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#93L now a small better defined circulation with deep convection set to come ashore N of Tampico, MX. Recon investigating. Still 40% odds.

Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 299 (Idalia) , Major: 299 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 299 (Idalia) Major: 299 (Idalia)

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News Talkback >> 2005 News Talkbacks

HanKFranK
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Posts: 1841
Loc: Graniteville, SC

Re: Focus Toward the Bay of Campeche
Tue Jun 28 2005 11:45 AM

the 11:30 TWO is out, and nhc is giving us those typical lines of 'significant development is not expected' for the BOC system. this is, of course, since the system is close to land. no recon scheduled either, so the only way this thing will get a name is if a surface stations report strong enough winds. highest i've seen thus far has been 20kt. it does seem to be keeping to the lower rim of the BOC, probably due to landfall near or just south of tampico in 12 hrs or so.
i thought scott's call that this would potentially be an 'unnamed system' were premature the other day.. now i'm getting the feeling he may turn out right. nhc is suggesting it will play this one conservatively. i expected them to call it a TD at the hour, but as it's already being underrated i'm doubtful that it will ever be bret.
the wave that was approaching the islands has stayed flat (low amplitude, elongated cyclonic swirl), fast-moving, and it's convection has puffed out overnight. based on presentation it is doubtful that it can do anything. still lots of rain near the east coast, with a stewing offshore convective complex. i think another very weak low is possible near the east coast as the week progresses.
eyes turn to the eastern atlantic now. globals still develop the emerging wave going into next week. bastardi is already suggesting that it may approach the continent in the extended period, so i'm definitely interested. has a long way to go to be anything, though.
HF 1640z28june

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Focus Toward the Bay of Campeche where Tropical Storm Bret Forms	MikeC	Tue Jun 28 2005 11:45 AM
Re: Focus Toward the Bay of Campeche	Rich B	Tue Jun 28 2005 10:53 AM
Re: Focus Toward the Bay of Campeche	HanKFranK	Tue Jun 28 2005 11:45 AM
Re: Focus Toward the Bay of Campeche	Colleen A.	Tue Jun 28 2005 01:00 PM
Re: Focus Toward the Bay of Campeche	Katie	Tue Jun 28 2005 04:28 PM
95L	Jamiewx	Tue Jun 28 2005 04:52 PM
Re: Focus Toward the Bay of Campeche	Lysis-in-Texas	Tue Jun 28 2005 04:52 PM
Re: Focus Toward the Bay of Campeche	Keith234	Tue Jun 28 2005 05:07 PM
Re: Focus Toward the Bay of Campeche	Lysis-in-Texas	Tue Jun 28 2005 05:11 PM
Re: Focus Toward the Bay of Campeche	Keith234	Tue Jun 28 2005 05:17 PM
Re: Focus Toward the Bay of Campeche	MapMaster	Tue Jun 28 2005 05:21 PM
classified..	HanKFranK	Tue Jun 28 2005 05:24 PM
Re: classified..	Lysis-in-Texas	Tue Jun 28 2005 05:28 PM
Re: classified..	Rabbit	Tue Jun 28 2005 05:48 PM
recon info	AMK	Tue Jun 28 2005 06:09 PM
Re: classified..	HanKFranK	Tue Jun 28 2005 05:54 PM
Re: classified..	Rabbit	Tue Jun 28 2005 05:57 PM
Re: classified..	Lysis-in-Texas	Tue Jun 28 2005 05:54 PM
Re: classified..	Lysis-in-Texas	Tue Jun 28 2005 05:59 PM
recon	HanKFranK	Tue Jun 28 2005 06:07 PM
Re: recon	Rabbit	Tue Jun 28 2005 06:12 PM
Re: recon	Lysis-in-Texas	Tue Jun 28 2005 06:18 PM
Re: recon	Moi	Tue Jun 28 2005 06:41 PM
probable bret	Rick on boat in Mobile	Tue Jun 28 2005 06:47 PM
bret	HanKFranK	Tue Jun 28 2005 07:48 PM
Re: bret	Storm Cooper	Tue Jun 28 2005 07:51 PM
Re: bret	Tazmanian93	Wed Jun 29 2005 06:15 AM
Re: bret	danielw	Tue Jun 28 2005 08:02 PM
Re: bret	Storm Cooper	Tue Jun 28 2005 08:05 PM
three	HanKFranK	Tue Jun 28 2005 08:22 PM
Re: three	Storm Cooper	Tue Jun 28 2005 08:31 PM
Re: three	Colleen A.	Tue Jun 28 2005 10:06 PM
Weird	RedingtonBeachGuy	Wed Jun 29 2005 12:57 AM
Re: Weird	danielw	Wed Jun 29 2005 06:12 AM
Re: Weird	Big Tk	Wed Jun 29 2005 06:42 AM
Re: Weird	Cocoa Beach	Wed Jun 29 2005 08:00 AM
Re: Weird	Katie	Wed Jun 29 2005 09:42 AM
Re: Weird	Lysis-in-Texas	Wed Jun 29 2005 10:00 AM
Re: Weird	Colleen A.	Wed Jun 29 2005 11:29 AM
storms off coast	Katie	Wed Jun 29 2005 01:13 PM
Re: storms off coast	Colleen A.	Wed Jun 29 2005 01:20 PM
Re: storms off coast	WatchtheIslands	Wed Jun 29 2005 01:20 PM
Re: Weird	Lysis-in-Texas	Wed Jun 29 2005 11:13 AM
Re: Weird	Katie	Wed Jun 29 2005 11:30 AM
Re: Weird	adogg76	Wed Jun 29 2005 12:06 PM
Re: Weird	Lysis-in-Texas	Wed Jun 29 2005 01:09 PM
Lysis	Colleen A.	Wed Jun 29 2005 01:40 PM
Re: Lysis	SkeetoBite	Wed Jun 29 2005 04:54 PM
Body science	MapMaster	Wed Jun 29 2005 05:40 PM
Re: Body science	Ed G	Wed Jun 29 2005 06:21 PM
Re: Body science	Justin in Miami	Wed Jun 29 2005 06:46 PM
the playa and the forerunner	HanKFranK	Wed Jun 29 2005 07:56 PM
Re: the playa and the forerunner	ftlaudbob	Wed Jun 29 2005 09:32 PM
Re: the playa and the forerunner	Colleen A.	Thu Jun 30 2005 12:20 AM
joe b	HanKFranK	Thu Jun 30 2005 12:38 AM
Re: joe b	Tazmanian93	Thu Jun 30 2005 02:56 AM
A Hurricane threat next week for the East coast??	recmod	Thu Jun 30 2005 07:57 AM
Re: A Hurricane threat next week for the East coast??	GuppieGrouper	Thu Jun 30 2005 08:08 AM
Re: A Hurricane threat next week for the East coast??	Tazmanian93	Thu Jun 30 2005 08:46 AM
Re: A Hurricane threat next week for the East coast??	AgentB	Thu Jun 30 2005 10:36 AM
Re: A Hurricane threat next week for the East coast??	doug	Thu Jun 30 2005 11:32 AM
two more cents	HF at work	Thu Jun 30 2005 12:54 PM
Re: two more cents	Rabbit	Thu Jun 30 2005 02:09 PM
two more cents	rmbjoe1954	Thu Jun 30 2005 02:03 PM
Re: two more cents	danielw	Thu Jun 30 2005 02:16 PM
Caribbean	danielw	Thu Jun 30 2005 02:44 PM
Re: Caribbean	danielw	Thu Jun 30 2005 05:54 PM
Re: Caribbean	Storm Cooper	Thu Jun 30 2005 06:24 PM
Re: Caribbean	doug	Thu Jun 30 2005 03:32 PM
Re: Caribbean	Hurricane Fredrick 1979	Thu Jun 30 2005 03:11 PM
Re: Caribbean	Tazmanian93	Thu Jun 30 2005 04:19 PM
Re: Caribbean	danielw	Thu Jun 30 2005 04:41 PM
Re: Caribbean	Brad in Miami	Thu Jun 30 2005 05:08 PM
Re: Caribbean	danielw	Thu Jun 30 2005 05:18 PM
Re: Caribbean	Brad in Miami	Thu Jun 30 2005 05:38 PM
Re: Caribbean	Benjamin	Thu Jun 30 2005 05:37 PM
Re: Caribbean	Tazmanian93	Thu Jun 30 2005 04:52 PM
Re: A Hurricane threat next week for the East coast??	Wingman51	Thu Jun 30 2005 11:00 AM
Re: A Hurricane threat next week for the East coast??	Wingman51	Thu Jun 30 2005 08:34 AM
Now Back to our Regular Programming	danielw	Wed Jun 29 2005 06:45 PM
Re: Lysis	Lysis-in-Texas	Wed Jun 29 2005 01:48 PM
Re: Lysis	Colleen A.	Wed Jun 29 2005 02:34 PM
Tropical Wave	Jamiewx	Wed Jun 29 2005 03:26 PM
Re: Tropical Wave	Tazmanian93	Wed Jun 29 2005 03:58 PM
Re: Tropical Wave	Hurricane Fredrick 1979	Wed Jun 29 2005 04:32 PM
low formihg in gulf	butch	Wed Jun 29 2005 07:51 PM
Re: Tropical Wave	Keith234	Wed Jun 29 2005 04:37 PM
Re: Tropical Wave	Steve	Wed Jun 29 2005 04:12 PM
Re: Tropical Wave	Steve	Wed Jun 29 2005 03:42 PM
Re: Tropical Wave	Keith234	Wed Jun 29 2005 03:39 PM
bret on a pogo	HanKFranK	Tue Jun 28 2005 08:54 PM
Re: bret on a pogo	danielw	Tue Jun 28 2005 09:10 PM
Re: bret on a pogo	teal61	Tue Jun 28 2005 10:12 PM
Re: Focus Toward the Bay of Campeche	MapMaster	Tue Jun 28 2005 05:22 PM
Re: Focus Toward the Bay of Campeche	Tropics Guy	Tue Jun 28 2005 02:00 PM
Recon will go!!!	Cycloneye11	Tue Jun 28 2005 02:04 PM
Re: Recon will go!!!	scottsvb1	Tue Jun 28 2005 02:19 PM
Re: Recon will go!!!	Bloodstar	Tue Jun 28 2005 02:53 PM
movement	Rick on boat in Mobile	Tue Jun 28 2005 03:34 PM
Re: movement	rmbjoe1954	Tue Jun 28 2005 03:39 PM
Re: movement	doug	Tue Jun 28 2005 04:12 PM
Re: Recon will go!!!	HanKFranK	Tue Jun 28 2005 02:40 PM
Bret's running out of room....What's going on at 8N, 48W?	EMS	Tue Jun 28 2005 10:06 PM
laughs	HanKFranK	Tue Jun 28 2005 02:51 PM
What do you think about...	Cocoa Beach	Tue Jun 28 2005 10:08 AM
Re: What do you think about...	MikeC	Tue Jun 28 2005 10:27 AM
Hey Clark...	Steve	Tue Jun 28 2005 10:20 AM
Re: Focus Toward the Bay of Campeche	hurricah	Tue Jun 28 2005 08:43 AM
Re: Focus Toward the Bay of Campeche	LarryG	Tue Jun 28 2005 09:41 AM
Re: Focus Toward the Bay of Campeche	Katie	Tue Jun 28 2005 09:53 AM
Re: Focus Toward the Bay of Campeche	MapMaster	Tue Jun 28 2005 10:18 AM

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