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Rafael continues to decouple over the Gulf. Meanwhile we are keeping a watch on Invest 98L around the Bahamas and potentially a new low forming in the Caribbean.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 31 (Milton) , Major: 31 (Milton) Florida - Any: 31 (Milton) Major: 31 (Milton)
26.3N 91.9W
Wind: 40MPH
Pres: 1003mb
Moving:
Nnw at 3 mph
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News Talkback >> 2002 News Articles and Talkback

Frank P
Veteran Storm Chaser


Reged:
Posts: 1299
New Orleans Met
      Fri Sep 20 2002 11:29 PM

Fox 8 met said that one of the reasons that Izzy will eventually make the northward track was based on the following:

There is a large ULL off to the NE of the system and that is going to drive the system off to the west or even WSW for the next couple of days... over time the ULL off to the NE of the system will be replace with high pressure which and this will be the trigger that will influence Izzy to move northward, because he will be rotating around the edge of the high pressure and that's the mechanism that eventually drives the system northward.... this was his forecast... not mine... but makes sense in this senseless situation...

Several of the models tonight are in agreement with the northward track... GFDL has it going to the MS coast just southeast of Biloxi... but hey, what city has not gotten a direct hit with the GFDL over the past two days from Izzy ....

I'm still sticking with my initial forcast of a land fall on the FL panhandle, but reserver the right to shift it just a tad bit west... I'm going to go down with the ship on this one as far as forecast... this thing might end up in Mexico... but I doubt it... eventually its going north.... if I'm wrong, and I hope so, crow tastes just fine with a cold miller light...

as someone posted earlier, what would Nash Roberts forecast.... all he needed was a black marker and marker board... he was one of the best...

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Subtropical Depression 12 and Isidore MikeCAdministrator Fri Sep 20 2002 11:29 PM
. * * My own personal cat 5 Domino   Sat Sep 21 2002 04:43 AM
. * * Re: My own personal cat 5 Rick   Sat Sep 21 2002 09:24 AM
. * * Re: My own personal cat 5 Frank P   Sat Sep 21 2002 09:46 AM
. * * Re: My own personal cat 5 Rick   Sat Sep 21 2002 11:10 AM
. * * Re: My own personal cat 5 Justin in Miami   Sat Sep 21 2002 11:34 AM
. * * Re: My own personal cat 5 Kimster   Sat Sep 21 2002 10:45 AM
. * * Re: My own personal cat 5 joepub1   Sat Sep 21 2002 10:55 AM
. * * Re: My own personal cat 5 wxman007   Sat Sep 21 2002 10:53 AM
. * * Re: My own personal cat 5 joepub1   Sat Sep 21 2002 10:13 AM
. * * Hey Derek... Steve   Sat Sep 21 2002 09:35 AM
. * * Izzy headed south of due west? Rich B   Sat Sep 21 2002 05:54 AM
. * * Re: Izzy headed south of due west? Anonymous   Sat Sep 21 2002 07:26 AM
. * * Re: Izzy headed south of due west? Kevin   Sat Sep 21 2002 08:37 AM
. * * Re: Izzy headed south of due west? 57497479   Sat Sep 21 2002 08:54 AM
. * * Surprise! a 5 hour night... Steve   Sat Sep 21 2002 09:13 AM
. * * Re: Surprise! a 5 hour night... 57497479   Sat Sep 21 2002 09:24 AM
. * * Re: Surprise! a 5 hour night... Frank P   Sat Sep 21 2002 09:23 AM
. * * Re: Izzy headed south of due west? 57497479   Sat Sep 21 2002 09:09 AM
. * * Re: Izzy headed south of due west? Kimster   Sat Sep 21 2002 10:19 AM
. * * Re: Izzy headed south of due west? Anonymous   Sat Sep 21 2002 11:18 AM
. * * Re: Izzy headed south of due west? Kimster   Sat Sep 21 2002 12:29 PM
. * * Re: Izzy headed south of due west? Kimster   Sat Sep 21 2002 12:27 PM
. * * Re: Izzy headed south of due west? Anonymous   Sat Sep 21 2002 11:23 AM
. * * Media=Nuts Kevin   Sat Sep 21 2002 10:51 AM
. * * Re: Izzy headed south of due west? OrlandoDude   Sat Sep 21 2002 10:17 AM
. * * Re: Izzy headed south of due west? Kevin   Sat Sep 21 2002 09:07 AM
. * * Re: Izzy headed south of due west? 57497479   Sat Sep 21 2002 09:16 AM
. * * Re: Izzy headed south of due west? clyde w.   Sat Sep 21 2002 08:48 AM
. * * Re: Izzy headed south of due west? clyde w.   Sat Sep 21 2002 08:49 AM
. * * Re: Subtropical Depression 12 and Isidore Anonymous   Sat Sep 21 2002 03:52 AM
. * * Re: Subtropical Depression 12 and Isidore troy2   Sat Sep 21 2002 12:33 AM
. * * Re: Subtropical Depression 12 and Isidore Anonymous   Fri Sep 20 2002 11:36 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Depression 12 and Isidore Anonymous   Fri Sep 20 2002 11:14 PM
. * * coming in jimmy99   Fri Sep 20 2002 10:24 PM
. * * Re: coming in Ricreig   Fri Sep 20 2002 10:46 PM
. * * Re: coming in FlaRebel   Fri Sep 20 2002 10:53 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Depression 12 and Isidore Anonymous   Fri Sep 20 2002 10:16 PM
. * * Has anyone noticed.... Ricreig   Fri Sep 20 2002 09:59 PM
. * * Re: Has anyone noticed.... Anonymous   Fri Sep 20 2002 10:09 PM
. * * Re: Has anyone noticed.... Ricreig   Fri Sep 20 2002 10:12 PM
. * * Re: Has anyone noticed.... DopplerGal   Fri Sep 20 2002 10:47 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Depression 12 and Isidore meto   Fri Sep 20 2002 09:48 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Depression 12 and Isidore Danya   Fri Sep 20 2002 09:40 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Depression 12 and Isidore Ricreig   Fri Sep 20 2002 09:50 PM
. * * Re:Wishcasting etc. Jeanine   Fri Sep 20 2002 10:54 PM
. * * Re:Wishcasting etc. Kimster   Sat Sep 21 2002 01:57 AM
. * * Re:Wishcasting etc. joepub1   Fri Sep 20 2002 11:46 PM
. * * Re:Wishcasting etc. Bruce   Sat Sep 21 2002 12:16 AM
. * * Re:Wishcasting etc. Bruce   Sat Sep 21 2002 12:34 AM
. * * Re:Wishcasting etc. Frank P   Fri Sep 20 2002 11:58 PM
. * * Re:Wishcasting etc. joepub1   Sat Sep 21 2002 12:12 AM
. * * Re:Wishcasting etc. Rad   Sat Sep 21 2002 12:07 AM
. * * Re:Wishcasting etc. Anonymous   Sat Sep 21 2002 12:14 AM
. * * Re:Wishcasting etc. PaulyAce2002   Sat Sep 21 2002 12:34 AM
. * * Re:Wishcasting etc. Jeanine   Sat Sep 21 2002 12:49 AM
. * * 92l troy2   Sat Sep 21 2002 12:42 AM
. * * Re:Wishcasting etc. PaulyAce2002   Sat Sep 21 2002 12:41 AM
. * * Re:Wishcasting etc. joepub1   Sat Sep 21 2002 12:31 AM
. * * Speaking of wishcasting Ricreig   Sat Sep 21 2002 12:11 AM
. * * Re: Speaking of wishcasting Frank P   Sat Sep 21 2002 12:43 AM
. * * MAJOR CANE WXMAN RICHIE   Sat Sep 21 2002 10:54 AM
. * * Re: MAJOR CANE joepub1   Sat Sep 21 2002 11:02 AM
. * * Re: MAJOR CANE (MAJOR problems) Kevin   Sat Sep 21 2002 11:16 AM
. * * Re: MAJOR CANE Southern4sure   Sat Sep 21 2002 11:19 AM
. * * Re: Info Kevin   Sat Sep 21 2002 11:27 AM
. * * And next up is... joepub1   Sat Sep 21 2002 11:42 AM
. * * Re: Info Anonymous   Sat Sep 21 2002 11:39 AM
. * * Re: MAJOR CANE Rasvar   Sat Sep 21 2002 11:15 AM
. * * Re: Speaking of wishcasting BillD   Sat Sep 21 2002 12:59 AM
. * * I'm sitting here thinking, 'damn, this is a pretty serious situation.' Steve   Sat Sep 21 2002 01:48 AM
. * * Re: Speaking of wishcasting Bruce   Sat Sep 21 2002 12:49 AM
. * * Re: Speaking of wishcasting Kimster   Sat Sep 21 2002 01:51 AM
. * * Re: Speaking of wishcasting Steve   Sat Sep 21 2002 01:52 AM
. * * 'nuther lateniter HanKFranK   Sat Sep 21 2002 02:20 AM
. * * Re: 'nuther lateniter Kimster   Sat Sep 21 2002 02:46 AM
. * * Re: 'nuther lateniter Kimmie at home   Sat Sep 21 2002 03:09 AM
. * * Re: Speaking of wishcasting jlauderdal   Sat Sep 21 2002 12:46 AM
. * * Re:Wishcasting etc. BillD   Fri Sep 20 2002 11:33 PM
. * * Re:Wishcasting etc. Floridacane   Fri Sep 20 2002 11:09 PM
. * * if it has stalled Rick in Mobile   Fri Sep 20 2002 11:01 PM
. * * Re: if it has stalled BillD   Fri Sep 20 2002 11:11 PM
. * * Re: if it has stalled Ricreig   Fri Sep 20 2002 11:17 PM
. * * Anyone got any opinions on the 11pm offical track? Steve   Fri Sep 20 2002 11:22 PM
. * * Re: if it has stalled troy2   Fri Sep 20 2002 11:22 PM
. * * Re: if it has stalled Bruce   Fri Sep 20 2002 11:33 PM
. * * Re: if it has stalled Anonymous   Fri Sep 20 2002 11:10 PM
. * * THIS WON'T BE PRETTY YA'LL Rick in Mobile   Fri Sep 20 2002 11:09 PM
. * * Re: if it has stalled troy2   Fri Sep 20 2002 11:07 PM
. * * Discussion... wxman007   Fri Sep 20 2002 11:05 PM
. * * Re: Discussion... Ricreig   Fri Sep 20 2002 11:24 PM
. * * Re: Discussion... wxman007   Fri Sep 20 2002 11:37 PM
. * * Next 72 hours are very clear... Kevin   Fri Sep 20 2002 11:30 PM
. * * Re: Discussion... joepub1   Fri Sep 20 2002 11:23 PM
. * * Re: Discussion...(hmmm...) Kevin   Fri Sep 20 2002 11:19 PM
. * * Re: Discussion...(hmmm...) clyde w.   Fri Sep 20 2002 11:29 PM
. * * Re: Discussion... DopplerGal   Fri Sep 20 2002 11:09 PM
. * * New Orleans Met Frank P   Fri Sep 20 2002 11:29 PM
. * * Re:Wishcasting etc. Bruce   Fri Sep 20 2002 11:01 PM
. * * Re:Wishcasting etc. Ricreig   Fri Sep 20 2002 10:59 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Depression 12 and Isidore Danya   Fri Sep 20 2002 09:59 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Depression 12 and Isidore Ricreig   Fri Sep 20 2002 10:08 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Depression 12 and Isidore meto   Fri Sep 20 2002 08:23 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Depression 12 and Isidore Londovir   Fri Sep 20 2002 08:32 PM
. * * Cancun Radar greg-kfdmtv   Fri Sep 20 2002 08:46 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Depression 12 and Isidore meto   Fri Sep 20 2002 08:16 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Depression 12 and Isidore Anonymous   Fri Sep 20 2002 08:50 PM
. * * Re: Wishcasters and Andrew BillD   Fri Sep 20 2002 09:29 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Depression 12 and Isidore Ricreig   Fri Sep 20 2002 09:16 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Depression 12 and Isidore MikeCAdministrator   Fri Sep 20 2002 09:21 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Depression 12 and Isidore joepub1   Fri Sep 20 2002 09:37 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Depression 12 and Isidore joepub1   Fri Sep 20 2002 09:08 PM
. * * It's delicious... Steve   Fri Sep 20 2002 08:47 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Depression 12 and Isidore meto   Fri Sep 20 2002 08:12 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Depression 12 and Isidore meto   Fri Sep 20 2002 08:01 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Depression 12 and Isidore Jeanine   Fri Sep 20 2002 08:05 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Depression 12 and Isidore BillD   Fri Sep 20 2002 08:20 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Depression 12 and Isidore VolusiaMike   Fri Sep 20 2002 08:03 PM
. * * meto - find me a north movement in the shortwave and you can mail me a hat for desert Steve   Fri Sep 20 2002 08:03 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Depression 12 and Isidore J.J.   Fri Sep 20 2002 07:49 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Depression 12 and Isidore meto   Fri Sep 20 2002 07:47 PM
. * * Wishcasting for Indiana... Domino   Fri Sep 20 2002 06:38 PM
. * * Re: Wishcasting for Indiana... Mike   Fri Sep 20 2002 07:40 PM
. * * Re: Wishcasting for Indiana... MikeCAdministrator   Fri Sep 20 2002 07:28 PM
. * * 18Z AVN greg-kfdmtv   Fri Sep 20 2002 07:32 PM
. * * Greg ShawnS   Fri Sep 20 2002 07:35 PM
. * * 18Z Landfall greg-kfdmtv   Fri Sep 20 2002 07:41 PM
. * * Re: 18Z Landfall ShawnS   Fri Sep 20 2002 07:47 PM
. * * Re: 18Z Landfall Anonymous   Fri Sep 20 2002 07:44 PM
. * * Wave east of the islands is my concern Cycloneye   Fri Sep 20 2002 06:53 PM
. * * Re: Wave east of the islands is my concern Kevin   Fri Sep 20 2002 07:16 PM
. * * Re: Wave east of the islands is my concern troy2   Fri Sep 20 2002 07:13 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Depression 12 and Isidore Anonymous   Fri Sep 20 2002 06:35 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Depression 12 and Isidore meto   Fri Sep 20 2002 05:58 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Depression 12 and Isidore BillD   Fri Sep 20 2002 07:45 PM
. * * AVN website greg-kfdmtv   Fri Sep 20 2002 07:49 PM
. * * Isidore's future... J.J.   Fri Sep 20 2002 05:34 PM
. * * Re: Isidore's future... Anonymous   Fri Sep 20 2002 05:40 PM
. * * Re: Isidore's future... Anonymous   Fri Sep 20 2002 06:13 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Depression 12 and Isidore Rasvar   Fri Sep 20 2002 05:21 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Depression 12 and Isidore Anonymous   Fri Sep 20 2002 05:26 PM
. * * Re: Isidore's 72 hour speed (directed to anonymous poster) Kevin   Fri Sep 20 2002 05:42 PM
. * * Re: Isidore's 72 hour speed (directed to anonymous poster) wxman007   Fri Sep 20 2002 05:51 PM
. * * Re: Isidore's 72 hour speed (directed to anonymous poster) Kevin   Fri Sep 20 2002 05:55 PM
. * * Re: Isidore's 72 hour speed (directed to anonymous poster) Anonymous   Fri Sep 20 2002 05:54 PM
. * * Re: Isidore's 72 hour speed (directed to anonymous poster) wxman007   Fri Sep 20 2002 06:05 PM
. * * Re: Isidore's 72 hour speed (directed to anonymous poster) Anonymous   Fri Sep 20 2002 05:49 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Depression 12 and Isidore Kevin   Fri Sep 20 2002 05:13 PM

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