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Invest 94L just northeast of the ABC islands in the Caribbean moving west, 20% development chance. Another area near the Cabo Verde islands has a 20% chance to develop over the next 7 days.

Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 300 (Idalia) , Major: 300 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 300 (Idalia) Major: 300 (Idalia)

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News Talkback >> 2005 News Talkbacks

EMS
Weather Hobbyist

Reged:
Posts: 56
Loc: St. Petersburg, Florida

Re: Franklin, the Little Storm that Could
Sat Jul 23 2005 12:00 PM

I found this part of the discussion interesting....in no way am I trying to wishcast, but I'm trying to understand what physics could force the system to go south and southwest. Could the awaited trough deflect Franklin rather than pick him up?

Most of the model guidance
...Excluding the much faster GFS and GFDL models...now slows down
Franklin through 72 hours and either dissipated the cyclone or
waits for another shortwave trough to pick up the cyclone and
accelerate it quickly to the northeast. Just one problem...all of
the models...to some degree...move the mid-level circulation slowly
back to the south and southwest after 72 hours. This scenario is
similar to the medium and deep BAM models. Given that Franklin is
currently south of and slower than all of the NHC model guidance
from 06z...and that all of the models forecast the mid-level flow
to become northwest to northerly by 72 hours...the official track
has been shifted to the right...or south...of and a little slower
than the previous forecast. This track is consistent with the GUNS
model consensus.

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Franklin, the Little Storm that Could	MikeC	Sat Jul 23 2005 12:00 PM
New Birth From Africa?	47canetoad	Sat Jul 23 2005 11:19 PM
Re: New Birth From Africa?	Steve H1	Sat Jul 23 2005 11:32 PM
Re: New Birth From Africa?	Random Chaos	Sat Jul 23 2005 11:49 PM
Re: New Birth From Africa?	WXMAN RICHIE	Sat Jul 23 2005 11:38 PM
Re: Franklin, the Little Storm that Could	pedro	Sat Jul 23 2005 11:00 PM
Re: Franklin, the Little Storm that Could	Maybe maybe not	Sat Jul 23 2005 11:05 PM
Re: Franklin, the Little Storm that Could	Wxwatcher2	Sat Jul 23 2005 11:12 PM
Re: Franklin, the Little Storm that Could	Girlnascar	Sat Jul 23 2005 11:44 PM
Re: Franklin, the Little Storm that Could	danielw	Sun Jul 24 2005 12:16 AM
Re: Franklin, the Little Storm that Could	Margie	Sun Jul 24 2005 01:45 AM
Re: Franklin, the Little Storm that Could	Girlnascar	Sun Jul 24 2005 12:44 AM
Re: Franklin, the Little Storm that Could	danielw	Sun Jul 24 2005 01:06 AM
Re: Franklin, the Little Storm that Could	Margie	Sun Jul 24 2005 01:48 AM
TS Gert is born - earliest ever for the 7th name storm	Domino	Sun Jul 24 2005 01:54 AM
Re: TS Gert is born - earliest ever for the 7th name storm	Margie	Sun Jul 24 2005 01:59 AM
Re: TS Gert is born - earliest ever for the 7th name storm	ShanaTX	Sun Jul 24 2005 02:05 AM
Re: TS Gert is born - earliest ever for the 7th name storm	00cj	Sun Jul 24 2005 02:33 AM
Re: TS Gert is born - earliest ever for the 7th name storm	HanKFranK	Sun Jul 24 2005 03:07 AM
Re: TS Gert is born - earliest ever for the 7th name storm	Margie	Sun Jul 24 2005 10:23 AM
Re: TS Gert is born - earliest ever for the 7th name storm	Storm Cooper	Sun Jul 24 2005 10:26 AM
Re: TS Gert is born - earliest ever for the 7th name storm	scottsvb	Sun Jul 24 2005 03:22 AM
Franklin is weakening	yecatsjg	Sun Jul 24 2005 07:08 AM
Re: Franklin is weakening	Wxwatcher2	Sun Jul 24 2005 07:35 AM
Re: Franklin, the Little Storm that Could	Random Chaos	Sat Jul 23 2005 11:54 PM
Re: Franklin, the Little Storm that Could	Girlnascar	Sat Jul 23 2005 11:59 PM
Re: Franklin, decoupling?	Tropics Guy	Sun Jul 24 2005 12:16 AM
Re: Franklin, the Little Storm that Could	Random Chaos	Sat Jul 23 2005 11:17 PM
Re: Franklin, the Little Storm that Could	pedro	Sat Jul 23 2005 06:39 PM
Re: Franklin, the Little Storm that Could	sprnghill	Sat Jul 23 2005 07:04 PM
Re: Franklin, the Little Storm that Could	GuppieGrouper	Sat Jul 23 2005 07:29 PM
Re: Franklin, the Little Storm that Could	emackl	Sat Jul 23 2005 07:34 PM
Re: Franklin, the Little Storm that Could	ShanaTX	Sat Jul 23 2005 07:36 PM
Re: Franklin, the Little Storm that Could	pedro	Sat Jul 23 2005 03:56 PM
Re: Franklin, the Little Storm that Could	pedro	Sat Jul 23 2005 03:37 PM
Re: Franklin, the Little Storm that Could	pedro	Sat Jul 23 2005 03:08 PM
Re: Franklin, the Little Storm that Could	pedro	Sat Jul 23 2005 01:29 PM
Re: Franklin, the Little Storm that Could	EMS	Sat Jul 23 2005 12:00 PM
Re: Franklin, the Little Storm that Could	rmbjoe1954	Sat Jul 23 2005 08:49 AM
"It's 1954 all over again"	LI Phil	Sat Jul 23 2005 09:26 AM
Re: "It's 1954 all over again"	Clark	Sat Jul 23 2005 12:00 PM
Re: "It's 1954 all over again"	ShanaTX	Sat Jul 23 2005 11:18 AM
Re: "It's 1954 all over again"	Steve H1	Sat Jul 23 2005 11:16 AM
Re: "It's 1954 all over again"	MikeG	Sat Jul 23 2005 11:18 AM
Re: "It's 1954 all over again"	MikeG	Sat Jul 23 2005 11:23 AM
Re: "It's 1954 all over again"	Margie	Sat Jul 23 2005 11:39 AM
Re: "It's 1954 all over again"	MikeG	Sat Jul 23 2005 11:50 AM
Re: "It's 1954 all over again"	Keith234	Sat Jul 23 2005 11:48 AM
Re: "It's 1954 all over again"	ShanaTX	Sat Jul 23 2005 12:01 PM
Re: "It's 1954 all over again"	Margie	Sat Jul 23 2005 12:01 PM
Re: "It's 1954 all over again"	Keith234	Sat Jul 23 2005 12:05 PM
Re: "It's 1954 all over again"	Margie	Sat Jul 23 2005 12:17 PM
OT, but weather relevant.	Keith234	Sat Jul 23 2005 12:21 PM
Re: OT, but weather relevant.	Clark	Sat Jul 23 2005 12:24 PM
Re: OT, but weather relevant.	Margie	Sat Jul 23 2005 12:47 PM
Re: OT, but weather relevant.	MikeG	Sat Jul 23 2005 12:56 PM
Re: OT, but weather relevant.	Margie	Sat Jul 23 2005 12:58 PM
Re: OT, but weather relevant.	Random Chaos	Sat Jul 23 2005 01:26 PM
Re: OT, but weather relevant.	Lysis	Sat Jul 23 2005 01:31 PM
Re: OT, but weather relevant.	Maybe Maybe not	Sat Jul 23 2005 01:33 PM
Re: OT, but weather relevant.	Lysis	Sat Jul 23 2005 01:36 PM
De-Coupling?	Bloodstar	Sat Jul 23 2005 01:41 PM
Re: De-Coupling?	Clark	Sat Jul 23 2005 02:24 PM
Re: De-Coupling?	Cocoa Beach	Sat Jul 23 2005 02:31 PM
Re: De-Coupling?	MikeG	Sat Jul 23 2005 02:40 PM
BOC Storm starting to spin up	Bloodstar	Sat Jul 23 2005 01:46 PM
Re: BOC Storm starting to spin up	Clark	Sat Jul 23 2005 02:20 PM
Re: BOC Storm starting to spin up	MikeG	Sat Jul 23 2005 02:24 PM
Re: BOC Storm starting to spin up	scottsvb1	Sat Jul 23 2005 02:31 PM
Re: BOC Storm starting to spin up	scottsvb1	Sat Jul 23 2005 02:33 PM
Re: BOC Storm starting to spin up	scottsvb	Sat Jul 23 2005 02:37 PM
Re: BOC Storm starting to spin up	scottsvb1	Sat Jul 23 2005 01:58 PM
Re: BOC Storm starting to spin up	Clark	Sat Jul 23 2005 02:59 PM
Re: BOC Storm starting to spin up	ShanaTX	Sat Jul 23 2005 03:41 PM
Re: BOC Storm starting to spin up	Clark	Sat Jul 23 2005 03:52 PM
Re: BOC Storm starting to spin up	ShanaTX	Sat Jul 23 2005 04:47 PM
Re: BOC Storm starting to spin up	Bloodstar	Sat Jul 23 2005 02:04 PM
Re: OT, but weather relevant.	maybe maybe not	Sat Jul 23 2005 01:40 PM
Re: OT, but weather relevant.	MapMaster	Sat Jul 23 2005 02:37 PM
Re: OT, but weather relevant.	ShanaTX	Sat Jul 23 2005 02:45 PM
Re: OT, but weather relevant.	ShanaTX	Sat Jul 23 2005 01:03 PM
Re: OT, but weather relevant.	Steve	Sat Jul 23 2005 01:20 PM
Attack of the trolls...	Keith234	Sat Jul 23 2005 02:57 PM
Re: Attack of the trolls...	Clark	Sat Jul 23 2005 03:03 PM
Re: Attack of the trolls...	Keith234	Sat Jul 23 2005 03:06 PM
Re: Attack of the trolls...	Clark	Sat Jul 23 2005 03:37 PM
Re: Attack of the trolls...	Keith234	Sat Jul 23 2005 04:16 PM
Re: Attack of the trolls...	scottsvb	Sat Jul 23 2005 03:05 PM
Re: Attack of the trolls...	Keith234	Sat Jul 23 2005 03:08 PM
Re: Attack of the trolls...	HURRIHUNTER	Sat Jul 23 2005 03:59 PM
Re: Attack of the trolls...	FireAng8	Sat Jul 23 2005 04:02 PM
Re: Attack of the trolls...	Shalafi	Sat Jul 23 2005 04:06 PM
Re: Attack of the trolls...	XLM	Sat Jul 23 2005 04:04 PM
Re: Attack of the trolls...	XLM	Sat Jul 23 2005 04:16 PM
Re: Attack of the trolls...	Bloodstar	Sat Jul 23 2005 04:09 PM
Re: Attack of the trolls...	MichaelA	Sat Jul 23 2005 04:13 PM
Re: Attack of the trolls...	Bloodstar	Sat Jul 23 2005 04:27 PM
Re: Attack of the trolls...	MichaelA	Sat Jul 23 2005 04:47 PM
Re: Attack of the trolls...	MichaelA	Sat Jul 23 2005 04:31 PM
Re: Attack of the trolls...	Lysis	Sat Jul 23 2005 04:34 PM
Re: Attack of the trolls...	MichaelA	Sat Jul 23 2005 04:37 PM
T.D 7 forms in the BOC	Keith234	Sat Jul 23 2005 04:43 PM
Re: Attack of the trolls...	Keith234	Sat Jul 23 2005 04:41 PM
Re: Attack of the trolls...	yecatsjg	Sat Jul 23 2005 04:48 PM
Re: Attack of the trolls...	MichaelA	Sat Jul 23 2005 04:58 PM
Re: Attack of the trolls...	yecatsjg	Sat Jul 23 2005 05:02 PM
Re: Attack of the trolls...	Bloodstar	Sat Jul 23 2005 05:07 PM
Re: Attack of the trolls...	MichaelA	Sat Jul 23 2005 05:06 PM
Re: Attack of the trolls...	Keith234	Sat Jul 23 2005 05:05 PM
Re: Attack of the trolls...	Lysis	Sat Jul 23 2005 05:05 PM
Re: Attack of the trolls...	Clark	Sat Jul 23 2005 04:51 PM
TD7	Clark	Sat Jul 23 2005 04:54 PM
Re: Attack of the trolls...	Storm Cooper	Sat Jul 23 2005 04:53 PM
Re: Attack of the trolls... DELETED	BELL SOUTH	Sat Jul 23 2005 06:13 PM
Re: Attack of the trolls... DELETED	CaneTrackerInSoFl	Sat Jul 23 2005 06:25 PM
Re: Attack of the trolls...	Keith234	Sat Jul 23 2005 06:26 PM
Re: Attack of the trolls...	MichaelA	Sat Jul 23 2005 06:27 PM
Re: Attack of the trolls...	MikeG	Sat Jul 23 2005 04:45 PM
Re: Attack of the trolls...	Keith234	Sat Jul 23 2005 04:50 PM
Re: Attack of the trolls...	Margie	Sat Jul 23 2005 05:19 PM
Re: Attack of the trolls...	NewWatcher	Sat Jul 23 2005 05:38 PM
Re: Attack of the trolls...	Lysis	Sat Jul 23 2005 05:40 PM
The Weather Channel	Bloodstar	Sat Jul 23 2005 05:56 PM
Regarding T.D 7.	Keith234	Sat Jul 23 2005 06:05 PM
Re: Regarding T.D 7.	Frank P	Sat Jul 23 2005 06:13 PM
Re: Regarding T.D 7.	Keith234	Sat Jul 23 2005 06:29 PM
Re: Regarding T.D 7.	Frank P	Sat Jul 23 2005 06:37 PM
Re: Regarding T.D 7.	Keith234	Sat Jul 23 2005 07:03 PM
Re: Regarding T.D 7.	ShanaTX	Sat Jul 23 2005 11:18 PM
Re: Hello TS Gert...	ShanaTX	Sun Jul 24 2005 01:55 AM
Interesting note in the discussion...	CaneTrackerInSoFl	Sat Jul 23 2005 07:29 PM
Re: The Weather Channel	Ryan	Sat Jul 23 2005 06:05 PM
Pattern favoring development	Keith234	Sat Jul 23 2005 06:25 PM
Re: The Weather Channel	GuppieGrouper	Sat Jul 23 2005 06:08 PM
Re: The Weather Channel	Margie	Sat Jul 23 2005 06:14 PM
Re: The Weather Channel	ShanaTX	Sat Jul 23 2005 06:25 PM
Re: The Weather Channel	Steve H1	Sat Jul 23 2005 06:25 PM
Re: The Weather Channel	Bloodstar	Sat Jul 23 2005 06:11 PM
Re: The Weather Channel	Keith234	Sat Jul 23 2005 06:33 PM
Re: The Weather Channel	Bloodstar	Sat Jul 23 2005 06:38 PM
Re: The Weather Channel	KingTex	Sat Jul 23 2005 08:32 PM
Re: The Weather Channel	maybe maybe not	Sat Jul 23 2005 08:41 PM
Dvorak Current Intensity Chart	Maybe maybe not	Sat Jul 23 2005 09:36 PM
Re: Dvorak Current Intensity Chart	Random Chaos	Sat Jul 23 2005 09:47 PM
Re: Dvorak Current Intensity Chart	danielw	Sat Jul 23 2005 09:55 PM
Re: Dvorak Current Intensity Chart	Random Chaos	Sat Jul 23 2005 09:59 PM
Re: Dvorak Current Intensity Chart	Jamiewx	Sat Jul 23 2005 10:31 PM
Re: Dvorak Current Intensity Chart	Maybe maybe not	Sat Jul 23 2005 09:55 PM
Re: The Weather Channel	Clark	Sat Jul 23 2005 07:35 PM
Re: The Weather Channel	NewWatcher	Sat Jul 23 2005 06:12 PM
Re: The Weather Channel	MichaelA	Sat Jul 23 2005 06:04 PM
Re: Attack of the trolls...	MichaelA	Sat Jul 23 2005 04:41 PM
Re: Attack of the trolls...	to my room	Sat Jul 23 2005 04:56 PM
Re: Attack of the trolls...	Bloodstar	Sat Jul 23 2005 04:36 PM
Re: Attack of the trolls...	Margie	Sat Jul 23 2005 04:48 PM
Re: Attack of the trolls...	Keith234	Sat Jul 23 2005 04:57 PM
Re: Attack of the trolls...	AlexK	Sat Jul 23 2005 04:07 PM
Re: Attack of the trolls...	MichaelA	Sat Jul 23 2005 04:09 PM
Re: Attack of the trolls...	MichaelA	Sat Jul 23 2005 04:04 PM
Re: Attack of the trolls...	rmbjoe1954	Sat Jul 23 2005 03:07 PM
Re: Attack of the trolls...	Steve H1	Sat Jul 23 2005 03:10 PM
Re: Attack of the trolls...	Floridacane	Sat Jul 23 2005 03:23 PM
Re: Attack of the trolls...	Steve H1	Sat Jul 23 2005 03:37 PM
Re: Attack of the trolls...	Floridacane	Sat Jul 23 2005 03:39 PM
Re: Attack of the trolls...	COgal	Sat Jul 23 2005 03:30 PM
Starting the loop	Cocoa Beach	Sat Jul 23 2005 03:35 PM
Re: Starting the loop	its me	Sat Jul 23 2005 04:04 PM
Re: Starting the loop	RyRedCross	Sat Jul 23 2005 04:07 PM
Huri Hunter shut up.	AlexK	Sat Jul 23 2005 04:10 PM
Re: Huri Hunter shut up.	XLM	Sat Jul 23 2005 04:13 PM
Re: Starting the loop	Bloodstar	Sat Jul 23 2005 04:07 PM
Re: Starting the loop	Clark	Sat Jul 23 2005 04:13 PM
Re: Starting the loop	MichaelA	Sat Jul 23 2005 04:28 PM
Re: Starting the loop	Clowny	Sat Jul 23 2005 04:19 PM
Re: Starting the loop	tonythewop	Sat Jul 23 2005 03:56 PM
Re: Starting the loop	RyRedCross	Sat Jul 23 2005 04:01 PM
Re: Starting the loop	MichaelA	Sat Jul 23 2005 03:51 PM
Re: Starting the loop	ftlaudbob	Sat Jul 23 2005 03:59 PM
Re: Attack of the trolls...	rmbjoe1954	Sat Jul 23 2005 03:19 PM
Re: Attack of the trolls...	Steve H1	Sat Jul 23 2005 03:31 PM
Re: Attack of the trolls...	rmbjoe1954	Sat Jul 23 2005 03:35 PM
Re: OT, but weather relevant.	Random Chaos	Sat Jul 23 2005 01:28 PM
Re: OT, but weather relevant.	Keith234	Sat Jul 23 2005 01:01 PM
Re: OT, but weather relevant.	Margie	Sat Jul 23 2005 01:19 PM
Re: OT, but weather relevant.	MikeG	Sat Jul 23 2005 01:00 PM
Re: OT, but weather relevant. DELETED	MaoMaster	Sat Jul 23 2005 12:42 PM
Re: OT, but weather relevant.	MikeG	Sat Jul 23 2005 12:44 PM
Franklin, but also looking south (and east)	Clark	Sat Jul 23 2005 12:35 PM
Re: Franklin, but also looking south (and east)	Keith234	Sat Jul 23 2005 12:40 PM
Re: Franklin, but also looking south (and east)	MAN GOOOOO	Sat Jul 23 2005 12:45 PM
Re: OT, but weather relevant.	MikeG	Sat Jul 23 2005 12:27 PM
Re: OT, but weather relevant.	MapMaster	Sat Jul 23 2005 02:31 PM
Re: OT, but weather relevant.	Keith234	Sat Jul 23 2005 12:35 PM
Re: "It's 1954 all over again"	Lysis	Sat Jul 23 2005 12:10 PM
Re: "It's 1954 all over again"	Steve	Sat Jul 23 2005 12:08 PM
Re: "It's 1954 all over again"	Keith234	Sat Jul 23 2005 12:15 PM
Re: "It's 1954 all over again"	Biowatch	Sat Jul 23 2005 11:09 AM
Re: "It's 1954 all over again"	Margie	Sat Jul 23 2005 10:21 AM
Re: "It's 1954 all over again"	Steve H1	Sat Jul 23 2005 11:09 AM
Re: "It's 1954 all over again"	Margie	Sat Jul 23 2005 11:23 AM
Re: "It's 1954 all over again"	Wxwatcher2	Sat Jul 23 2005 11:30 AM
Re: "It's 1954 all over again"	MikeG	Sat Jul 23 2005 11:34 AM
Re: "It's 1954 all over again"	Keith234	Sat Jul 23 2005 11:46 AM
Re: "It's 1954 all over again"	Rasvar	Sat Jul 23 2005 11:53 AM
Re: "It's 1954 all over again"	MaoMaster	Sat Jul 23 2005 10:20 AM
Re: "It's 1954 all over again"	LI Phil	Sat Jul 23 2005 10:22 AM
Re: "It's 1954 all over again"	MapMaster	Sat Jul 23 2005 02:25 PM
Re: "It's 1954 all over again"	MaoMaster	Sat Jul 23 2005 12:12 PM
Re: "It's 1954 all over again"	Keith234	Sat Jul 23 2005 12:17 PM
Re: "It's 1954 all over again"	Steve	Sat Jul 23 2005 12:23 PM
Re: "It's 1954 all over again"	Steve	Sat Jul 23 2005 10:47 AM
Re: "It's 1954 all over again"	GuppieGrouper	Sat Jul 23 2005 09:57 AM
Re: "It's 1954 all over again"	XLM	Sat Jul 23 2005 10:20 AM
Re: Franklin, the Little Storm that Could	Margie	Sat Jul 23 2005 08:46 AM
Re: Franklin, the Little Storm that Could	emackl	Sat Jul 23 2005 08:32 AM
Re: Franklin, the Little Storm that Could	Katie	Sat Jul 23 2005 07:46 PM
Re: Franklin, the Little Storm that Could	Keith234	Sat Jul 23 2005 07:48 PM
Re: Franklin, the Little Storm that Could	HCW	Sat Jul 23 2005 08:01 PM
Re: Franklin, the Little Storm that Could	GuppieGrouper	Sat Jul 23 2005 07:59 PM
Re: Franklin, the Little Storm that Could	Clark	Sat Jul 23 2005 08:45 PM
Re: Franklin, the Little Storm that Could	GuppieGrouper	Sat Jul 23 2005 09:07 PM
Re: Franklin, the Little Storm that Could	MichaelA	Sat Jul 23 2005 08:54 PM
Re: Franklin, the Little Storm that Could	Ron Basso	Sat Jul 23 2005 10:22 PM
Re: Franklin, the Little Storm that Could	danielw	Sat Jul 23 2005 10:38 PM
Re: Franklin, the Little Storm that Could	MichaelA	Sat Jul 23 2005 10:51 PM
Re: Franklin, the Little Storm that Could	Major7	Sat Jul 23 2005 10:50 PM
Re: Franklin, the Little Storm that Could	MichaelA	Sat Jul 23 2005 10:59 PM
Re: Franklin, the Little Storm that Could	Maybe maybe not	Sat Jul 23 2005 10:33 PM

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