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First day of the Atlantic Hurricane season, no tropical activity on the horizon in the near term. Mid August is usually when things pick up.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 286 (Idalia) , Major: 286 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 286 (Idalia) Major: 286 (Idalia)
 


News Talkback >> 2005 News Talkbacks

dem05
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Posts: 368
Loc: Port Charlotte, FL
Re: It is a TD
      Mon Jun 27 2005 04:02 AM

Steve, Thanks for the input. I do have some agreeances here, but I'd like to explain a little more on why I'm so staunch about the NW Carribean, Central, and Eastern Gulf development during the upcoming week. Complicated patterns aren't always prohibitive to development, but lot's of surface low pressure features or small upper air features can really squelch something from happenning.
In the current case, I'm still seeing something that represents a more "classic" pattern. Waves typically slow down in the western carib. as they come up on central america. It is when energy waves pile up that the chances of development increase. You are right, lots going on at the surface and it is complicated. However, notice the change since this morning. Two tropical waves were definable on satellite. One stretching sw to ne from the Yucatan into eastern Cuba, s. Florida and Northeastward. The second ran from Nicaragua through central Cuba and Northward. These features are pilling up from north to south, and it can be noted that the forward segment of the first wave has shifted from NE-SW to N-S from south Florida down into eastern Cuba and South.
This is just the kind of complicated interaction that can start something to spin up under the right conditions. It's just my beilief that things are moving in that direction considering the upper air features and the wave interaction. Additionally, a lot of the cloud matter being seen to the north and west of this area is nothing but upper air debris clouds and moisture from the E-pac, S. Mex and Central America, but nothing I would consider to complicate of surpress possible development further.
Since it is dark, this wave interacation from Sunday Morning to now can be best seen with shortwave.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/watl-ir2-loop.html
Thank you for reading, hope I haven't been long winded

Edited by dem05 (Mon Jun 27 2005 04:23 AM)

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* The Area Near the Bahamas HanKFranK Mon Jun 27 2005 04:02 AM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas Rich B   Sat Jun 25 2005 12:38 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas Skippy   Sat Jun 25 2005 01:33 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas GuppieGrouper   Sat Jun 25 2005 02:04 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas Rich B   Sat Jun 25 2005 03:05 PM
. * * no interest? HanKFranK   Sat Jun 25 2005 03:57 PM
. * * Recon Jamiewx   Sat Jun 25 2005 04:54 PM
. * * 94L Bloodstar   Sat Jun 25 2005 08:20 PM
. * * Re: 94L Storm Cooper   Sat Jun 25 2005 08:54 PM
. * * Re: 94L GuppieGrouper   Sat Jun 25 2005 10:01 PM
. * * Re: 94L Rich B   Sat Jun 25 2005 10:12 PM
. * * Re: 94L HanKFranK   Sun Jun 26 2005 12:07 AM
. * * Re: 94L Clark   Sun Jun 26 2005 12:38 AM
. * * Password Request Tazmanian93   Sat Jun 25 2005 11:00 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas Domino   Sat Jun 25 2005 12:12 AM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas Storm Cooper   Sat Jun 25 2005 12:37 AM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas Domino   Sat Jun 25 2005 12:58 AM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas Storm Cooper   Sat Jun 25 2005 01:08 AM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas Domino   Sat Jun 25 2005 01:25 AM
. * * All Chips on Table dem05   Sat Jun 25 2005 03:00 AM
. * * Re: All Chips on Table dem05   Sun Jun 26 2005 07:03 PM
. * * Re: All Chips on Table Steve   Sun Jun 26 2005 07:21 PM
. * * Re: All Chips on Table HF gone home   Sun Jun 26 2005 08:41 PM
. * * Re: All Chips on Table LadyStorm   Sat Jun 25 2005 09:51 AM
. * * Bret today? Rich B   Sat Jun 25 2005 10:35 AM
. * * Re: Bret today? Rich B   Sat Jun 25 2005 11:10 AM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas SkeetoBiteAdministrator   Fri Jun 24 2005 08:21 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas MapMaster   Fri Jun 24 2005 08:33 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas SkeetoBiteAdministrator   Fri Jun 24 2005 08:40 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas Katie   Fri Jun 24 2005 08:47 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas SkeetoBiteAdministrator   Fri Jun 24 2005 08:49 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas MapMaster   Fri Jun 24 2005 09:09 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas Tazmanian93   Fri Jun 24 2005 09:19 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas HanKFranK   Fri Jun 24 2005 09:41 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas Jekyhe904   Fri Jun 24 2005 09:50 PM
. * * GOM? JohnB   Fri Jun 24 2005 10:26 PM
. * * Re: GOM? Steve hirschb.   Fri Jun 24 2005 11:42 PM
. * * Re: GOM? nc cane   Fri Jun 24 2005 11:53 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas MapMaster   Fri Jun 24 2005 08:49 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas MapMaster   Fri Jun 24 2005 08:34 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas Colleen A.   Fri Jun 24 2005 05:06 PM
. * * Central Florida RedingtonBeachGuy   Fri Jun 24 2005 05:50 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas AgentB   Fri Jun 24 2005 05:20 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas- possibe tropical development MapMaster   Fri Jun 24 2005 06:17 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas- possibe tropical development Wingman51   Fri Jun 24 2005 06:43 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas- possibe tropical development doug   Fri Jun 24 2005 07:09 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas- possibe tropical development Tazmanian93   Fri Jun 24 2005 07:25 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas- possibe tropical development doug   Fri Jun 24 2005 07:45 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas- possibe tropical development Tazmanian93   Fri Jun 24 2005 07:46 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas- possibe tropical development Katie   Fri Jun 24 2005 07:54 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas- possibe tropical development Tazmanian93   Fri Jun 24 2005 07:07 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas- possibe tropical development Mapmaster   Fri Jun 24 2005 08:00 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas- possibe tropical development Tazmanian93   Fri Jun 24 2005 08:14 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas- possibe tropical development Storm Hunter   Fri Jun 24 2005 08:05 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas- possibe tropical development Pete Creedon   Sun Jun 26 2005 01:07 AM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas- possibe tropical development Storm Cooper   Sun Jun 26 2005 01:20 AM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas- possibe tropical development HCW   Sun Jun 26 2005 09:44 AM
. * * NW Carrb? MikeG   Sun Jun 26 2005 02:32 PM
. * * Re: NW Carrb? Storm Cooper   Sun Jun 26 2005 02:51 PM
. * * Re: NW Carrb? Prospero   Sun Jun 26 2005 03:01 PM
. * * Re: NW Carrb? GuppieGrouper   Sun Jun 26 2005 03:17 PM
. * * Re: NW Carrb? HanKFranK   Sun Jun 26 2005 03:26 PM
. * * Re: NW Carrb? Tazmanian93   Sun Jun 26 2005 08:17 PM
. * * Re: NW Carrb? Lysis-in-Texas   Sun Jun 26 2005 08:43 PM
. * * Re: NW Carrb? MapMaster   Sun Jun 26 2005 09:24 PM
. * * Re: NW Carrb? Mapmaster   Sun Jun 26 2005 09:25 PM
. * * Re: NW Carrb? and more... h2ocean   Mon Jun 27 2005 12:51 AM
. * * Re: NW Carrb? Lysis-in-Texas   Sun Jun 26 2005 08:45 PM
. * * It is a TD MapMaster   Sun Jun 26 2005 09:22 PM
. * * Re: It is a TD dem05   Sun Jun 26 2005 10:05 PM
. * * Re: It is a TD Mapmaster   Sun Jun 26 2005 11:01 PM
. * * Re: It is a TD dem05   Mon Jun 27 2005 02:22 AM
. * * Re: It is a TD Steve   Mon Jun 27 2005 03:09 AM
. * * Re: It is a TD dem05   Mon Jun 27 2005 04:02 AM
. * * Re: It is a TD Steve   Mon Jun 27 2005 04:38 AM
. * * Re: It is a TD Steve   Mon Jun 27 2005 04:42 AM
. * * Re: It is a TD Domino   Mon Jun 27 2005 05:42 AM
. * * The 94L system danielwAdministrator   Mon Jun 27 2005 11:53 AM
. * * Re: It is a TD Tazmanian93   Mon Jun 27 2005 03:49 AM
. * * Re: It is a TD Hurrihj   Sun Jun 26 2005 10:33 PM
. * * Re: NW Carrb? GuppieGrouper   Sun Jun 26 2005 04:29 PM
. * * That's a Tropical Depression Bloodstar   Sun Jun 26 2005 06:17 PM
. * * Re: That's a Tropical Depression HF gone home   Sun Jun 26 2005 06:48 PM
. * * Re: That's a Tropical Depression Steve   Sun Jun 26 2005 06:37 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas- possibe tropical development Tazmanian93   Fri Jun 24 2005 08:19 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas Wingman51   Fri Jun 24 2005 04:19 PM

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