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NHC advisories to begin shortly on Storm 01L (Potential Tropical Cyclone 01L) in the Western Gulf. Elsewhere, low east of Bahamas being tracked.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 293 (Idalia) , Major: 293 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 293 (Idalia) Major: 293 (Idalia)
Ptnl One
ADV#3A 8:00 am EDT
21.5N 92.8W
Wind: 40MPH
Pres: 999mb
Moving:
N at 6 mph
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News Talkback >> 2005 News Talkbacks
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Clark
Meteorologist


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Posts: 1710
Re: Emily to Landfall Near Cozumel
      Mon Jul 18 2005 04:11 AM

Recon report about 15 minutes ago reported 141kt at flight level. Interestingly, the report of the 141kt wind they have in the actual report itself is in the SW quadrant, but they list it as being in the NE quadrant in the remarks. Perhaps it's in both...that'd be quite a change, though, considering the south side of the storm has been pretty weak throughout.

Don't know what the NHC will do with intensity from here. The eyewall cycle seems to have short-circuited itself, or at least trying to hold off from completing, so we still have strong flight level winds with a steadily rising pressure. You usually don't see 955mb correspond to ~140mph surface winds or ~160mph flight level winds...something has to give. The winds will at landfall, as will the pressure; but, will it happen beforehand as well? That's the big question of the night.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Emily to Landfall Near Cozumel MikeCAdministrator Mon Jul 18 2005 04:11 AM
. * * Re: Emily to Landfall Near Cozumel superfly   Mon Jul 18 2005 03:51 AM
. * * Re: Emily to Landfall Near Cozumel danielwAdministrator   Mon Jul 18 2005 03:53 AM
. * * Re: Emily to Landfall Near Cozumel Clark   Mon Jul 18 2005 04:11 AM
. * * Re: Emily to Landfall Near Cozumel superfly   Mon Jul 18 2005 04:10 AM
. * * Wind Speed danielwAdministrator   Mon Jul 18 2005 04:19 AM
. * * RECON Vortex danielwAdministrator   Mon Jul 18 2005 04:09 AM
. * * Re: RECON Vortex Margie   Mon Jul 18 2005 04:22 AM
. * * Re: Emily to Landfall Near Cozumel Margie   Mon Jul 18 2005 03:45 AM
. * * Re: Emily to Landfall Near Cozumel nl   Mon Jul 18 2005 03:47 AM
. * * Re: Emily to Landfall Near Cozumel MikeCAdministrator   Mon Jul 18 2005 03:49 AM
. * * Re: Emily to Landfall Near Cozumel Margie   Mon Jul 18 2005 04:27 AM
. * * Re: Emily to Landfall Near Cozumel superfly   Mon Jul 18 2005 04:29 AM
. * * Re: Emily to Landfall Near Cozumel Margie   Mon Jul 18 2005 05:07 AM
. * * Re: Emily to Landfall Near Cozumel superfly   Mon Jul 18 2005 05:24 AM
. * * Re: Emily to Landfall Near Cozumel Margie   Mon Jul 18 2005 05:31 AM
. * * Re: Emily to Landfall Near Cozumel danielwAdministrator   Mon Jul 18 2005 06:13 AM
. * * Re: Emily to Landfall Near Cozumel Margie   Mon Jul 18 2005 06:26 AM
. * * Re: Emily to Landfall Near Cozumel ShanaTX   Mon Jul 18 2005 06:43 AM
. * * Re: Emily to Landfall Near Cozumel superfly   Mon Jul 18 2005 06:29 AM
. * * Re: Emily to Landfall Near Cozumel Margie   Mon Jul 18 2005 06:39 AM
. * * Check this out Margie   Mon Jul 18 2005 06:44 AM
. * * emily beyond the yucatan, 99L HanKFranK   Mon Jul 18 2005 06:59 AM
. * * Re: emily beyond the yucatan, 99L danielwAdministrator   Mon Jul 18 2005 07:13 AM
. * * Re: emily beyond the yucatan, 99L Margie   Mon Jul 18 2005 07:18 AM
. * * Data danielwAdministrator   Mon Jul 18 2005 07:49 AM

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