieGrouper   Thu Jun 23 2005 08:39 PM
. * * Re: splitter Colleen A.   Thu Jun 23 2005 09:13 PM
. * * Re: splitter Storm Cooper   Thu Jun 23 2005 09:19 PM
. * * Re: splitter ftlaudbob   Thu Jun 23 2005 10:41 PM
. * * Re: splitter LisaA   Fri Jun 24 2005 08:10 AM
. * * 4th weather Katie   Fri Jun 24 2005 09:29 AM
. * * Re: 4th weather & This Weekend Colleen A.   Fri Jun 24 2005 10:49 AM
. * * Re: splitter Jekyhe904   Fri Jun 24 2005 12:40 AM
. * * Re: splitter hurircaneready   Fri Jun 24 2005 04:21 AM
. * * 5 AM EDT danielwAdministrator   Fri Jun 24 2005 05:27 AM
. * * Space Coast Cocoa Beach   Fri Jun 24 2005 08:04 AM
. * * Re: Space Coast Jekyhe904   Fri Jun 24 2005 12:03 PM
. * * Re: Space Coast Tazmanian93   Fri Jun 24 2005 11:10 AM
. * * Re: Space Coast Steve   Fri Jun 24 2005 11:26 AM
. * * Re: Space Coast Wingman51   Fri Jun 24 2005 11:33 AM
. * * Re: Space Coast Colleen A.   Fri Jun 24 2005 11:53 AM
. * * Re: Space Coast Steve hirschb.   Fri Jun 24 2005 12:02 PM
. * * new thread HanKFranK   Fri Jun 24 2005 12:05 PM
. * * Re: Space Coast Wingman51   Fri Jun 24 2005 11:58 AM
. * * Re: Space Coast Katie   Fri Jun 24 2005 11:22 AM
. * * Re: Space Coast doug   Fri Jun 24 2005 10:50 AM
. * * Re: splitter Lysis_   Thu Jun 23 2005 09:19 PM
. * * Re: disturbance near nicaragua Jekyhe904   Thu Jun 23 2005 05:32 PM
. * * Re: disturbance near nicaragua Rich B   Thu Jun 23 2005 06:06 PM
. * * Re: disturbance near nicaragua Storm Cooper   Thu Jun 23 2005 06:33 PM
. * * Re: 94L invest LONNY307   Thu Jun 23 2005 08:12 AM
. * * Lonny's weekend weather Katie   Thu Jun 23 2005 01:56 PM
. * * Polk County storms Katie   Thu Jun 23 2005 02:38 PM
. * * Re: Polk County storms Wrkn in Orl   Thu Jun 23 2005 03:15 PM
. * * Re: Polk County storms Clark   Thu Jun 23 2005 03:23 PM
. * * Re: New complex doug   Thu Jun 23 2005 04:28 PM
. * * Re: Polk County storms Benjamin   Thu Jun 23 2005 04:04 PM
. * * Re: 94L invest Clark   Thu Jun 23 2005 10:01 AM
. * * Re: 94L invest LisaA   Thu Jun 23 2005 08:34 AM
. * * Re: 94L invest yecatsjg   Thu Jun 23 2005 01:34 PM
. * * Re: 94L invest B.C.Francis   Thu Jun 23 2005 08:52 AM
. * * Re: 94L invest tpratch   Thu Jun 23 2005 10:43 AM

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