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Rafael continues to decouple over the Gulf. Meanwhile we are keeping a watch on Invest 98L around the Bahamas and potentially a new low forming in the Caribbean.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 31 (Milton) , Major: 31 (Milton) Florida - Any: 31 (Milton) Major: 31 (Milton)
TS Rafael
ADV#29 9:00 am EDT
26.3N 91.9W
Wind: 40MPH
Pres: 1003mb
Moving:
Nnw at 3 mph
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Margie
Senior Storm Chaser


Reged:
Posts: 1191
Loc: Twin Cities
Re: 5 AM NHC Discussion-edited
      Sat Jul 16 2005 10:01 AM

Quote:

Feeling very uneasy again this morning regarding the Yucatan. With my daughter on the east coast of that peninsula, wondering what the potential storm surge might be for that area. Reports have little information regarding the potential effects of Emily there. Most reports detail Jamaica and Texas possiblilities, but little discussion of effects on Yucatan. I learned yesterday on this site that it is very low lying, but is the small eye an indication of a small tidal surge?



I would be uneasy as well. The main thing is the intensity. The stronger the storm the stronger the surge. Ideally she would want to be located south of where the eye hits land.

Are you in touch with your daughter? How close to the shore is she? Yucatan should already be preparing for a hit and so she should already have info about where to go.

--------------------
Katrina's Surge: http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/Katrinas_surge_contents.asp

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Emily Category 4, Hurricane Warnings up for Jamaica MikeCAdministrator Sat Jul 16 2005 10:01 AM
. * * Re: Emily Category 4, Hurricane Warnings up for Jamaica dearolecleo   Fri Jul 15 2005 07:42 PM
. * * Re: Emily Category 4, Hurricane Warnings up for Jamaica Allison   Fri Jul 15 2005 08:04 PM
. * * Re: Emily Category 4, Hurricane Warnings up for Jamaica WeatherNLU   Fri Jul 15 2005 08:06 PM
. * * Re: Emily Category 4, Hurricane Warnings up for Jamaica Clark   Fri Jul 15 2005 10:05 PM
. * * Re: Emily Category 4, Hurricane Warnings up for Jamaica Margie   Fri Jul 15 2005 10:12 PM
. * * Re: Emily Category 4, Hurricane Warnings up for Jamaica pcola   Fri Jul 15 2005 09:15 PM
. * * Re: Emily Category 4, Hurricane Warnings up for Jamaica Margie   Fri Jul 15 2005 10:12 PM
. * * Re: Emily Category 4, Hurricane Warnings up for Jamaica danielwAdministrator   Fri Jul 15 2005 10:58 PM
. * * Re: Emily Category 4, Hurricane Warnings up for Jamaica Margie   Fri Jul 15 2005 11:20 PM
. * * New Forums danielwAdministrator   Fri Jul 15 2005 11:26 PM
. * * Re: New Forums KimmieL   Sat Jul 16 2005 12:02 AM
. * * Re: New Forums MikeCAdministrator   Sat Jul 16 2005 12:06 AM
. * * Re: New Forums KimmieL   Sat Jul 16 2005 12:12 AM
. * * Concentric Eyewalls danielwAdministrator   Sat Jul 16 2005 12:30 AM
. * * Re: Concentric Eyewalls KimmieL   Sat Jul 16 2005 01:27 AM
. * * Re: Concentric Eyewalls KimmieL   Sat Jul 16 2005 01:37 AM
. * * Re: Concentric Eyewalls HanKFranK   Sat Jul 16 2005 02:07 AM
. * * Re: franklin info jusforsean   Sat Jul 16 2005 12:48 PM
. * * Re: franklin info MichaelA   Sat Jul 16 2005 02:16 PM
. * * Re: Concentric Eyewalls ShanaTX   Sat Jul 16 2005 02:50 AM
. * * Nights danielwAdministrator   Sat Jul 16 2005 02:54 AM
. * * Re: Concentric Eyewalls Terra   Sat Jul 16 2005 02:49 AM
. * * Re: Concentric Eyewalls HanKFranK   Sat Jul 16 2005 03:02 AM
. * * Re: Concentric Eyewalls MikeInCorpus   Sat Jul 16 2005 03:09 AM
. * * Emily danielwAdministrator   Sat Jul 16 2005 03:17 AM
. * * Emily-Late Recon Update danielwAdministrator   Sat Jul 16 2005 03:40 AM
. * * Re: Emily-Late Recon Update ShanaTX   Sat Jul 16 2005 04:40 AM
. * * 5 AM NHC Discussion-edited danielwAdministrator   Sat Jul 16 2005 05:14 AM
. * * Re: 5 AM NHC Discussion-edited Clark   Sat Jul 16 2005 08:53 AM
. * * Re: 5 AM NHC Discussion-edited MichaelA   Sat Jul 16 2005 10:07 AM
. * * Re: 5 AM NHC Discussion-edited SeeSaw03   Sat Jul 16 2005 09:50 AM
. * * Re: 5 AM NHC Discussion-edited Biowatch   Sat Jul 16 2005 09:50 AM
. * * Re: 5 AM NHC Discussion-edited Margie   Sat Jul 16 2005 10:01 AM
. * * Re: 5 AM NHC Discussion-edited Biowatch   Sat Jul 16 2005 10:11 AM
. * * Re: 5 AM NHC Discussion-edited Margie   Sat Jul 16 2005 10:26 AM
. * * Re: 5 AM NHC Discussion-edited Biowatch   Sat Jul 16 2005 11:11 AM
. * * Re: 5 AM NHC Discussion-edited Margie   Sat Jul 16 2005 10:26 AM
. * * Re: 5 AM NHC Discussion-edited MichaelA   Sat Jul 16 2005 10:20 AM
. * * Re: 5 AM NHC Discussion-edited ftlaudbob   Sat Jul 16 2005 10:38 AM
. * * Re: 5 AM NHC Discussion-edited HCW   Sat Jul 16 2005 10:37 AM
. * * Re: 5 AM NHC Discussion-edited Biowatch   Sat Jul 16 2005 10:36 AM
. * * Re: 5 AM NHC Discussion-edited HCW   Sat Jul 16 2005 10:04 AM
. * * Re: 5 AM NHC Discussion-edited SkeetoBiteAdministrator   Sat Jul 16 2005 09:40 AM
. * * Re: 5 AM NHC Discussion-edited Margie   Sat Jul 16 2005 09:37 AM
. * * Re: 5 AM NHC Discussion-edited rmbjoe1954   Sat Jul 16 2005 06:25 AM
. * * 99L... watch it tomorrow HanKFranK   Sat Jul 16 2005 03:08 AM
. * * Re: Concentric Eyewalls danielwAdministrator   Sat Jul 16 2005 02:16 AM
. * * Re: Concentric Eyewalls danielwAdministrator   Sat Jul 16 2005 01:47 AM
. * * Re: Concentric Eyewalls KimmieL   Sat Jul 16 2005 01:56 AM
. * * Intermediate Advisory-edited danielwAdministrator   Sat Jul 16 2005 02:04 AM
. * * Re: Concentric Eyewalls tpratch   Sat Jul 16 2005 12:40 AM
. * * Lurking danielwAdministrator   Sat Jul 16 2005 12:42 AM
. * * Re: Lurking tpratch   Sat Jul 16 2005 12:45 AM
. * * Re: Concentric Eyewalls HCW   Sat Jul 16 2005 12:37 AM
. * * Re: Concentric Eyewalls danielwAdministrator   Sat Jul 16 2005 12:52 AM
. * * Re: Concentric Eyewalls Margie   Sat Jul 16 2005 01:11 AM
. * * Re: New Forums rdcrds   Sat Jul 16 2005 12:11 AM
. * * Re: New Forums Terra   Sat Jul 16 2005 02:37 AM
. * * Re: New Forums Clark   Sat Jul 16 2005 02:49 AM
. * * Re: New Forums drcrazibob   Sat Jul 16 2005 12:38 AM
. * * Re: New Forums 52255225   Sat Jul 16 2005 12:15 AM
. * * Re: New Forums 52255225   Sat Jul 16 2005 12:04 AM
. * * Re: Emily Category 4, Hurricane Warnings up for Jamaica 52255225   Fri Jul 15 2005 11:23 PM
. * * Re: Emily Category 4, Hurricane Warnings up for Jamaica HCW   Fri Jul 15 2005 10:55 PM
. * * Re: Emily Category 4, Hurricane Warnings up for Jamaica Margie   Fri Jul 15 2005 11:01 PM
. * * Re: Emily Category 4, Hurricane Warnings up for Jamaica Terra   Fri Jul 15 2005 11:04 PM
. * * Re: Emily Category 4, Hurricane Warnings up for Jamaica Margie   Fri Jul 15 2005 11:14 PM
. * * Re: Emily Category 4, Hurricane Warnings up for Jamaica Margie   Fri Jul 15 2005 10:58 PM
. * * Re: Emily Category 4, Hurricane Warnings up for Jamaica CaneTrackerInSoFl   Fri Jul 15 2005 10:59 PM
. * * Re: Emily Category 4, Hurricane Warnings up for Jamaica WeatherNLU   Fri Jul 15 2005 07:45 PM
. * * Re: Emily Category 4, Hurricane Warnings up for Jamaica ShanaTX   Fri Jul 15 2005 07:57 PM
. * * Re: Emily Category 4, Hurricane Warnings up for Jamaica Clark   Fri Jul 15 2005 10:25 AM
. * * Re: Emily Category 4, Hurricane Warnings up for Jamaica Beaumont, TX   Fri Jul 15 2005 09:17 AM
. * * Re: Emily Category 4, Hurricane Warnings up for Jamaica jrhurricane   Sat Jul 16 2005 04:46 PM
. * * Re: Emily Category 4, Hurricane Warnings up for Jamaica Rasvar   Fri Jul 15 2005 09:26 AM
. * * Re: Emily Category 4, Hurricane Warnings up for Jamaica rmbjoe1954   Fri Jul 15 2005 09:20 AM
. * * Re: Emily Category 4, Hurricane Warnings up for Jamaica Biowatch   Fri Jul 15 2005 09:07 AM
. * * Re: Emily Category 4, Hurricane Warnings up for Jamaica cjzydeco   Fri Jul 15 2005 09:59 AM
. * * Re: Emily Category 4, Hurricane Warnings up for Jamaica Biowatch   Fri Jul 15 2005 10:12 AM
. * * Re: Emily Category 4, Hurricane Warnings up for Jamaica Rasvar   Fri Jul 15 2005 09:31 AM
. * * Re: Emily Category 4, Hurricane Warnings up for Jamaica Biowatch   Fri Jul 15 2005 09:50 AM
. * * Re: Emily Category 4, Hurricane Warnings up for Jamaica cjzydeco   Fri Jul 15 2005 10:13 AM
. * * Re: Emily Category 4, Hurricane Warnings up for Jamaica trinibaje   Fri Jul 15 2005 10:02 AM
. * * Re: Emily Category 4,yucatan ftlaudbob   Fri Jul 15 2005 10:24 AM
. * * Re: Emily Category 4,yucatan ftlaudbob   Fri Jul 15 2005 10:46 AM
. * * Re: Emily Category 4,yucatan Ed in Va   Fri Jul 15 2005 10:59 AM
. * * Re: Emily Category 4,yucatan Biowatch   Fri Jul 15 2005 10:59 AM
. * * Re: Emily Category 4,yucatan NewWatcher   Fri Jul 15 2005 10:59 AM
. * * Re: Emily Category 4,yucatan rmbjoe1954   Fri Jul 15 2005 11:44 AM
. * * Re: Emily Category 4,yucatan Biowatch   Fri Jul 15 2005 11:57 AM
. * * Re: Emily Category 4,yucatan ftlaudbob   Fri Jul 15 2005 12:10 PM
. * * Re: Emily Category 4,yucatan pcola   Fri Jul 15 2005 12:25 PM
. * * Re: Emily Category 4,yucatan AndyG   Fri Jul 15 2005 01:04 PM
. * * Re: Emily Category 4,yucatan Margie   Fri Jul 15 2005 12:30 PM
. * * Re: Emily Category 4,yucatan Wanna-Be-Storm-Chaser   Fri Jul 15 2005 12:50 PM
. * * Tropical Wave in Atlantic` CaneTrackerInSoFl   Fri Jul 15 2005 01:05 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Wave in Atlantic` Wanna-Be-Storm-Chaser   Fri Jul 15 2005 01:12 PM
. * * Lightning Question RedingtonBeachGuy   Fri Jul 15 2005 01:18 PM
. * * Re: Lightning Question gailwarning   Fri Jul 15 2005 11:09 PM
. * * Re: Lightning Question 52255225   Fri Jul 15 2005 11:13 PM
. * * Re: Lightning Question BobVee   Fri Jul 15 2005 02:32 PM
. * * Re: Lightning Question gailwarning   Fri Jul 15 2005 11:14 PM
. * * Emily Discussion danielwAdministrator   Fri Jul 15 2005 11:24 PM
. * * Re: Emily Category 4,yucatan FlaRebel   Fri Jul 15 2005 12:39 PM
. * * Re: Emily Category 4,yucatan Margie   Fri Jul 15 2005 01:15 PM
. * * Re: Emily Category 4, Hurricane Warnings up for Jamaica Biowatch   Fri Jul 15 2005 10:17 AM
. * * Re: Emily Category 4, Hurricane Warnings up for Jamaica Margie   Fri Jul 15 2005 10:02 AM
. * * Re: Emily Category 4, Hurricane Warnings up for Jamaica HumanCookie   Fri Jul 15 2005 07:45 AM
. * * Re: Emily Category 4, Hurricane Warnings up for Jamaica GuppieGrouper   Fri Jul 15 2005 08:03 AM
. * * Re: Emily Category 4, Hurricane Warnings up for Jamaica Rasvar   Fri Jul 15 2005 09:22 AM
. * * Re: Emily Category 4, Hurricane Warnings up for Jamaica rmbjoe1954   Fri Jul 15 2005 08:20 AM
. * * Re: Emily Category 4, Hurricane Warnings up for Jamaica Frank P   Fri Jul 15 2005 08:43 AM
. * * Re: Emily Category 4, Hurricane Warnings up for Jamaica Rasvar   Fri Jul 15 2005 09:14 AM
. * * Re: Emily Category 4, Hurricane Warnings up for Jamaica Wingman51   Fri Jul 15 2005 08:35 AM
. * * Re: Emily Category 4, Hurricane Warnings up for Jamaica VandyBrad   Fri Jul 15 2005 08:40 AM
. * * Re: Emily Category 4, Hurricane Warnings up for Jamaica MadDog   Fri Jul 15 2005 08:44 AM
. * * Re: Emily Category 4, Hurricane Warnings up for Jamaica VandyBrad   Fri Jul 15 2005 07:51 AM
. * * Re: Emily Category 4, Hurricane Warnings up for Jamaica AgentB   Fri Jul 15 2005 09:55 AM
. * * Re: Emily Category 4, Hurricane Warnings up for Jamaica Margie   Fri Jul 15 2005 10:33 AM
. * * Re: Emily Category 4, Hurricane Warnings up for Jamaica AgentB   Fri Jul 15 2005 03:13 PM
. * * Question about Emily Models Allison   Fri Jul 15 2005 04:18 PM
. * * Re: Question about Emily Models Clark   Fri Jul 15 2005 06:02 PM
. * * Question about satellite ShanaTX   Fri Jul 15 2005 06:31 PM
. * * Re: Question about satellite Hurricane Fredrick 1979   Fri Jul 15 2005 07:40 PM
. * * RECON Update danielwAdministrator   Fri Jul 15 2005 07:43 PM
. * * Re: RECON Update WeatherNLU   Fri Jul 15 2005 07:47 PM
. * * Re: RECON Update Margie   Fri Jul 15 2005 07:58 PM
. * * Re: RECON Update Margie   Fri Jul 15 2005 08:09 PM
. * * Emily regains major hurricane status WeatherNLU   Fri Jul 15 2005 08:02 PM
. * * Re: Question about satellite Margie   Fri Jul 15 2005 07:07 PM
. * * Re: Question about satellite angelswatch   Fri Jul 15 2005 06:54 PM
. * * Re: Question about satellite HCW   Fri Jul 15 2005 06:51 PM
. * * Re: Question about satellite ShanaTX   Fri Jul 15 2005 06:55 PM
. * * Re: Question about satellite angelswatch   Fri Jul 15 2005 07:00 PM
. * * Re: Question about satellite Storm Cooper   Fri Jul 15 2005 07:03 PM
. * * Re: Question about satellite ShanaTX   Fri Jul 15 2005 07:06 PM
. * * Re: Question about satellite ShanaTX   Fri Jul 15 2005 07:02 PM
. * * Re: Emily Category 4, Hurricane Warnings up for Jamaica Rasvar   Fri Jul 15 2005 04:14 PM
. * * Re: Emily Category 4, Hurricane Warnings up for Jamaica Margie   Fri Jul 15 2005 06:20 PM
. * * Re: Emily Category 4, Hurricane Warnings up for Jamaica nandav   Fri Jul 15 2005 11:10 AM
. * * Re: Emily Category 4, Hurricane Warnings up for Jamaica Ed G   Fri Jul 15 2005 11:19 AM
. * * Re: Emily Category 4, Hurricane Warnings up for Jamaica nandav   Fri Jul 15 2005 11:36 AM
. * * Re: Emily Category 4, Hurricane Warnings up for Jamaica VandyBrad   Fri Jul 15 2005 10:44 AM
. * * Re: Emily Category 4, Hurricane Warnings up for Jamaica Clark   Fri Jul 15 2005 11:58 AM
. * * Re: Emily Category 4, Hurricane Warnings up for Jamaica VandyBrad   Fri Jul 15 2005 12:00 PM
. * * Re: Emily Category 4, Hurricane Warnings up for Jamaica Margie   Fri Jul 15 2005 12:23 PM
. * * Re: Emily Category 4, Hurricane Warnings up for Jamaica Clark   Fri Jul 15 2005 01:31 PM
. * * Re: Emily Category 4, Hurricane Warnings up for Jamaica NewWatcher   Fri Jul 15 2005 01:42 PM
. * * Re: Emily Category 4, Hurricane Warnings up for Jamaica Margie   Fri Jul 15 2005 01:42 PM
. * * Re: Emily Category 4, Hurricane Warnings up for Jamaica Margie   Fri Jul 15 2005 02:20 PM
. * * Re: Emily Category 4, Hurricane Warnings up for Jamaica Rabbit   Fri Jul 15 2005 02:25 PM
. * * Re: Emily Category 4, Hurricane Warnings up for Jamaica Margie   Fri Jul 15 2005 02:34 PM
. * * Re: Emily Category 4, Hurricane Warnings up for Jamaica Clark   Fri Jul 15 2005 02:46 PM
. * * Re: Emily Category 4, Hurricane Warnings up for Jamaica CaneTrackerInSoFl   Fri Jul 15 2005 02:26 PM
. * * Re: Emily Category 4, Hurricane Warnings up for Jamaica Rabbit   Fri Jul 15 2005 02:29 PM
. * * Re: Emily Category 4, Hurricane Warnings up for Jamaica doug   Fri Jul 15 2005 02:34 PM
. * * Re: Emily Category 4, Hurricane Warnings up for Jamaica CaneTrackerInSoFl   Fri Jul 15 2005 02:30 PM

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