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Unseasonably stout wave in Caribbean bringing enhanced showers and tstorms for several days, but lacks model support for development 5/26

Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 276 (Idalia) , Major: 276 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 276 (Idalia) Major: 276 (Idalia)

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News Talkback >> 2005 News Talkbacks

HanKFranK
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Posts: 1841
Loc: Graniteville, SC

stuff to watch
Fri Jul 01 2005 03:38 AM

sw carib feature has stolen the show as far as attention goes. globals have been tracking the moisture wnw into the western gulf by the middle of next week.. if development occurs along the way the pattern would be such that it turns north and hits the u.s. (louisiana or something), so definitely worth watching. 11pm two mentions that the system will be in a favorable environment... i'd watch for the itcz like surface trough north of panama to turn up a small low on the wave axis as it advances. there's already induced vorticity in the atmosphere as the convection has been kicking down there all day.. i'd say that in that scramble we'll see a low pressure are develop near san andres island tomorrow.
wave near 40w.. it's large and diffuse, but very good signature still and low pressure trying to develop in the sw-ne oriented atmospheric turning. as the system gets near 45-50w water temperatures are much warmer; i'm thinking that a discrete surface low will form out of this wave some time saturday. think this system will organize slowly and not go north of the islands and turn up at 60w as the models had been doing for days.. but stay weaker and further south.. and be with us for days to come.
gfs showing more suspicious features past the current wave.. tis the season.
HF 0432z01july

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Southwest Caribbean	MikeC	Fri Jul 01 2005 03:38 AM
Re: Southwest Caribbean	MikeC	Fri Jul 01 2005 11:23 AM
Re: Southwest Caribbean	Steve	Thu Jun 30 2005 10:42 PM
Re: Southwest Caribbean	Clark	Fri Jul 01 2005 02:03 AM
Re: Southwest Caribbean	danielw	Thu Jun 30 2005 11:00 PM
Re: Southwest Caribbean	Tazmanian93	Fri Jul 01 2005 02:26 AM
Re: Southwest Caribbean	Hurricane Fredrick 1979	Thu Jun 30 2005 10:46 PM
Re: Southwest Caribbean	Tazmanian93	Fri Jul 01 2005 02:48 AM
Re: Southwest Caribbean	Check again	Fri Jul 01 2005 03:10 AM
Re: Southwest Caribbean	Clark	Fri Jul 01 2005 03:40 AM
Re: Southwest Caribbean	Clark	Fri Jul 01 2005 02:09 PM
Re: Southwest Caribbean	Robert	Fri Jul 01 2005 03:25 PM
Re: Southwest Caribbean	Mapmaster	Fri Jul 01 2005 10:19 PM
Re: Southwest Caribbean	Orlando, FL	Fri Jul 01 2005 10:33 PM
Re: Southwest Caribbean	GuppieGrouper	Fri Jul 01 2005 11:14 PM
Re: Southwest Caribbean	danielw	Sat Jul 02 2005 12:36 AM
Re: Southwest Caribbean	Tazmanian93	Sat Jul 02 2005 02:28 AM
Re: Southwest Caribbean	danielw	Sat Jul 02 2005 02:44 AM
Re: Southwest Caribbean	danielw	Sat Jul 02 2005 08:48 AM
Re: Southwest Caribbean	Tazmanian93	Sat Jul 02 2005 10:32 AM
Re: Southwest Caribbean	danielw	Sat Jul 02 2005 10:58 AM
Re: Southwest Caribbean	danielw	Sat Jul 02 2005 11:13 AM
emphasis	HanKFranK	Sat Jul 02 2005 03:37 PM
Caribbean Development	Rich B	Sat Jul 02 2005 03:45 PM
Re: Caribbean Development	GuppieGrouper	Sat Jul 02 2005 05:16 PM
Re: Caribbean Development	recmod	Sat Jul 02 2005 05:45 PM
Re: Caribbean Development	Orlando, FL	Sat Jul 02 2005 05:53 PM
Re: Caribbean Development	Storm Cooper	Sat Jul 02 2005 05:55 PM
recon	HanKFranK	Sat Jul 02 2005 08:30 PM
Re: recon	Clark	Sat Jul 02 2005 09:05 PM
Re: recon	schmoo	Sat Jul 02 2005 09:33 PM
Re: recon	Lysis-in-Texas	Sat Jul 02 2005 09:35 PM
Re: recon	Clark	Sun Jul 03 2005 04:26 AM
Re: recon	FlaMommy	Sat Jul 02 2005 09:44 PM
alberto/fla	HanKFranK	Sat Jul 02 2005 10:04 PM
Re: alberto/fla	GuppieGrouper	Sat Jul 02 2005 10:27 PM
Re: alberto/fla	Keith234	Sat Jul 02 2005 10:51 PM
Re: alberto/fla	Big tk	Sun Jul 03 2005 12:00 AM
Re: alberto/fla	Tazmanian93	Sun Jul 03 2005 04:14 AM
Re: alberto/fla	Clark	Sun Jul 03 2005 04:29 AM
Re: alberto/fla	Tazmanian93	Sun Jul 03 2005 04:30 AM
Re: alberto/fla	Clark	Sun Jul 03 2005 04:39 AM
Re: alberto/fla	Hurric	Sun Jul 03 2005 12:22 PM
Re: alberto/fla	Hurric	Sun Jul 03 2005 12:37 PM
TD? and the Yucatan	Rich B	Sun Jul 03 2005 02:30 PM
Re: TD? and the Yucatan	Keith234	Sun Jul 03 2005 02:52 PM
Re: TD? and the Yucatan	rmbjoe1954	Sun Jul 03 2005 03:21 PM
Re: TD? and the Yucatan	Kevin	Sun Jul 03 2005 06:36 PM
Re: TD? and the Yucatan	GuppieGrouper	Sun Jul 03 2005 06:49 PM
Re: TD? and the Yucatan	Storm Cooper	Sun Jul 03 2005 06:57 PM
Amazing!!	MaoMaster	Sun Jul 03 2005 07:30 PM
Re: TD? and the Yucatan	Maybe maybe not	Sun Jul 03 2005 02:46 PM
Re: TD? and the Yucatan	Jamiewx	Sun Jul 03 2005 03:29 PM
Re: TD? and the Yucatan	Hurric	Sun Jul 03 2005 03:47 PM
Re: TD? and the Yucatan	Storm Cooper	Sun Jul 03 2005 04:12 PM
invests and lamentations	HanKFranK	Sun Jul 03 2005 05:11 PM
Re: invests and lamentations	Keith234	Sun Jul 03 2005 05:34 PM
Re: invests and lamentations	Storm Cooper	Sun Jul 03 2005 05:23 PM
Re: TD? and the Yucatan	Keith234	Sun Jul 03 2005 04:10 PM
Re: TD? and the Yucatan	Ed Dunham	Sun Jul 03 2005 03:15 PM
Re: TD? and the Yucatan	maybe maybe not	Sun Jul 03 2005 03:47 PM
Re: TD? and the Yucatan	Rabbit	Sun Jul 03 2005 05:46 PM
Re: TD? and the Yucatan	Keith234	Sun Jul 03 2005 05:59 PM
Re: TD? and the Yucatan	Rabbit	Sun Jul 03 2005 06:02 PM
Re: errata	MapMaster	Sun Jul 03 2005 07:34 PM
Active	Jamiewx	Sun Jul 03 2005 08:06 PM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION #3 FORMS!!!!!!	recmod	Sun Jul 03 2005 08:31 PM
Re: TROPICAL DEPRESSION #3 FORMS!!!!!!	Kevin	Sun Jul 03 2005 08:54 PM
Re: TROPICAL DEPRESSION #3 FORMS!!!!!!	Big Tk	Mon Jul 04 2005 12:35 AM
Re: TROPICAL DEPRESSION #3 FORMS!!!!!!	Lysis-	Sun Jul 03 2005 08:59 PM
Re: TROPICAL DEPRESSION #3 FORMS!!!!!!	-lysis	Mon Jul 04 2005 12:12 AM
Re: alberto/fla	Keith234	Sun Jul 03 2005 12:14 AM
Caribbean	danielw	Sun Jul 03 2005 12:39 AM
Re: Caribbean	Keith234	Sun Jul 03 2005 12:46 AM
Re: Caribbean	danielw	Sun Jul 03 2005 12:57 AM
Re: Caribbean	Keith234	Sun Jul 03 2005 01:07 AM
Re: Caribbean	danielw	Sun Jul 03 2005 01:53 AM
Re: recon	GuppieGrouper	Sat Jul 02 2005 10:03 PM
Re: recon	FlaMommy	Sat Jul 02 2005 10:06 PM
Re: recon	Storm Cooper	Sat Jul 02 2005 08:58 PM
Re: Caribbean Development	Storm Cooper	Sat Jul 02 2005 03:54 PM
Southwest Caribbean	danielw	Fri Jul 01 2005 10:33 AM
stuff to watch	HanKFranK	Fri Jul 01 2005 03:38 AM

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