MikeC
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Posts: 4560
Loc: Orlando, FL
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Mexico to Miami Needs To Watch
Fri Sep 20 2002 12:15 PM
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I have a feeling we'll be dealing with Isidore all next week, still in the gulf. Right now, literally, everyone in the Gulf from the Yucatan in Mexico to the tip of Florida Peninsula will want to eyeball this storm.
I'm leaning toward the west right now, heading dangerously close to the Yucatan. I don't expect it to make landfall however, and I could even see the system remaining in the gulf the entirety of next week. This will put emergency managers all along the coast on edge for days, and that fact itself makes it bad. Every hint of movement now must be watched. Even some of the best forecasters aren't very confident on the future path of this system. And the NHC's best guess I happen to agree with. Models and even their trends haven't been all that helpful either.
All I can say is watch it right now. Models aren't any help. Just keep watch on the system itself.
I'm back, at work, and buried in work related work, so this update will be short.
Jim Williams and Barometer bob are doing live Audio shows starting at 8PM and lasting usually to 10 or 11PM all during Isidore's run. Use the link below to check them out.
Updates will come as needed here. It will take a while for me just to catch up with everyone!
NRL Monterey Marine Meteorology Division Forecast Track of Active Systems (Good Forecast Track Graphic and Satellite Photos)
NASA GHCC Interactive Satellite images at:
North Atlantic Visible (Daytime Only), Infrared, Water Vapor
Some forecast models:
NGM, AVN, MRF, ETA ECMWF
DoD Weather Models (NOGAPS, AVN, MRF)
AVN, ECMWF, GFDL, MM5, NOGAPS, UKMET
Other commentary at Mike Anderson's East Coast Tropical Weather Center, Accuweather's Joe Bastardi, Hurricane City Weather Audio Broadcast Network - Live Audio from Jim Williams and Barometer Bob , Tropical Weather Watchers.Com (JasonM) Gary Gray's Millennium Weather, Barometer Bob's Hurricane Hollow, Snonut, Ed Dunham and Jason M in our Storm Forum Even more on the links page.
- [mac]
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