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Tropical Storm Watch issued for the Lower and Middle Florida Keys from Key West to W of Channel 5 Bridge, and for the Dry Tortugas #RAFAEL #FLWX
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 25 (Milton) , Major: 25 (Milton) Florida - Any: 25 (Milton) Major: 25 (Milton)
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ADV#10 11:00 am EDT
38.5N 16.2W
Wind: 35MPH
Pres: 999mb
Moving:
Ene at 17 mph
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TS Rafael
ADV#5A 6:00 pm EDT
15.8N 76.9W
Wind: 45MPH
Pres: 1000mb
Moving:
Nnw at 9 mph
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Clark
Meteorologist


Reged:
Posts: 1710
Re: Dennis Over Cuba
      Fri Jul 08 2005 06:46 PM

To answer three questions in the thread...

We will know more tomorrow about the evolution of the flow pattern as it relates to Dennis, both with the ridge and the trough.

It is not necessarily a cold front passing through Texas, but is an upper-level feature.

The stronger trough was alluded to last night, yes. It could dive south, it could move east, or it could move southeast. All have different results towards the track, whether taking the storm north, north-northwest, or northwest (not in any order) to landfall. It'd probably erode the ridge more than the models indicate, but you also have to keep in mind the possibility that the ridge ends up being stronger than the models indicate. That may not be the case, but is always a possibility until proven otherwise.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Dennis Over Cuba MikeCAdministrator Fri Jul 08 2005 06:46 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba MikeCAdministrator   Fri Jul 08 2005 07:11 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba KC   Fri Jul 08 2005 07:16 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba TDW   Fri Jul 08 2005 07:14 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba OrlandoDan   Fri Jul 08 2005 07:16 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba GuppieGrouper   Fri Jul 08 2005 07:22 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba stormchazer   Fri Jul 08 2005 07:31 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba OrlandoDan   Fri Jul 08 2005 07:36 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba OrlandoDan   Fri Jul 08 2005 07:44 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba OrlandoDan   Fri Jul 08 2005 07:58 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba SeeSaw99   Fri Jul 08 2005 08:03 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba AndyG   Fri Jul 08 2005 08:03 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba pcola   Fri Jul 08 2005 07:48 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba Keith234   Fri Jul 08 2005 08:03 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba Steve H1   Fri Jul 08 2005 08:12 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba h2ocean   Fri Jul 08 2005 08:19 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba MichaelA   Fri Jul 08 2005 08:28 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba TDW   Fri Jul 08 2005 08:32 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba Keith234   Fri Jul 08 2005 08:37 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba Kevin   Fri Jul 08 2005 08:23 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba Colleen A.   Fri Jul 08 2005 08:34 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba Margie   Fri Jul 08 2005 08:59 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba Colleen A.   Fri Jul 08 2005 09:27 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba Margie   Fri Jul 08 2005 09:33 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba Colleen A.   Fri Jul 08 2005 09:37 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba Margie   Fri Jul 08 2005 09:56 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba OrlandoDan   Fri Jul 08 2005 09:42 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba Colleen A.   Fri Jul 08 2005 09:52 PM
. * * Tornado watches twizted sizter   Fri Jul 08 2005 09:58 PM
. * * Re: Tornado watches h2ocean   Fri Jul 08 2005 10:06 PM
. * * Re: Going West stormchazer   Fri Jul 08 2005 10:11 PM
. * * Re: Going West Frank P   Fri Jul 08 2005 10:19 PM
. * * Re: Going West Colleen A.   Fri Jul 08 2005 10:25 PM
. * * Re: Going West Frank P   Fri Jul 08 2005 10:31 PM
. * * Re: Going West MarcoResi   Fri Jul 08 2005 10:21 PM
. * * Re: Going West RedingtonBeachGuy   Fri Jul 08 2005 10:32 PM
. * * Re: Going West jr928   Fri Jul 08 2005 10:34 PM
. * * Re: Going West bn765   Fri Jul 08 2005 10:36 PM
. * * Re: Going West MarcoResi   Fri Jul 08 2005 10:15 PM
. * * Re: Tornado watches OrlandoDan   Fri Jul 08 2005 10:09 PM
. * * Re: Tornado watches MarcoResi   Fri Jul 08 2005 10:11 PM
. * * Re: Tornado watches traka   Fri Jul 08 2005 10:30 PM
. * * Re: Tornado watches Rasvar   Fri Jul 08 2005 10:32 PM
. * * Re: Tornado watches SirCane   Fri Jul 08 2005 10:35 PM
. * * Re: Tornado watches Rasvar   Fri Jul 08 2005 10:36 PM
. * * Re: Tornado watches MarcoResi   Fri Jul 08 2005 10:13 PM
. * * Re: Tornado watches MarcoResi   Fri Jul 08 2005 10:08 PM
. * * Re: Tornado watches Elaine H   Fri Jul 08 2005 10:01 PM
. * * Re: Tornado watches Rasvar   Fri Jul 08 2005 10:04 PM
. * * 85 degree water jth   Fri Jul 08 2005 10:08 PM
. * * Re: 85 degree water TDW   Fri Jul 08 2005 10:10 PM
. * * Re: 85 degree water mbfly   Fri Jul 08 2005 10:29 PM
. * * Re: 85 degree water RedingtonBeachGuy   Fri Jul 08 2005 10:37 PM
. * * Re: 85 degree water TDW   Fri Jul 08 2005 10:35 PM
. * * Re: 85 degree water mbfly   Fri Jul 08 2005 11:08 PM
. * * Re: 85 degree water MikeCAdministrator   Fri Jul 08 2005 11:10 PM
. * * Re: 85 degree water mbfly   Fri Jul 08 2005 11:19 PM
. * * Re: 85 degree water Frank P   Fri Jul 08 2005 11:24 PM
. * * Re: 85 degree water TDW   Fri Jul 08 2005 11:15 PM
. * * Re: 85 degree water mbfly   Fri Jul 08 2005 11:27 PM
. * * Re: 85 degree water mbfly   Fri Jul 08 2005 10:39 PM
. * * Re: 85 degree water Terra   Fri Jul 08 2005 10:43 PM
. * * Re: 85 degree water WeatherNLU   Fri Jul 08 2005 10:43 PM
. * * Re: 85 degree water OrlandoDan   Fri Jul 08 2005 10:38 PM
. * * Re: 85 degree water RedingtonBeachGuy   Fri Jul 08 2005 10:46 PM
. * * Re: 85 degree water Rasvar   Fri Jul 08 2005 10:41 PM
. * * 11:00 forecast summary Frank P   Fri Jul 08 2005 10:37 PM
. * * Re: 11:00 forecast summary msmith43   Fri Jul 08 2005 10:48 PM
. * * Re: 11:00 forecast summary Colleen A.   Fri Jul 08 2005 10:45 PM
. * * Re: 11:00 forecast summary Steve H1   Fri Jul 08 2005 11:14 PM
. * * Re: 11:00 forecast summary MarcoResi   Fri Jul 08 2005 11:16 PM
. * * Re: 11:00 forecast summary FlaMommy   Fri Jul 08 2005 11:15 PM
. * * Thus far NHC has been magnificant... Frank P   Fri Jul 08 2005 10:52 PM
. * * Re: Thus far NHC has been magnificant... susieq   Fri Jul 08 2005 10:59 PM
. * * Re: Thus far NHC has been magnificant... Frank P   Fri Jul 08 2005 11:17 PM
. * * Re: Thus far NHC has been magnificant... MarcoResi   Fri Jul 08 2005 11:20 PM
. * * Re: Thus far NHC has been magnificant... Margie   Fri Jul 08 2005 11:22 PM
. * * Re: Thus far NHC has been magnificant... pcola   Fri Jul 08 2005 11:19 PM
. * * Re: Thus far NHC has been magnificant... Baudelaire   Fri Jul 08 2005 11:00 PM
. * * Re: Thus far NHC has been magnificant... Storm Hunter   Fri Jul 08 2005 11:33 PM
. * * Re: Thus far NHC has been magnificant... mom2als   Fri Jul 08 2005 11:24 PM
. * * Re: Thus far NHC has been magnificant... TDW   Fri Jul 08 2005 11:03 PM
. * * Re: 11:00 forecast summary Rasvar   Fri Jul 08 2005 10:45 PM
. * * Re: 85 degree water NewWatcher   Fri Jul 08 2005 10:37 PM
. * * Re: 85 degree water OrlandoDan   Fri Jul 08 2005 10:27 PM
. * * Re: 85 degree water MarcoResi   Fri Jul 08 2005 10:29 PM
. * * Re: Tornado watches Jamiewx   Fri Jul 08 2005 09:59 PM
. * * Re: Tornado watches twizted sizter   Fri Jul 08 2005 10:02 PM
. * * Re: Tornado watches Rasvar   Fri Jul 08 2005 10:09 PM
. * * Re: Tornado watches RedingtonBeachGuy   Fri Jul 08 2005 10:02 PM
. * * Re: Tornado watches Colleen A.   Fri Jul 08 2005 10:15 PM
. * * Re: Tornado watches Rasvar   Fri Jul 08 2005 10:18 PM
. * * Re: Tornado watches leetdan   Fri Jul 08 2005 10:14 PM
. * * Re: Tornado watches msmith43   Fri Jul 08 2005 10:15 PM
. * * Re: Tornado watches Colleen A.   Fri Jul 08 2005 10:20 PM
. * * Re: Tornado watches BillD   Fri Jul 08 2005 10:30 PM
. * * Maybe it's just me... bamffl   Fri Jul 08 2005 10:48 PM
. * * Re: Maybe it's just me... Bev   Fri Jul 08 2005 11:01 PM
. * * Re: Maybe it's just me... OrlandoDan   Fri Jul 08 2005 11:33 PM
. * * Re: Maybe it's just me... bamffl   Fri Jul 08 2005 11:16 PM
. * * Re: Maybe it's just me... Bev   Fri Jul 08 2005 11:21 PM
. * * Re: Maybe it's just me... tpratch   Fri Jul 08 2005 11:19 PM
. * * Re: Maybe it's just me... MarcoResi   Fri Jul 08 2005 11:03 PM
. * * Re: Maybe it's just me... jkbtrb   Fri Jul 08 2005 11:07 PM
. * * Re: Maybe it's just me... RevUp   Fri Jul 08 2005 11:34 PM
. * * Re: Maybe it's just me... mud1967   Fri Jul 08 2005 11:19 PM
. * * Re: Maybe it's just me... msmith43   Fri Jul 08 2005 11:11 PM
. * * Re: Maybe it's just me... MarcoResi   Fri Jul 08 2005 11:13 PM
. * * Re: Maybe it's just me... dolfinatic   Fri Jul 08 2005 11:16 PM
. * * Re: Maybe it's just me... MarcoResi   Fri Jul 08 2005 11:17 PM
. * * Re: Maybe it's just me... dolfinatic   Fri Jul 08 2005 11:25 PM
. * * Re: Maybe it's just me... dolfinatic   Fri Jul 08 2005 11:28 PM
. * * NEW POST MarcoResi   Fri Jul 08 2005 11:30 PM
. * * Re: Maybe it's just me... pcola   Fri Jul 08 2005 11:15 PM
. * * Re: Maybe it's just me... pcola   Fri Jul 08 2005 11:05 PM
. * * Re: Maybe it's just me... OrlandoDan   Fri Jul 08 2005 10:58 PM
. * * Re: Maybe it's just me... Rasvar   Fri Jul 08 2005 10:53 PM
. * * Re: Maybe it's just me... tpratch   Fri Jul 08 2005 11:13 PM
. * * Re: Maybe it's just me... Storm Hunter   Fri Jul 08 2005 10:59 PM
. * * massive thunderstorm!! MarcoResi   Fri Jul 08 2005 10:58 PM
. * * Trough Big Red Machine   Fri Jul 08 2005 10:33 PM
. * * Good Links Colleen A.   Fri Jul 08 2005 10:37 PM
. * * Re: Storm Surge Ron Basso   Fri Jul 08 2005 10:27 PM
. * * Re: Tornado watches msmith43   Fri Jul 08 2005 10:23 PM
. * * Re: Tornado watches MarcoResi   Fri Jul 08 2005 10:25 PM
. * * Re: Tornado watches Storm Hunter   Fri Jul 08 2005 10:20 PM
. * * Re: Tornado watches Rasvar   Fri Jul 08 2005 10:20 PM
. * * Re: Tornado watches MarcoResi   Fri Jul 08 2005 10:18 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba Rasvar   Fri Jul 08 2005 09:56 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba Margie   Fri Jul 08 2005 10:00 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba John C   Fri Jul 08 2005 10:01 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba MarcoResi   Fri Jul 08 2005 10:06 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba Rasvar   Fri Jul 08 2005 09:36 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba MarcoResi   Fri Jul 08 2005 09:38 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba hurricane_run   Fri Jul 08 2005 09:37 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba Frank P   Fri Jul 08 2005 08:50 PM
. * * Re: Weakening Dennis Over Cuba Ron Basso   Fri Jul 08 2005 08:56 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba Storm Hunter   Fri Jul 08 2005 08:41 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba Keith234   Fri Jul 08 2005 08:47 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba Storm Hunter   Fri Jul 08 2005 08:46 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba MikeCAdministrator   Fri Jul 08 2005 08:46 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba CentralFlorida   Fri Jul 08 2005 08:37 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba Keith234   Fri Jul 08 2005 08:28 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba Big Red Machine   Fri Jul 08 2005 08:26 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba Ron Basso   Fri Jul 08 2005 08:46 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba Keith234   Fri Jul 08 2005 08:35 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba FireAng85   Fri Jul 08 2005 08:40 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba Big Red Machine   Fri Jul 08 2005 08:48 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba FireAng85   Fri Jul 08 2005 08:56 PM
. * * Re: Recent GFS & GFDL Model Runs Ron Basso   Fri Jul 08 2005 09:08 PM
. * * Re: Recent GFS & GFDL Model Runs Big Red Machine   Fri Jul 08 2005 09:11 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba MarcoResi   Fri Jul 08 2005 09:00 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba MarcoResi   Fri Jul 08 2005 09:08 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba pcola   Fri Jul 08 2005 09:03 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba GuppieGrouper   Fri Jul 08 2005 09:07 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba NewWatcher   Fri Jul 08 2005 09:09 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba hurricane_run   Fri Jul 08 2005 09:12 PM
. * * Re: 9 PM Observations Ron Basso   Fri Jul 08 2005 09:21 PM
. * * Re: 9 PM Observations hurricane_run   Fri Jul 08 2005 09:23 PM
. * * Re: 9 PM Observations Ron Basso   Fri Jul 08 2005 09:30 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba MarcoResi   Fri Jul 08 2005 09:11 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba StormHound   Fri Jul 08 2005 09:16 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba Kevin   Fri Jul 08 2005 09:23 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba Kevin   Fri Jul 08 2005 09:27 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba Ron Basso   Fri Jul 08 2005 09:36 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba MarcoResi   Fri Jul 08 2005 09:22 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba MarcoResi   Fri Jul 08 2005 09:24 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba Rasvar   Fri Jul 08 2005 09:31 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba pcola   Fri Jul 08 2005 09:36 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba lunkerhunter   Fri Jul 08 2005 09:47 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba susieq   Fri Jul 08 2005 09:28 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba MarcoResi   Fri Jul 08 2005 09:33 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba hurricane_run   Fri Jul 08 2005 09:32 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba ftlaudbob   Fri Jul 08 2005 09:38 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba pcola   Fri Jul 08 2005 09:13 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba Tazmanian93   Fri Jul 08 2005 09:16 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba mbfly   Fri Jul 08 2005 09:32 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba pcola   Fri Jul 08 2005 09:19 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba OrlandoDan   Fri Jul 08 2005 08:56 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba pcola   Fri Jul 08 2005 08:53 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba Frank P   Fri Jul 08 2005 08:57 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba Keith234   Fri Jul 08 2005 08:47 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba FireAng85   Fri Jul 08 2005 08:54 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba OrlandoDan   Fri Jul 08 2005 08:11 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba Keith234   Fri Jul 08 2005 08:18 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba AndyG   Fri Jul 08 2005 07:53 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba Brett   Fri Jul 08 2005 07:35 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba h2ocean   Fri Jul 08 2005 07:27 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba Littlebit   Fri Jul 08 2005 07:20 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba G. J.   Fri Jul 08 2005 07:15 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba dearolecleo   Fri Jul 08 2005 06:14 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba dearolecleo   Fri Jul 08 2005 06:49 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba tornado00   Fri Jul 08 2005 06:56 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba Dougyd   Fri Jul 08 2005 06:03 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba ShanaTX   Fri Jul 08 2005 06:15 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba Justin in Miami   Fri Jul 08 2005 06:12 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba Justin in Miami   Fri Jul 08 2005 06:15 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba Clark   Fri Jul 08 2005 06:26 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba Ron Basso   Fri Jul 08 2005 06:40 PM
. * * trough over western gulf.. HanKFranK   Fri Jul 08 2005 06:49 PM
. * * Re: trough over western gulf.. Ron Basso   Fri Jul 08 2005 06:59 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba RedingtonBeachGuy   Fri Jul 08 2005 06:47 PM
. * * ULL over TX jth   Fri Jul 08 2005 06:46 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba Clark   Fri Jul 08 2005 06:46 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba NewWatcher   Fri Jul 08 2005 06:35 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba nl   Fri Jul 08 2005 06:31 PM
. * * warnings HanKFranK   Fri Jul 08 2005 06:37 PM
. * * Re: warnings Rich B   Fri Jul 08 2005 06:45 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba GuppieGrouper   Fri Jul 08 2005 06:26 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba LizL   Fri Jul 08 2005 06:23 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba trinibaje   Fri Jul 08 2005 06:08 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba Sadie   Fri Jul 08 2005 06:59 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba tornado00   Fri Jul 08 2005 07:01 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba MikeCAdministrator   Fri Jul 08 2005 07:03 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba mud1967   Fri Jul 08 2005 07:17 PM
. * * re-emergence HanKFranK   Fri Jul 08 2005 06:24 PM
. * * Re: re-emergence Margie   Fri Jul 08 2005 07:20 PM
. * * Re: Dennis on Key West Short Range 88D Ron Basso   Fri Jul 08 2005 06:15 PM
. * * Re: Dennis on Key West Short Range 88D John C   Fri Jul 08 2005 06:23 PM
. * * Re: Dennis on Key West Short Range 88D Tazmanian93   Fri Jul 08 2005 06:33 PM
. * * Re: Dennis on Key West Short Range 88D ShanaTX   Fri Jul 08 2005 06:30 PM
. * * Re: Dennis on Key West Short Range 88D evergladesangler   Fri Jul 08 2005 09:37 PM
. * * Re: Dennis on Key West Short Range 88D OrlandoDan   Fri Jul 08 2005 09:39 PM
. * * Tornado Warning ftlaudbob   Fri Jul 08 2005 09:42 PM
. * * Re: Dennis on Key West Short Range 88D pcola   Fri Jul 08 2005 09:39 PM
. * * Re: Dennis on Key West Short Range 88D Colleen A.   Fri Jul 08 2005 09:48 PM
. * * Re: Dennis on Key West Short Range 88D Ron Basso   Fri Jul 08 2005 09:59 PM
. * * Re: Dennis on Key West Short Range 88D Big Red Machine   Fri Jul 08 2005 09:55 PM
. * * Re: Dennis on Key West Short Range 88D Tazmanian93   Fri Jul 08 2005 09:54 PM
. * * Re: Dennis on Key West Short Range 88D Hurricane Fredrick 1979   Fri Jul 08 2005 09:53 PM
. * * Re: Dennis on Key West Short Range 88D Tazmanian93   Fri Jul 08 2005 10:00 PM
. * * Re: Dennis on Key West Short Range 88D MarcoResi   Fri Jul 08 2005 09:52 PM
. * * Re: Dennis on Key West Short Range 88D Storm Hunter   Fri Jul 08 2005 10:10 PM
. * * restrengthen jth   Fri Jul 08 2005 09:42 PM
. * * Re: Dennis on Key West Short Range 88D Rasvar   Fri Jul 08 2005 09:41 PM
. * * Re: Dennis on Key West Short Range 88D Rasvar   Fri Jul 08 2005 09:47 PM
. * * Re: Dennis on Key West Short Range 88D Ed G   Fri Jul 08 2005 06:36 PM
. * * Re: Dennis Over Cuba nl   Fri Jul 08 2005 06:12 PM

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