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News Talkback >> 2005 News Talkbacks

danielw
Moderator

Reged:
Posts: 3525
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)

Re: Caribbean
Sun Jul 03 2005 01:53 AM

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD 625 PM EDT SAT JUL 02 2005 (edited~danielw)

DAY 3...
..GULF COAST LA/MS APPROACHING TROPICAL SYSTEM FROM GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD SPREAD DEEP LAYER MOISTURE INTO THE AREA.12Z NAM BRINGS HVY AMNTS INTO LA BY END OF PERIOD WHILE 12Z GFS TARGETS COASTAL MISSISSIPPI. MANUAL QPF SLOWED SYSTEM SPEED SOMEWHAT AND KEPT MAXIMUM INITIALLY ACROSS SE LA.

http://kamala.cod.edu/HPC/latest.fxus04.KWBC.html
**********************************************************************
MODEL DIAGNOSTIC DISCUSSION NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD 143 PM EDT SAT JUL 02 2005 (edited~danielw)
VALID JUL 02/1200 UTC THRU JUL 06/0000 UTC

..TROPICAL WAVE INTO THE GOMEX
THE 12Z NAM IS SIMILAR IN STRENGTH WITH THE 00Z RUN BUT CONTINUES TO MOVE THE WAVE MORE SLOWLY AS IT CROSSES THE YUCATAN AND INTO THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO. THE 12Z GFS IS ALSO MAINTAINING CONTINUITY WITH ITS PREVIOUS RUNS IN BRINGING A WEAK WAVE INTO THE GOMEX AROUND THE PERIMETER OF A SUBTROPICAL HIGH.
MODEL DIFFERENCES AND PREFERENCES...
..TROPICAL WAVE INTO THE GOMEX
THE NAM REMAINS MUCH STRONGER WITH THE TROPICAL WAVE MOVING ACROSS THE YUCATAN INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO...WHILE THE GFS HAS MUCH WEAKER WAVE THAT ROTATES QUICKLY AROUND THE WESTERN SIDE OF A SUBTROPICAL HIGH. THE 12Z UKMET AND CANADIAN BOTH LOOK MORE LIKE THE NAM THAN THE GFS...BUT NEITHER VORT MAX IS AS STRONG AS THE NAM. THE CANADIAN IS CLOSE TO THE NAM WHILE THE UKMET TAKES THE SAME DIRECTION BUT SHIFTED ABOUT 180 MILES EAST. AT THIS POINT...WE ARE RECOMMENDING A PATH SIMILAR TO THE NAM BUT NOT AS STRONG.
http://kamala.cod.edu/HPC/latest.fxus10.KWNH.html

All of these products are from previous model runs and are subject to change. Please consult your local NWS office for official forecast and advisories~danielw

Edited by danielw (Sun Jul 03 2005 02:08 AM)

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Southwest Caribbean	MikeC	Sun Jul 03 2005 01:53 AM
Re: Southwest Caribbean	MikeC	Fri Jul 01 2005 11:23 AM
Re: Southwest Caribbean	Steve	Thu Jun 30 2005 10:42 PM
Re: Southwest Caribbean	Clark	Fri Jul 01 2005 02:03 AM
Re: Southwest Caribbean	danielw	Thu Jun 30 2005 11:00 PM
Re: Southwest Caribbean	Tazmanian93	Fri Jul 01 2005 02:26 AM
Re: Southwest Caribbean	Hurricane Fredrick 1979	Thu Jun 30 2005 10:46 PM
Re: Southwest Caribbean	Tazmanian93	Fri Jul 01 2005 02:48 AM
Re: Southwest Caribbean	Check again	Fri Jul 01 2005 03:10 AM
Re: Southwest Caribbean	Clark	Fri Jul 01 2005 03:40 AM
Re: Southwest Caribbean	Clark	Fri Jul 01 2005 02:09 PM
Re: Southwest Caribbean	Robert	Fri Jul 01 2005 03:25 PM
Re: Southwest Caribbean	Mapmaster	Fri Jul 01 2005 10:19 PM
Re: Southwest Caribbean	Orlando, FL	Fri Jul 01 2005 10:33 PM
Re: Southwest Caribbean	GuppieGrouper	Fri Jul 01 2005 11:14 PM
Re: Southwest Caribbean	danielw	Sat Jul 02 2005 12:36 AM
Re: Southwest Caribbean	Tazmanian93	Sat Jul 02 2005 02:28 AM
Re: Southwest Caribbean	danielw	Sat Jul 02 2005 02:44 AM
Re: Southwest Caribbean	danielw	Sat Jul 02 2005 08:48 AM
Re: Southwest Caribbean	Tazmanian93	Sat Jul 02 2005 10:32 AM
Re: Southwest Caribbean	danielw	Sat Jul 02 2005 10:58 AM
Re: Southwest Caribbean	danielw	Sat Jul 02 2005 11:13 AM
emphasis	HanKFranK	Sat Jul 02 2005 03:37 PM
Caribbean Development	Rich B	Sat Jul 02 2005 03:45 PM
Re: Caribbean Development	GuppieGrouper	Sat Jul 02 2005 05:16 PM
Re: Caribbean Development	recmod	Sat Jul 02 2005 05:45 PM
Re: Caribbean Development	Orlando, FL	Sat Jul 02 2005 05:53 PM
Re: Caribbean Development	Storm Cooper	Sat Jul 02 2005 05:55 PM
recon	HanKFranK	Sat Jul 02 2005 08:30 PM
Re: recon	Clark	Sat Jul 02 2005 09:05 PM
Re: recon	schmoo	Sat Jul 02 2005 09:33 PM
Re: recon	Lysis-in-Texas	Sat Jul 02 2005 09:35 PM
Re: recon	Clark	Sun Jul 03 2005 04:26 AM
Re: recon	FlaMommy	Sat Jul 02 2005 09:44 PM
alberto/fla	HanKFranK	Sat Jul 02 2005 10:04 PM
Re: alberto/fla	GuppieGrouper	Sat Jul 02 2005 10:27 PM
Re: alberto/fla	Keith234	Sat Jul 02 2005 10:51 PM
Re: alberto/fla	Big tk	Sun Jul 03 2005 12:00 AM
Re: alberto/fla	Tazmanian93	Sun Jul 03 2005 04:14 AM
Re: alberto/fla	Clark	Sun Jul 03 2005 04:29 AM
Re: alberto/fla	Tazmanian93	Sun Jul 03 2005 04:30 AM
Re: alberto/fla	Clark	Sun Jul 03 2005 04:39 AM
Re: alberto/fla	Hurric	Sun Jul 03 2005 12:22 PM
Re: alberto/fla	Hurric	Sun Jul 03 2005 12:37 PM
TD? and the Yucatan	Rich B	Sun Jul 03 2005 02:30 PM
Re: TD? and the Yucatan	Keith234	Sun Jul 03 2005 02:52 PM
Re: TD? and the Yucatan	rmbjoe1954	Sun Jul 03 2005 03:21 PM
Re: TD? and the Yucatan	Kevin	Sun Jul 03 2005 06:36 PM
Re: TD? and the Yucatan	GuppieGrouper	Sun Jul 03 2005 06:49 PM
Re: TD? and the Yucatan	Storm Cooper	Sun Jul 03 2005 06:57 PM
Amazing!!	MaoMaster	Sun Jul 03 2005 07:30 PM
Re: TD? and the Yucatan	Maybe maybe not	Sun Jul 03 2005 02:46 PM
Re: TD? and the Yucatan	Jamiewx	Sun Jul 03 2005 03:29 PM
Re: TD? and the Yucatan	Hurric	Sun Jul 03 2005 03:47 PM
Re: TD? and the Yucatan	Storm Cooper	Sun Jul 03 2005 04:12 PM
invests and lamentations	HanKFranK	Sun Jul 03 2005 05:11 PM
Re: invests and lamentations	Keith234	Sun Jul 03 2005 05:34 PM
Re: invests and lamentations	Storm Cooper	Sun Jul 03 2005 05:23 PM
Re: TD? and the Yucatan	Keith234	Sun Jul 03 2005 04:10 PM
Re: TD? and the Yucatan	Ed Dunham	Sun Jul 03 2005 03:15 PM
Re: TD? and the Yucatan	maybe maybe not	Sun Jul 03 2005 03:47 PM
Re: TD? and the Yucatan	Rabbit	Sun Jul 03 2005 05:46 PM
Re: TD? and the Yucatan	Keith234	Sun Jul 03 2005 05:59 PM
Re: TD? and the Yucatan	Rabbit	Sun Jul 03 2005 06:02 PM
Re: errata	MapMaster	Sun Jul 03 2005 07:34 PM
Active	Jamiewx	Sun Jul 03 2005 08:06 PM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION #3 FORMS!!!!!!	recmod	Sun Jul 03 2005 08:31 PM
Re: TROPICAL DEPRESSION #3 FORMS!!!!!!	Kevin	Sun Jul 03 2005 08:54 PM
Re: TROPICAL DEPRESSION #3 FORMS!!!!!!	Big Tk	Mon Jul 04 2005 12:35 AM
Re: TROPICAL DEPRESSION #3 FORMS!!!!!!	Lysis-	Sun Jul 03 2005 08:59 PM
Re: TROPICAL DEPRESSION #3 FORMS!!!!!!	-lysis	Mon Jul 04 2005 12:12 AM
Re: alberto/fla	Keith234	Sun Jul 03 2005 12:14 AM
Caribbean	danielw	Sun Jul 03 2005 12:39 AM
Re: Caribbean	Keith234	Sun Jul 03 2005 12:46 AM
Re: Caribbean	danielw	Sun Jul 03 2005 12:57 AM
Re: Caribbean	Keith234	Sun Jul 03 2005 01:07 AM
Re: Caribbean	danielw	Sun Jul 03 2005 01:53 AM
Re: recon	GuppieGrouper	Sat Jul 02 2005 10:03 PM
Re: recon	FlaMommy	Sat Jul 02 2005 10:06 PM
Re: recon	Storm Cooper	Sat Jul 02 2005 08:58 PM
Re: Caribbean Development	Storm Cooper	Sat Jul 02 2005 03:54 PM
Southwest Caribbean	danielw	Fri Jul 01 2005 10:33 AM
stuff to watch	HanKFranK	Fri Jul 01 2005 03:38 AM

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