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News Talkback >> 2005 News Talkbacks

danielw
Moderator

Reged:
Posts: 3527
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)

Re: Emily Gets Stronger
Sun Jul 17 2005 05:34 AM

Emily fell short of the CAT 5 category.
Both in wind speed and pressure.

HURRICANE EMILY DISCUSSION NUMBER 26
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT SUN JUL 17 2005 (edited~danielw)

AT 0324Z...THE AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT REPORTED FLIGHT-LEVEL WINDS OF 153 KT. THE STANDARD ADJUSTMENT OF THIS VALUE TO THE SURFACE WOULD YIELD 138 KT...OR JUST ABOVE THE CATEGORY FIVE THRESHOLD. AT THAT TIME HOWEVER...THE CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS RISING RAPIDLY AND ON THE NEXT PASS THROUGH THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT ONLY 132 KT WINDS WERE FOUND. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT EMILY REACHED CATEGORY FIVE INTENSITY BRIEFLY AROUND 03Z...

THE INITIAL MOTION IS 290/17. THERE HAS BEEN LITTLE CHANGE TO THE FORECAST TRACK. MID-LEVEL RIDGING IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST NORTH OF THE HURRICANE FOR THE DURATION. IN ABOUT 48 HOURS...EMILY WILL BE
APPROACHING A MODEST MID-LATITUDE SHORT WAVE OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS...AND THIS COULD BRIEFLY RESULT IN A RIGHTWARD DEFLECTION OF THE TRACK BEFORE A MORE WESTWARD MOTION RESUMES. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS VERY CLOSE TO A TIGHTLY CLUSTERED GUIDANCE ENVELOPE.

bold emphasis added~danielw

Edited by danielw (Sun Jul 17 2005 05:50 AM)

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Emily Gets Stronger	MikeC	Sun Jul 17 2005 05:34 AM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	Clark	Sun Jul 17 2005 07:41 PM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	Margie	Sun Jul 17 2005 08:02 PM
A little confused	Bloodstar	Sun Jul 17 2005 08:09 PM
Re: A little confused	Margie	Sun Jul 17 2005 08:21 PM
emily has eye again	ftlaudbob	Sun Jul 17 2005 08:24 PM
Re: emily has eye again	MichaelA	Sun Jul 17 2005 08:42 PM
Re: emily has eye again	Margie	Sun Jul 17 2005 08:46 PM
Re: A little confused	nl	Sun Jul 17 2005 08:34 PM
Re: A little confused	bn765	Sun Jul 17 2005 09:01 PM
Re: A little confused	nl	Sun Jul 17 2005 09:03 PM
Re: A little confused	Terra	Sun Jul 17 2005 09:06 PM
Re: A little confused	bn765	Sun Jul 17 2005 08:44 PM
Re: A little confused	ftlaudbob	Sun Jul 17 2005 08:36 PM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	nl	Sun Jul 17 2005 08:07 PM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	HCW	Sun Jul 17 2005 07:45 PM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	Domino	Sun Jul 17 2005 05:27 AM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	ctulhu	Sun Jul 17 2005 07:20 AM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	MichaelA	Sun Jul 17 2005 08:53 AM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	Margie	Sun Jul 17 2005 08:49 AM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	ShanaTX	Sun Jul 17 2005 10:13 AM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	Margie	Sun Jul 17 2005 10:34 AM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	WeatherNLU	Sun Jul 17 2005 10:53 AM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	ftlaudbob	Sun Jul 17 2005 10:57 AM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	Margie	Sun Jul 17 2005 11:23 AM
emily working out kinks, 99L hanging in there	HanKFranK	Sun Jul 17 2005 11:56 AM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	B.C.Francis	Sun Jul 17 2005 11:20 AM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	Margie	Sun Jul 17 2005 11:39 AM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	MichaelA	Sun Jul 17 2005 01:37 PM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	Margie	Sun Jul 17 2005 02:44 PM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	HCW	Sun Jul 17 2005 03:12 PM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	mojorox	Sun Jul 17 2005 03:51 PM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	Margie	Sun Jul 17 2005 04:18 PM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	HCW	Sun Jul 17 2005 04:52 PM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	GuppieGrouper	Sun Jul 17 2005 04:57 PM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	Margie	Sun Jul 17 2005 04:42 PM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	BobVee	Sun Jul 17 2005 05:19 PM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	B.C.Francis	Sun Jul 17 2005 04:55 PM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	B.C.Francis	Sun Jul 17 2005 04:34 PM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	HCW	Sun Jul 17 2005 01:43 PM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	B.C.Francis	Sun Jul 17 2005 01:59 PM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	bn765	Sun Jul 17 2005 01:53 PM
New Wave?	rmbjoe1954	Sun Jul 17 2005 02:15 PM
Buoy 42056	B.C.Francis	Sun Jul 17 2005 02:37 PM
Re: New Wave?	bn765	Sun Jul 17 2005 02:30 PM
Re: New Wave?	Storm Cooper	Sun Jul 17 2005 02:37 PM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	tpratch	Sun Jul 17 2005 01:41 PM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	MichaelA	Sun Jul 17 2005 01:52 PM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	tpratch	Sun Jul 17 2005 01:59 PM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	MichaelA	Sun Jul 17 2005 04:15 PM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	MichaelA	Sun Jul 17 2005 04:58 PM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	Margie	Sun Jul 17 2005 05:24 PM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	MichaelA	Sun Jul 17 2005 05:42 PM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	Margie	Sun Jul 17 2005 05:45 PM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	MichaelA	Sun Jul 17 2005 05:47 PM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	Margie	Sun Jul 17 2005 06:12 PM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	MichaelA	Sun Jul 17 2005 06:49 PM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	jr928	Sun Jul 17 2005 08:38 PM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	Margie	Sun Jul 17 2005 08:42 PM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	Biowatch	Sun Jul 17 2005 08:50 PM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	ftlaudbob	Sun Jul 17 2005 08:58 PM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	MichaelA	Sun Jul 17 2005 08:57 PM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	Margie	Sun Jul 17 2005 09:10 PM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	MichaelA	Sun Jul 17 2005 09:24 PM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	ftlaudbob	Sun Jul 17 2005 09:20 PM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	Margie	Sun Jul 17 2005 10:13 PM
Emily	danielw	Sun Jul 17 2005 09:24 PM
Re: Emily	Margie	Sun Jul 17 2005 09:59 PM
Re: Emily	MichaelA	Sun Jul 17 2005 09:51 PM
Re: Emily	ftlaudbob	Sun Jul 17 2005 09:55 PM
Re: Emily	negrildude	Sun Jul 17 2005 11:09 PM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	Biowatch	Sun Jul 17 2005 09:00 PM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	ftlaudbob	Sun Jul 17 2005 09:05 PM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	Margie	Sun Jul 17 2005 08:53 PM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	Clark	Sun Jul 17 2005 09:33 PM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	Biowatch	Sun Jul 17 2005 09:54 PM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	HCW	Sun Jul 17 2005 10:15 PM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	Biowatch	Sun Jul 17 2005 10:25 PM
11 PM EDT Update	danielw	Sun Jul 17 2005 11:08 PM
Re: 11 PM EDT Update	Margie	Sun Jul 17 2005 11:13 PM
Re: 11 PM EDT Update	dad	Sun Jul 17 2005 11:26 PM
Re: 11 PM EDT Update	nl	Sun Jul 17 2005 11:28 PM
New Thread Started	Larry	Sun Jul 17 2005 11:35 PM
Re: 11 PM EDT Update	nl	Sun Jul 17 2005 11:25 PM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	ftlaudbob	Sun Jul 17 2005 09:44 PM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	Margie	Sun Jul 17 2005 09:50 PM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	nl	Sun Jul 17 2005 08:56 PM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	nl	Sun Jul 17 2005 08:51 PM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	ftlaudbob	Sun Jul 17 2005 08:45 PM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	MikeinCorpus	Sun Jul 17 2005 08:47 PM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	nl	Sun Jul 17 2005 08:49 PM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	nl	Sun Jul 17 2005 08:41 PM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	ftlaudbob	Sun Jul 17 2005 08:41 PM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	jr928	Sun Jul 17 2005 08:42 PM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	ftlaudbob	Sun Jul 17 2005 08:50 PM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	HCW	Sun Jul 17 2005 06:19 PM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	Biowatch	Sun Jul 17 2005 06:38 PM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	nl	Sun Jul 17 2005 06:45 PM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	ftlaudbob	Sun Jul 17 2005 06:53 PM
Weather Channel	danielw	Sun Jul 17 2005 07:19 PM
Re: Weather Channel	ftlaudbob	Sun Jul 17 2005 08:09 PM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	MichaelA	Sun Jul 17 2005 07:17 PM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	Margie	Sun Jul 17 2005 06:30 PM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	Margie	Sun Jul 17 2005 06:44 PM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	HCW	Sun Jul 17 2005 05:25 PM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	B.C.Francis	Sun Jul 17 2005 12:05 PM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	superfly	Sun Jul 17 2005 01:00 PM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	HCW	Sun Jul 17 2005 11:58 AM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	MikeC	Sun Jul 17 2005 12:03 PM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger DELETED	RedingtonBeachGuy	Sun Jul 17 2005 01:38 PM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	MikeC	Sun Jul 17 2005 01:42 PM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	dave t	Sun Jul 17 2005 05:21 PM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	GuppieGrouper	Sun Jul 17 2005 05:23 PM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	Clark	Sun Jul 17 2005 03:44 PM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	Margie	Sun Jul 17 2005 10:25 AM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	ShanaTX	Sun Jul 17 2005 10:31 AM
Emily still undergoing reorg?	Margie	Sun Jul 17 2005 10:53 AM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	danielw	Sun Jul 17 2005 05:34 AM
Strike Probabilities	danielw	Sun Jul 17 2005 06:19 AM
Another day, another chance at Cat 5	Margie	Sun Jul 17 2005 09:16 AM
Update from Grand Cayman	Sher	Sat Jul 16 2005 10:02 PM
Grand Cayman-Good morning!	Sher	Sun Jul 17 2005 07:27 AM
Re: Update from Grand Cayman	Margie	Sat Jul 16 2005 10:50 PM
hard to believe, but	Margie	Sat Jul 16 2005 10:54 PM
Re: Update from Grand Cayman	Terra	Sat Jul 16 2005 10:54 PM
Re: Update from Grand Cayman	Margie	Sat Jul 16 2005 11:16 PM
Re: Update from Grand Cayman	ohioaninmiss	Sat Jul 16 2005 11:02 PM
Re: Update from Grand Cayman	Terra	Sat Jul 16 2005 11:06 PM
Re: Update from Grand Cayman	Ed Dunham	Sat Jul 16 2005 11:12 PM
Re: Update from Grand Cayman	Terra	Sat Jul 16 2005 11:18 PM
Re: Update from Grand Cayman	Margie	Sat Jul 16 2005 11:34 PM
Re: Update from Grand Cayman	tpratch	Sun Jul 17 2005 12:10 AM
Recon	danielw	Sat Jul 16 2005 11:37 PM
Re: Recon	Margie	Sat Jul 16 2005 11:58 PM
Re: Recon	danielw	Sun Jul 17 2005 12:12 AM
Re: Recon	HCW	Sun Jul 17 2005 12:39 AM
emily etc	HanKFranK	Sun Jul 17 2005 12:55 AM
Re: emily etc	ohioaninmiss	Sun Jul 17 2005 12:58 AM
Re: Recon	ohioaninmiss	Sun Jul 17 2005 12:51 AM
Strike Probs	danielw	Sun Jul 17 2005 12:57 AM
Re: Update from Grand Cayman	ohioaninmiss	Sat Jul 16 2005 11:12 PM
Re: Update from Grand Cayman	Margie	Sat Jul 16 2005 11:21 PM
Re: Update from Grand Cayman	MichaelA	Sat Jul 16 2005 10:59 PM
Re: Update from Grand Cayman	Margie	Sat Jul 16 2005 11:05 PM
Latest Advisory~edited	danielw	Sat Jul 16 2005 10:53 PM
Re: Update from Grand Cayman	MichaelA	Sat Jul 16 2005 10:34 PM
Re: Update from Grand Cayman	Allison	Sat Jul 16 2005 10:06 PM
Re: Update from Grand Cayman	nl	Sat Jul 16 2005 10:17 PM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	Margie	Sat Jul 16 2005 04:01 PM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	Tazmanian93	Sat Jul 16 2005 04:47 PM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	Beaumont, TX	Sat Jul 16 2005 03:15 PM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	ShanaTX	Sat Jul 16 2005 03:24 PM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	FormerSoTexan	Sun Jul 17 2005 12:59 AM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	ShanaTX	Sun Jul 17 2005 01:39 AM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	HCW	Sun Jul 17 2005 01:52 AM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	HCW	Sun Jul 17 2005 01:12 AM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	Allison	Sun Jul 17 2005 02:18 AM
RECON	danielw	Sun Jul 17 2005 02:54 AM
Grand Cayman Weather	danielw	Sun Jul 17 2005 04:11 AM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	danielw	Sun Jul 17 2005 01:14 AM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	Allison	Sat Jul 16 2005 03:19 PM
biowatch are you around?	Margie	Sat Jul 16 2005 01:26 PM
Re: biowatch are you around?	Biowatch	Sat Jul 16 2005 02:01 PM
Re: biowatch are you around?	Margie	Sat Jul 16 2005 02:31 PM
Re: biowatch are you around?	Biowatch	Sat Jul 16 2005 02:36 PM
Re: biowatch are you around?	Terra	Sat Jul 16 2005 02:11 PM
Eyewall Replacement Cycle	Allison	Sat Jul 16 2005 03:23 PM
Re: Eyewall Replacement Cycle	BillD	Sat Jul 16 2005 03:33 PM
Re: Eyewall Replacement Cycle	Allison	Sat Jul 16 2005 03:55 PM
Re: biowatch are you around?	HCW	Sat Jul 16 2005 02:15 PM
Re: biowatch are you around?	Terra	Sat Jul 16 2005 02:20 PM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	Margie	Sat Jul 16 2005 11:50 AM
special statement	HanKFranK	Sat Jul 16 2005 11:56 AM
Re: special statement	Margie	Sat Jul 16 2005 12:13 PM
Other Cyclone	CaneTrackerInSoFl	Sat Jul 16 2005 01:48 PM
Re: Other Cyclone	Todd	Sat Jul 16 2005 02:54 PM
Re: Other Cyclone	MIkeG	Sat Jul 16 2005 02:56 PM
Re: Other Cyclone	Storm Hunter	Sat Jul 16 2005 03:14 PM
Re: special statement	nl	Sat Jul 16 2005 12:44 PM
Re: special statement	Margie	Sat Jul 16 2005 01:38 PM
Re: special statement	HCW	Sat Jul 16 2005 01:47 PM
Re: special statement	CaneTrackerInSoFl	Sat Jul 16 2005 01:48 PM
Re: special statement	Margie	Sat Jul 16 2005 02:50 PM
Re: special statement	nl	Sat Jul 16 2005 02:53 PM
notice eye	Rick on boat in Mobile	Sat Jul 16 2005 01:06 PM
Re: notice eye	52255225	Sat Jul 16 2005 01:26 PM
Re: notice eye	rdcrds	Sat Jul 16 2005 01:26 PM
Re: notice eye	nowhammies	Sat Jul 16 2005 03:20 PM
Re: notice eye	cjzydeco	Sat Jul 16 2005 04:48 PM
Re: notice eye	Margie	Sat Jul 16 2005 03:42 PM
Re: notice eye	ShanaTX	Sat Jul 16 2005 04:03 PM
Re: notice eye	Margie	Sat Jul 16 2005 04:50 PM
Re: notice eye	HCW	Sat Jul 16 2005 04:39 PM
Re: notice eye	jrhurricane	Sat Jul 16 2005 04:34 PM
Re: notice eye	ShanaTX	Sat Jul 16 2005 04:59 PM
Re: notice eye	Allison	Sat Jul 16 2005 05:13 PM
Re: notice eye	SirCane	Sat Jul 16 2005 05:27 PM
Re: notice eye	Margie	Sat Jul 16 2005 07:23 PM
Advisory 24a	Margie	Sat Jul 16 2005 08:17 PM
Re: Advisory 24a	Margie	Sat Jul 16 2005 09:07 PM
Re: Advisory 24a	Terra	Sat Jul 16 2005 09:08 PM
Flight Level winds	danielw	Sat Jul 16 2005 09:12 PM
Re: Flight Level winds	MichaelA	Sat Jul 16 2005 09:39 PM
Re: Flight Level winds	Allison	Sat Jul 16 2005 09:35 PM
Re: Flight Level winds	nl	Sat Jul 16 2005 09:37 PM
Re: Flight Level winds	G. J.	Sat Jul 16 2005 09:29 PM
Re: Flight Level winds	Random Chaos	Sat Jul 16 2005 09:41 PM
Re: Flight Level winds	danielw	Sat Jul 16 2005 09:55 PM
RECON Update	danielw	Sat Jul 16 2005 10:01 PM
Re: RECON Update	HCW	Sat Jul 16 2005 10:02 PM
Re: RECON Update	Margie	Sat Jul 16 2005 10:48 PM
Re: RECON Update	MichaelA	Sat Jul 16 2005 10:53 PM
Re: RECON Update	Margie	Sat Jul 16 2005 10:34 PM
Re: RECON Update	ohioaninmiss	Sat Jul 16 2005 10:42 PM
Re: Advisory 24a	Terra	Sat Jul 16 2005 08:19 PM
Re: Advisory 24a	bn765	Sat Jul 16 2005 08:23 PM
Re: Advisory 24a	danielw	Sat Jul 16 2005 08:58 PM
Re: notice eye	G. J.	Sat Jul 16 2005 08:14 PM
Re: notice eye	nl	Sat Jul 16 2005 08:16 PM
Re: notice eye	Terra	Sat Jul 16 2005 08:15 PM
Re: notice eye DELETED	Margie	Sat Jul 16 2005 08:28 PM
Re: notice eye	HCW	Sat Jul 16 2005 08:40 PM
Re: notice eye	Margie	Sat Jul 16 2005 08:53 PM
Re: notice eye	Allison	Sat Jul 16 2005 09:31 PM
Re: notice eye	Dave Sugg	Sat Jul 16 2005 10:23 PM
Re: notice eye	Terra	Sat Jul 16 2005 10:29 PM
Re: notice eye	Dave Sugg	Sat Jul 16 2005 10:36 PM
Re: notice eye	Margie	Sat Jul 16 2005 09:41 PM
Re: notice eye	Margie	Sat Jul 16 2005 06:27 PM
Re: notice eye	CDMOrlando	Sat Jul 16 2005 08:42 PM
people in Playa	ftlaudbob	Sat Jul 16 2005 06:51 PM
Re: notice eye	nl	Sat Jul 16 2005 06:41 PM
Re: notice eye	HCW	Sat Jul 16 2005 06:05 PM
Re: notice eye	Hurricane Fredrick 1979	Sat Jul 16 2005 04:39 PM
Re: notice eye	Doombot!	Sat Jul 16 2005 04:44 PM
Re: notice eye	Margie	Sat Jul 16 2005 04:55 PM
Re: notice eye	Frank P	Sat Jul 16 2005 05:05 PM
Re: notice eye	ohioaninmiss	Sat Jul 16 2005 05:12 PM
Re: notice eye	Doombot!	Sat Jul 16 2005 05:03 PM
Re: notice eye	Margie	Sat Jul 16 2005 05:07 PM
Re: notice eye	Hurricane Fredrick 1979	Sat Jul 16 2005 04:47 PM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	Margie	Sat Jul 16 2005 10:06 AM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	SeeSaw03	Sat Jul 16 2005 09:54 AM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	CDMOrlando	Sat Jul 16 2005 10:34 AM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	Clark	Sat Jul 16 2005 11:09 AM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	recmod	Sat Jul 16 2005 11:17 AM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	SeeSaw03	Sat Jul 16 2005 11:14 AM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	HCW	Sat Jul 16 2005 10:38 AM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	CaneTrackerInSoFl	Sat Jul 16 2005 10:47 AM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	ftlaudbob	Sat Jul 16 2005 11:01 AM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	Margie	Sat Jul 16 2005 11:15 AM
Re: Emily Gets Stronger	ftlaudbob	Sat Jul 16 2005 11:05 AM

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