danielw
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Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
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Strike Probabilities
Sun Jul 17 2005 06:19 AM
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Checking the 5 AM Strike Probabilities.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIASPFAT5+shtml/170840.shtml
NHC has added New Iberia, LA., back into the group.
This is probably in response to a model showing a northward trend.
New Iberia, LA had been removed from the 11 PM Strike Probs. last night.
Port Arthur, TX gained 1 point in the 5 AM Probs.
Also noted, again probably due to model trends doing their 6 hour swing, were drops in the Total Probability for:
Galveston, TX -1 point
Freeport, TX -2 points
Port O' Conner, TX -3 points
Corpus Christi, TX -4 points
Brownsville, TX -4points
These reflect the 5 AM Advisory only.
Please refer to Official NHC Advisories and Strike Probabilities. As they change, to some degree, every 6 hours.
If you are In, or Near the 'cone' of certainty.
Please make preparations for a landfalling Tropical Cyclone.
As of the 5 AM Update. The Cone extends from the Corpus Christi area, South to below Tampico, Mexico.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at5+shtml/085921.shtml?3day?large
Edited by danielw (Sun Jul 17 2005 06:40 AM)
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