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Unseasonably stout wave in Caribbean bringing enhanced showers and tstorms for several days, but lacks model support for development 5/26
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 272 (Idalia) , Major: 272 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 272 (Idalia) Major: 272 (Idalia)
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Archives 2002-2009 >> 2006 Forecast Lounge
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Margie
Senior Storm Chaser


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Posts: 1191
Loc: Twin Cities
OK then
      Sat Jul 16 2005 01:52 PM

Heady with excitement over correctly figuring out early on from viewing the sat pics yesterday that Emily would slough off the outer edges, become more compact, and intensify a great deal, I venture a prediction. Got up this morning to find Emily a strong Cat 4; 145mph sustained winds. Radar looks impressive, eye well defined, and now Emily is moving into the creme de la creme of the Carribean as far as potential for strengthening. Reading the water temp map from Steve Gregory's blog, she is about to pass right over the candy store. All this we knew late last night and I thought then that she'd be a Cat 5 - I still think so. I think we'll see rapid strengthening today as it warms up, and again starting in early evening. I predict sustained winds of 160mph before midnight rolls around.

I don't have any skills to predict direction because I don't know any of the tech stuff. So I'll just hope she goes south of Cayman Is and spare them a direct hit.

--------------------
Katrina's Surge: http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/Katrinas_surge_contents.asp

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* New Forum Terra Sat Jul 16 2005 01:52 PM
. * * OK then Margie   Sat Jul 16 2005 01:52 PM
. * * Re: OK then Margie   Sun Jul 17 2005 02:58 AM
. * * Re: OK then Terra   Sun Jul 17 2005 03:04 AM
. * * Re: OK then Margie   Sun Jul 17 2005 04:28 PM
. * * Re: New Forum B.C.Francis   Sat Jul 16 2005 01:12 PM

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