If it doesn't die on the way through Cuba and Hispaniola, it looks like a LA or TX impact. Unless that baby corners on rails, it' looks like Western gulf. That curve (And I'm talking about a rough aggregation of the projection animations) is far too shallow to impact anywhere near Dennis' impact zone. Unless that dry spot ahead of Emily slows it's shrinking and manages to shape itself to it bounces her to the North (or a really big bounce South) she will likely stay out of the N Gulf area. If you look at the NHC projection, they forsee her heading the long way through Cuba. Land is never good for any kind of tropical system (since they hinge on the water supply right below them) and going that-a-way through Cuba (unless they warp the projection in the next few days) will be like feeding a kitten through a mulcher. (Ok, maybe not a kitten, but a small, fragile object. Like a Hummel figurine)
Don't put much stock in my projection, I'm just adding my ante to the big pile. Emily's got a lot of water and a lot of air to get through/over, and the 8-ball is being really hazy. She may go through Hispaniola and start streaking North, who knows? I've just seen (and been a bit disappointed by) quite a few stormsin my brief time. Though I keep prepared and up-to-date, I always hold dismal outlooks for my hometown (Port Richey, FL) and my current town of residence (Orlando, FL) when it comes to storms.
Hell, I went home (Pasco) for Charley, we all know how they were projecting it (Parents both live less than 2 miles from US 19) and it went straight for Orlando at the las minute. Perhaps I'm an anti-hurricane charm or something.
kitten through a mulcher... whoa, i'll have to remember that one. -HF
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