I've been watching the live radar on WFTV DT 9.2. Looks like a general NW course with wobbles WNW. However, I think that he may stay over land a little more then expected. I would not be surprised to see a cat 2 system when it emerges. Some nasty squalls along south Florida right now. that would explain the gust at Flamingo.
It is looking more and more like the Keys will be spared hurricane force winds. I am still leaning towards a landfall near Billoxi. Maybe MS/AL border. However, I think with conditions in the area, he will be a low Cat 3 high Cat 2 at landfall.
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