blood, i wouldn't quite give it that. the surface obs show a closed low, banded convection.. but the min pressure is 1016-17mb and winds are only around 25kt. it's on the coast and going to move along the va coast into this evening.. waters go into the 70s, so it's pretty much out of an environment that can support a tropical system. so i agree with the nhc's calls on 94L. guppie... gummed up as in there's a surface trough, and everything isn't jetting along westward like it usually does this time of year. features in the tropics like that during the hurricane season.. an old frontal boundary, a trough at the surface generated by an upper low, a thunderstorm complex that drifted offshore.. such features offer an alternative means or augmentation of those means to get tropical systems going. i'm just pointing to more of these 'ingredients' that are going to coalesce for a time in the southwestern gulf early next week. none of the models are that enthusiastic, though.. probably not much for the next week. HF 1943z26june
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