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#HurricaneBeryl eyewall replacement cycle completing fast, just the way Beryl likes to do things. Reintensifcation could soon be underway.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 305 (Idalia) , Major: 305 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 305 (Idalia) Major: 305 (Idalia)
Hur Beryl
ADV#11 10:00 am EDT
11.7N 59.9W
Wind: 120MPH
Pres: 965mb
Moving:
W at 20 mph
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TS Chris
ADV#3 10:00 am EDT
20.1N 97.2W
Wind: 40MPH
Pres: 1005mb
Moving:
W at 12 mph
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Steve
Senior Storm Chaser


Reged:
Posts: 1063
Loc: Metairie, LA
Re: That's a Tropical Depression
      Sun Jun 26 2005 02:37 PM

By gummed up, it means there are too many things going on at the same time which generally will prohibit development. For storms to forum /usually/ they need for other aspects of the weather competing for the same energy to resolve.

I like the STDS put out by the NHC today as I think it accurately reflected the picture. However, it sure seemed like a Subtropical Depression based on the visible presentation and the 20-30 windspeeds. I guess everything isn't getting a name, but there was an obvious surface rotation on my favorite radar, the one out of Morehead City, NC earlier this morning.

The southern part of the wave that spawned 94L (as noted by HF) is still pretty active as was expected. I thought the best the northern end could do was low-grade tropical storm and the best the southern end could do was maybe mid-grade. I'm not sure if anything's coming out of this, but things do seem to be following the original ECMWF runs from the middle of last week that had a ripple in the isobars near the Yucatan on Monday with a TS off the UT Coast on Wed. Later runs of the European kept it further and further south and didn't develop anything with it. The jury is still out as it was going to be at least until this weekend before we could tell if anything was going to get in the Gulf or not, and if so, how it might behave. In my mind, with the battle between the southern part of the wave and the EPAC, the EPAC is going to win with the wave basically tracking across the southern Gulf of Mexico and probably into Mexico by mid-week. But there's still an outside chance something casual could develop and threaten the Texas coast. Wait and see mode.

Steve

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* The Area Near the Bahamas HanKFranK Sun Jun 26 2005 02:37 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas Rich B   Sat Jun 25 2005 08:38 AM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas Skippy   Sat Jun 25 2005 09:33 AM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas GuppieGrouper   Sat Jun 25 2005 10:04 AM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas Rich B   Sat Jun 25 2005 11:05 AM
. * * no interest? HanKFranK   Sat Jun 25 2005 11:57 AM
. * * Recon Jamiewx   Sat Jun 25 2005 12:54 PM
. * * 94L Bloodstar   Sat Jun 25 2005 04:20 PM
. * * Re: 94L Storm Cooper   Sat Jun 25 2005 04:54 PM
. * * Re: 94L GuppieGrouper   Sat Jun 25 2005 06:01 PM
. * * Re: 94L Rich B   Sat Jun 25 2005 06:12 PM
. * * Re: 94L HanKFranK   Sat Jun 25 2005 08:07 PM
. * * Re: 94L Clark   Sat Jun 25 2005 08:38 PM
. * * Password Request Tazmanian93   Sat Jun 25 2005 07:00 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas Domino   Fri Jun 24 2005 08:12 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas Storm Cooper   Fri Jun 24 2005 08:37 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas Domino   Fri Jun 24 2005 08:58 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas Storm Cooper   Fri Jun 24 2005 09:08 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas Domino   Fri Jun 24 2005 09:25 PM
. * * All Chips on Table dem05   Fri Jun 24 2005 11:00 PM
. * * Re: All Chips on Table dem05   Sun Jun 26 2005 03:03 PM
. * * Re: All Chips on Table Steve   Sun Jun 26 2005 03:21 PM
. * * Re: All Chips on Table HF gone home   Sun Jun 26 2005 04:41 PM
. * * Re: All Chips on Table LadyStorm   Sat Jun 25 2005 05:51 AM
. * * Bret today? Rich B   Sat Jun 25 2005 06:35 AM
. * * Re: Bret today? Rich B   Sat Jun 25 2005 07:10 AM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas SkeetoBiteAdministrator   Fri Jun 24 2005 04:21 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas MapMaster   Fri Jun 24 2005 04:33 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas SkeetoBiteAdministrator   Fri Jun 24 2005 04:40 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas Katie   Fri Jun 24 2005 04:47 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas SkeetoBiteAdministrator   Fri Jun 24 2005 04:49 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas MapMaster   Fri Jun 24 2005 05:09 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas Tazmanian93   Fri Jun 24 2005 05:19 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas HanKFranK   Fri Jun 24 2005 05:41 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas Jekyhe904   Fri Jun 24 2005 05:50 PM
. * * GOM? JohnB   Fri Jun 24 2005 06:26 PM
. * * Re: GOM? Steve hirschb.   Fri Jun 24 2005 07:42 PM
. * * Re: GOM? nc cane   Fri Jun 24 2005 07:53 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas MapMaster   Fri Jun 24 2005 04:49 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas MapMaster   Fri Jun 24 2005 04:34 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas Colleen A.   Fri Jun 24 2005 01:06 PM
. * * Central Florida RedingtonBeachGuy   Fri Jun 24 2005 01:50 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas AgentB   Fri Jun 24 2005 01:20 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas- possibe tropical development MapMaster   Fri Jun 24 2005 02:17 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas- possibe tropical development Wingman51   Fri Jun 24 2005 02:43 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas- possibe tropical development doug   Fri Jun 24 2005 03:09 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas- possibe tropical development Tazmanian93   Fri Jun 24 2005 03:25 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas- possibe tropical development doug   Fri Jun 24 2005 03:45 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas- possibe tropical development Tazmanian93   Fri Jun 24 2005 03:46 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas- possibe tropical development Katie   Fri Jun 24 2005 03:54 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas- possibe tropical development Tazmanian93   Fri Jun 24 2005 03:07 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas- possibe tropical development Mapmaster   Fri Jun 24 2005 04:00 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas- possibe tropical development Tazmanian93   Fri Jun 24 2005 04:14 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas- possibe tropical development Storm Hunter   Fri Jun 24 2005 04:05 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas- possibe tropical development Pete Creedon   Sat Jun 25 2005 09:07 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas- possibe tropical development Storm Cooper   Sat Jun 25 2005 09:20 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas- possibe tropical development HCW   Sun Jun 26 2005 05:44 AM
. * * NW Carrb? MikeG   Sun Jun 26 2005 10:32 AM
. * * Re: NW Carrb? Storm Cooper   Sun Jun 26 2005 10:51 AM
. * * Re: NW Carrb? Prospero   Sun Jun 26 2005 11:01 AM
. * * Re: NW Carrb? GuppieGrouper   Sun Jun 26 2005 11:17 AM
. * * Re: NW Carrb? HanKFranK   Sun Jun 26 2005 11:26 AM
. * * Re: NW Carrb? Tazmanian93   Sun Jun 26 2005 04:17 PM
. * * Re: NW Carrb? Lysis-in-Texas   Sun Jun 26 2005 04:43 PM
. * * Re: NW Carrb? MapMaster   Sun Jun 26 2005 05:24 PM
. * * Re: NW Carrb? Mapmaster   Sun Jun 26 2005 05:25 PM
. * * Re: NW Carrb? and more... h2ocean   Sun Jun 26 2005 08:51 PM
. * * Re: NW Carrb? Lysis-in-Texas   Sun Jun 26 2005 04:45 PM
. * * It is a TD MapMaster   Sun Jun 26 2005 05:22 PM
. * * Re: It is a TD dem05   Sun Jun 26 2005 06:05 PM
. * * Re: It is a TD Mapmaster   Sun Jun 26 2005 07:01 PM
. * * Re: It is a TD dem05   Sun Jun 26 2005 10:22 PM
. * * Re: It is a TD Steve   Sun Jun 26 2005 11:09 PM
. * * Re: It is a TD dem05   Mon Jun 27 2005 12:02 AM
. * * Re: It is a TD Steve   Mon Jun 27 2005 12:38 AM
. * * Re: It is a TD Steve   Mon Jun 27 2005 12:42 AM
. * * Re: It is a TD Domino   Mon Jun 27 2005 01:42 AM
. * * The 94L system danielwAdministrator   Mon Jun 27 2005 07:53 AM
. * * Re: It is a TD Tazmanian93   Sun Jun 26 2005 11:49 PM
. * * Re: It is a TD Hurrihj   Sun Jun 26 2005 06:33 PM
. * * Re: NW Carrb? GuppieGrouper   Sun Jun 26 2005 12:29 PM
. * * That's a Tropical Depression Bloodstar   Sun Jun 26 2005 02:17 PM
. * * Re: That's a Tropical Depression HF gone home   Sun Jun 26 2005 02:48 PM
. * * Re: That's a Tropical Depression Steve   Sun Jun 26 2005 02:37 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas- possibe tropical development Tazmanian93   Fri Jun 24 2005 04:19 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas Wingman51   Fri Jun 24 2005 12:19 PM

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