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First day of the Atlantic Hurricane season, no tropical activity on the horizon in the near term. Mid August is usually when things pick up.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 277 (Idalia) , Major: 277 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 277 (Idalia) Major: 277 (Idalia)
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News Talkback >> 2005 News Talkbacks
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HanKFranK
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Posts: 1841
Loc: Graniteville, SC
gulf & E of islands
      Mon Jun 27 2005 03:14 PM

i looked at JB's stuff earlier... he showed some nice analogs to western gulf storms and how the ridging/surface weather there could combine to generate something. a couple of the models are tracking a vortmax/disturbance to the tx/mex border through thursday, so any pressure falls in the area will get the hype machine going.
just to pique other interests, i've got a hunch the next two may mention the wave at 45w. the 8am twd did, noting the swirl and modest increase in convection. i've been looking at it on vis closeup on the ghcc loop, and checking the upper charts ahead of it... if it can get free of the itcz, the ridging should move in tandem with it into the caribbean as a twin-vortex tutt feature swivels to a positively-tilted alignment. globals still ike that newly-emerged wave as well out near the cv islands.
really there is ridging from the boc up to east of hatteras.. any low level turning in the region can become suspect. watch for another low to run hatteras by mid week as well. any one of these little things can cause a stir.
HF 1609z27june

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Monday Morning danielwAdministrator Mon Jun 27 2005 03:14 PM
. * * Re: Hybrid system MapMaster   Mon Jun 27 2005 07:59 PM
. * * Re: Hybrid system Mapmaster   Mon Jun 27 2005 08:04 PM
. * * Re: Monday Morning GuppieGrouper   Mon Jun 27 2005 12:14 PM
. * * GOM Weather danielwAdministrator   Mon Jun 27 2005 12:22 PM
. * * Re: GOM Weather teal61@work   Mon Jun 27 2005 02:53 PM
. * * Re: GOM Weather doug   Mon Jun 27 2005 03:24 PM
. * * gulf & E of islands HanKFranK   Mon Jun 27 2005 03:14 PM
. * * Re: gulf & E of islands Steve hirschb.   Mon Jun 27 2005 09:42 PM
. * * Re: gulf & E of islands dem05   Mon Jun 27 2005 11:04 PM
. * * Re: gulf & E of islands Storm Cooper   Mon Jun 27 2005 11:20 PM
. * * Re: gulf & E of islands dem05   Mon Jun 27 2005 11:54 PM
. * * Re: gulf & E of islands doug   Mon Jun 27 2005 03:40 PM
. * * Re: gulf & E of islands h2ocean   Mon Jun 27 2005 04:55 PM
. * * BOC MapMaster   Mon Jun 27 2005 06:14 PM
. * * Re: BOC hurricanejk   Mon Jun 27 2005 06:51 PM
. * * Re: BOC doug   Mon Jun 27 2005 06:44 PM

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