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First day of the Atlantic Hurricane season, no tropical activity on the horizon in the near term. Mid August is usually when things pick up.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 276 (Idalia) , Major: 276 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 276 (Idalia) Major: 276 (Idalia)
 


News Talkback >> 2005 News Talkbacks

HanKFranK
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Posts: 1841
Loc: Graniteville, SC
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      Sat Jul 02 2005 03:37 PM

globals got bored with that east atlantic wave. it's still out there, still amplified; even has a small (nowhere near the overall low level vorticity it had a couple days ago, though) surface low. convection has been very sparing, though. the wave envelope was also large, and sort of disjointed. they still track it west into the caribbean, but it isn't shown developing much (although the amplification remaining on the wave makes it implicit that it could develop given the right atmopsheric profile). i still think it can do something, but my development over the weekend theory from earlier isn't holding much water.. not much at all.
doing a little better so far on the western caribbean wave. that surface low i'd envisioned isn't there either, but there is a broad, slow gyre at the low levels, adequate to extensive convection, and a good and improving environment aloft. i'm fairly sure this will develop over the next few days and make a run at the central gulf coast (read louisiana) around wednesday.
one other thing of interest... there are small rumblings of mjo activity starting in the opposite hemisphere. it'll be a month before any of it shows up on our side of the world, but it may contribute to 'clustering' development at times this season.
HF 1631z02july

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Southwest Caribbean MikeCAdministrator Sat Jul 02 2005 03:37 PM
. * * Re: Southwest Caribbean MikeCAdministrator   Fri Jul 01 2005 11:23 AM
. * * Re: Southwest Caribbean Steve   Thu Jun 30 2005 10:42 PM
. * * Re: Southwest Caribbean Clark   Fri Jul 01 2005 02:03 AM
. * * Re: Southwest Caribbean danielwAdministrator   Thu Jun 30 2005 11:00 PM
. * * Re: Southwest Caribbean Tazmanian93   Fri Jul 01 2005 02:26 AM
. * * Re: Southwest Caribbean Hurricane Fredrick 1979   Thu Jun 30 2005 10:46 PM
. * * Re: Southwest Caribbean Tazmanian93   Fri Jul 01 2005 02:48 AM
. * * Re: Southwest Caribbean Check again   Fri Jul 01 2005 03:10 AM
. * * Re: Southwest Caribbean Clark   Fri Jul 01 2005 03:40 AM
. * * Re: Southwest Caribbean Clark   Fri Jul 01 2005 02:09 PM
. * * Re: Southwest Caribbean Robert   Fri Jul 01 2005 03:25 PM
. * * Re: Southwest Caribbean Mapmaster   Fri Jul 01 2005 10:19 PM
. * * Re: Southwest Caribbean Orlando, FL   Fri Jul 01 2005 10:33 PM
. * * Re: Southwest Caribbean GuppieGrouper   Fri Jul 01 2005 11:14 PM
. * * Re: Southwest Caribbean danielwAdministrator   Sat Jul 02 2005 12:36 AM
. * * Re: Southwest Caribbean Tazmanian93   Sat Jul 02 2005 02:28 AM
. * * Re: Southwest Caribbean danielwAdministrator   Sat Jul 02 2005 02:44 AM
. * * Re: Southwest Caribbean danielwAdministrator   Sat Jul 02 2005 08:48 AM
. * * Re: Southwest Caribbean Tazmanian93   Sat Jul 02 2005 10:32 AM
. * * Re: Southwest Caribbean danielwAdministrator   Sat Jul 02 2005 10:58 AM
. * * Re: Southwest Caribbean danielwAdministrator   Sat Jul 02 2005 11:13 AM
. * * emphasis HanKFranK   Sat Jul 02 2005 03:37 PM
. * * Caribbean Development Rich B   Sat Jul 02 2005 03:45 PM
. * * Re: Caribbean Development GuppieGrouper   Sat Jul 02 2005 05:16 PM
. * * Re: Caribbean Development recmod   Sat Jul 02 2005 05:45 PM
. * * Re: Caribbean Development Orlando, FL   Sat Jul 02 2005 05:53 PM
. * * Re: Caribbean Development Storm Cooper   Sat Jul 02 2005 05:55 PM
. * * recon HanKFranK   Sat Jul 02 2005 08:30 PM
. * * Re: recon Clark   Sat Jul 02 2005 09:05 PM
. * * Re: recon schmoo   Sat Jul 02 2005 09:33 PM
. * * Re: recon Lysis-in-Texas   Sat Jul 02 2005 09:35 PM
. * * Re: recon Clark   Sun Jul 03 2005 04:26 AM
. * * Re: recon FlaMommy   Sat Jul 02 2005 09:44 PM
. * * alberto/fla HanKFranK   Sat Jul 02 2005 10:04 PM
. * * Re: alberto/fla GuppieGrouper   Sat Jul 02 2005 10:27 PM
. * * Re: alberto/fla Keith234   Sat Jul 02 2005 10:51 PM
. * * Re: alberto/fla Big tk   Sun Jul 03 2005 12:00 AM
. * * Re: alberto/fla Tazmanian93   Sun Jul 03 2005 04:14 AM
. * * Re: alberto/fla Clark   Sun Jul 03 2005 04:29 AM
. * * Re: alberto/fla Tazmanian93   Sun Jul 03 2005 04:30 AM
. * * Re: alberto/fla Clark   Sun Jul 03 2005 04:39 AM
. * * Re: alberto/fla Hurric   Sun Jul 03 2005 12:22 PM
. * * Re: alberto/fla Hurric   Sun Jul 03 2005 12:37 PM
. * * TD? and the Yucatan Rich B   Sun Jul 03 2005 02:30 PM
. * * Re: TD? and the Yucatan Keith234   Sun Jul 03 2005 02:52 PM
. * * Re: TD? and the Yucatan rmbjoe1954   Sun Jul 03 2005 03:21 PM
. * * Re: TD? and the Yucatan Kevin   Sun Jul 03 2005 06:36 PM
. * * Re: TD? and the Yucatan GuppieGrouper   Sun Jul 03 2005 06:49 PM
. * * Re: TD? and the Yucatan Storm Cooper   Sun Jul 03 2005 06:57 PM
. * * Amazing!! MaoMaster   Sun Jul 03 2005 07:30 PM
. * * Re: TD? and the Yucatan Maybe maybe not   Sun Jul 03 2005 02:46 PM
. * * Re: TD? and the Yucatan Jamiewx   Sun Jul 03 2005 03:29 PM
. * * Re: TD? and the Yucatan Hurric   Sun Jul 03 2005 03:47 PM
. * * Re: TD? and the Yucatan Storm Cooper   Sun Jul 03 2005 04:12 PM
. * * invests and lamentations HanKFranK   Sun Jul 03 2005 05:11 PM
. * * Re: invests and lamentations Keith234   Sun Jul 03 2005 05:34 PM
. * * Re: invests and lamentations Storm Cooper   Sun Jul 03 2005 05:23 PM
. * * Re: TD? and the Yucatan Keith234   Sun Jul 03 2005 04:10 PM
. * * Re: TD? and the Yucatan Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sun Jul 03 2005 03:15 PM
. * * Re: TD? and the Yucatan maybe maybe not   Sun Jul 03 2005 03:47 PM
. * * Re: TD? and the Yucatan Rabbit   Sun Jul 03 2005 05:46 PM
. * * Re: TD? and the Yucatan Keith234   Sun Jul 03 2005 05:59 PM
. * * Re: TD? and the Yucatan Rabbit   Sun Jul 03 2005 06:02 PM
. * * Re: errata MapMaster   Sun Jul 03 2005 07:34 PM
. * * Active Jamiewx   Sun Jul 03 2005 08:06 PM
. * * TROPICAL DEPRESSION #3 FORMS!!!!!! recmod   Sun Jul 03 2005 08:31 PM
. * * Re: TROPICAL DEPRESSION #3 FORMS!!!!!! Kevin   Sun Jul 03 2005 08:54 PM
. * * Re: TROPICAL DEPRESSION #3 FORMS!!!!!! Big Tk   Mon Jul 04 2005 12:35 AM
. * * Re: TROPICAL DEPRESSION #3 FORMS!!!!!! Lysis-   Sun Jul 03 2005 08:59 PM
. * * Re: TROPICAL DEPRESSION #3 FORMS!!!!!! -lysis   Mon Jul 04 2005 12:12 AM
. * * Re: alberto/fla Keith234   Sun Jul 03 2005 12:14 AM
. * * Caribbean danielwAdministrator   Sun Jul 03 2005 12:39 AM
. * * Re: Caribbean Keith234   Sun Jul 03 2005 12:46 AM
. * * Re: Caribbean danielwAdministrator   Sun Jul 03 2005 12:57 AM
. * * Re: Caribbean Keith234   Sun Jul 03 2005 01:07 AM
. * * Re: Caribbean danielwAdministrator   Sun Jul 03 2005 01:53 AM
. * * Re: recon GuppieGrouper   Sat Jul 02 2005 10:03 PM
. * * Re: recon FlaMommy   Sat Jul 02 2005 10:06 PM
. * * Re: recon Storm Cooper   Sat Jul 02 2005 08:58 PM
. * * Re: Caribbean Development Storm Cooper   Sat Jul 02 2005 03:54 PM
. * * Southwest Caribbean danielwAdministrator   Fri Jul 01 2005 10:33 AM
. * * stuff to watch HanKFranK   Fri Jul 01 2005 03:38 AM

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