Current Radar or Satellite Image

Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane Center - Tracking Storms since 1995Hurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995


The Atlantic is quiet
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 45 (Milton) , Major: 45 (Milton) Florida - Any: 45 (Milton) Major: 45 (Milton)
 


Archives 2002-2009 >> 2006 Forecast Lounge

Clark
Meteorologist


Reged:
Posts: 1710
Re: Joe Bastardi's take
      Tue Aug 09 2005 03:36 PM

I'm sorry, but calling for an Andrew-type impact at this point is just irresponsible. That storm was the single most devestating storm of our time and affected hundreds of thousands of lives. It is not a storm to draw idle comparison to, period.

Irene is much further north of Andrew at 55 W -- by 5 or 6 degrees in latitude -- and the underlying conditions between this year and 1992 are entirely different. This storm could do anything, but unless you are able to back it up with hard meteorological knowledge, it's merely wishcasting at this point in time. Climatology also has just as many -- or more -- storms that didn't turn into these "tight widowmakers" -- and the atmospheric regime does not suggest anything to allow for this storm to do anything like what Andrew did.

If the threat for such a storm is there, we will know it well ahead of time. The threat is there for this storm to become a decent hurricane and potentially impact land. The chance for the latter right now is still less than 50/50 and still, no matter what occurs, a week away at the earliest. We'll watch it, but it's simply irrepsonsible meteorology to be hyping this up like that -- especially given no guidance and no observations whatsoever that suggest such a scenario is possible.

--------------------
Current Tropical Model Output Plots
(or view them on the main page for any active Atlantic storms!)

Post Extras Print Post   Remind Me!     Notify Moderator


Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Joe Bastardi's take Rick on boat in Mobile Tue Aug 09 2005 03:36 PM
. * * Re: Joe Bastardi's take MikeCAdministrator   Tue Aug 09 2005 07:10 PM
. * * Re: Joe Bastardi's take Ryan   Tue Aug 09 2005 07:30 PM
. * * Re: Joe Bastardi's take ftlaudbob   Tue Aug 09 2005 09:49 PM
. * * Re: Joe Bastardi's take richisurfs   Tue Aug 09 2005 09:57 PM
. * * Re: Joe Bastardi's take Clark   Wed Aug 10 2005 01:10 AM
. * * Re: Joe Bastardi's take disneyfanfl   Tue Aug 09 2005 03:40 PM
. * * Re: Joe Bastardi's take Clark   Tue Aug 09 2005 03:36 PM
. * * Re: Joe Bastardi's take Rick on boat in Mobile   Tue Aug 09 2005 03:44 PM
. * * Re: Joe Bastardi's take Lysis   Tue Aug 09 2005 04:28 PM
. * * Re: Joe Bastardi's take damejune2   Tue Aug 09 2005 03:27 PM
. * * Re: Joe Bastardi's take damejune2   Tue Aug 09 2005 03:21 PM

Extra information
0 registered and 10 anonymous users are browsing this forum.

Moderator:  



Forum Permissions
      You cannot start new topics
      You cannot reply to topics
      HTML is disabled
      UBBCode is enabled

Rating:
Thread views: 8819

Rate this thread

Jump to

Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center