According to Millenium Weathers, Gary Gray, the GGEM model takes it right through SoFl but some of the models, see the GFS, aren't initializing the storm system at all well. Its a really inexact science to predict where a developing, weak tropical depression, especially one with no clear cut center of circulation. All depends on how these models handle it when the center of circulation finally appears.
BTW, Mr. Gray forecasts it to pass over Hispanola and possibly take the more northerly path to South Florida. He's using a blend of the GFS/GFDL/GGEM models because the UKMET takes it way far west as an open wave and the others are to the left of his forecast.
-------------------- Andrew 1992, Irene 1999, Katrina 2005, Wilma 2005
0 registered and 785 anonymous users are browsing this forum.
Moderator:
Forum Permissions
You cannot start new topics
You cannot reply to topics
HTML is disabled
UBBCode is enabled
Rating:
Thread views: 78739
Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources.
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well.
Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center