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MikeCAdministrator
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Posts: 4545
Loc: Orlando, FL
Irene Moving Northwest, TD 10 Forms
      Fri Aug 12 2005 05:17 PM

Saturday Update
As of the 5pm advisory packages, we now have our tenth tropical depression of the season out in the Central Atlantic. It is weak right now and undergoing some shear, so only slow development is expected as it generally moves towards the northwest over the next 3-5 days. Interests in the Northern Lesser Antilles should watch this one, though the current guidance and NHC path suggest it should stay north of there. If it becomes a named system, it would be Jose -- and the earliest 10th named storm in recorded history in the Atlantic.

Today also marks the 1 year anniversary of Hurricane Charley making landfall in Southwest Florida. Charley was the second costliest hurricane on record in the US, causing over $15 billion in damages.

Original Update
Tropical Storm Irene is due to have Recon enter the system today. It's current motion is to the northwest and will likely continue on this for the next day or two.



It will then likely move more northward, well before land. However, later on it looks like steering currents will relax, and allow Irene to meander, eventually being pushed out to sea by the steering flow.

The Recon should help gain more confidence in the currently somewhat shaky forecast beyond a few days. I do not expect Irene to landfall along the East Coast, but areas in the cone should be on the watch.

Beyond Irene another tropical wave AKA 96L is in the Central Atlantic, it's looking better today and may become a depression tomorrow.

Hurricane Charley arrived in Florida a year ago today, starting the 2004 hell year for storms.

Event Related Links
StormCarib hurricane reports from observers in the Islands
Caribbean Island Weather Reports
Color Sat of Gulf
RAMSDIS high speed visible Floater of Storms

Irene


Animated Model Plot of Irene
Satellite Image of Irene with Storm Track Overlays
Infrared color Satellite Image of Irene with Storm track Overlays

QuikSCAT image of Irene
Weather Underground model plots of Irene
Irene Spaghetti Plot from BoatUS
NRL Monterey Irene Imagery

TD 10:


Satellite imagery from NASA/GHCC
QuikSCAT image of TD 10
NRL Monterey TD 10 Imagery

Edited by SkeetoBite (Sun Aug 14 2005 01:18 AM)

Post Extras Print Post   Remind Me!     Notify Moderator


Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Irene Moving Northwest, TD 10 Forms MikeCAdministrator Fri Aug 12 2005 05:17 PM
. * * Re: Irene Moving Northwest and Will Likely Head Out to Sea pedro   Sat Aug 13 2005 01:49 PM
. * * Re: Irene Moving Northwest and Will Likely Head Out to Sea AndyG   Sat Aug 13 2005 02:18 PM
. * * Re: Irene Moving Northwest and Will Likely Head Out to Sea Beaumont, TX   Sat Aug 13 2005 12:36 AM
. * * Re: Irene Moving Northwest and Will Likely Head Out to Sea Frank P   Sat Aug 13 2005 12:41 AM
. * * quick reminder HanKFranK   Sat Aug 13 2005 01:35 AM
. * * 11:00 is out...Irene Still a TS LI Phil   Sat Aug 13 2005 02:53 AM
. * * The Future Of Irene Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sat Aug 13 2005 03:32 AM
. * * Re: The Future Of Irene Random Chaos   Sat Aug 13 2005 03:38 AM
. * * Re: The Future Of Irene Wxwatcher2   Sat Aug 13 2005 04:10 AM
. * * Re: The Future Of Irene Steve H1   Sat Aug 13 2005 04:34 AM
. * * Re: The Future Of Irene HanKFranK   Sat Aug 13 2005 06:01 AM
. * * Re: The Future Of Irene Cat Adjuster   Sat Aug 13 2005 02:23 PM
. * * Re: The Future Of Irene Old Sailor   Sat Aug 13 2005 03:01 PM
. * * Re: The Future Of Irene NONAME   Sat Aug 13 2005 04:23 PM
. * * Invest 96L Comments Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sat Aug 13 2005 04:35 PM
. * * Re: The Future Of Irene ralphfl   Sat Aug 13 2005 04:33 PM
. * * Re: The Future Of Irene Kevin   Sat Aug 13 2005 05:37 PM
. * * Re: The Future Of Irene scottsvb   Sat Aug 13 2005 05:48 PM
. * * Re: The Future Of Irene mikeG   Sat Aug 13 2005 06:04 PM
. * * Good night, Irene, good night Irene... margie_visiting   Sat Aug 13 2005 06:25 PM
. * * Re: Good night, Irene, good night Irene... Myles   Sat Aug 13 2005 07:55 PM
. * * Could we have a trend here? ftlaudbob   Sat Aug 13 2005 07:32 PM
. * * Re: Could we have a trend here? CaneTrackerInSoFl   Sat Aug 13 2005 08:33 PM
. * * Re: Could we have a trend here? Kevin   Sat Aug 13 2005 09:50 PM
. * * Re: Could we have a trend here? emackl   Sat Aug 13 2005 10:06 PM
. * * Re: Could we have a trend here? meto   Sat Aug 13 2005 10:27 PM
. * * Re: Could we have a trend here? NONAME   Sun Aug 14 2005 12:23 AM
. * * TD 10 and Irene danielwAdministrator   Sun Aug 14 2005 12:33 AM
. * * Re: TD 10 and Irene *Killed -- Sent to Graveyard* NONAME   Sun Aug 14 2005 12:40 AM
. * * Re: TD 10 and Irene Storm Cooper   Sun Aug 14 2005 12:41 AM
. * * Re: Could we have a trend here? Clark   Sat Aug 13 2005 10:27 PM
. * * Re: Could we have a trend here? SkeetoBiteAdministrator   Sun Aug 14 2005 12:32 AM
. * * Re: The Future Of Irene mikeG   Sat Aug 13 2005 06:12 PM
. * * Re: The Future Of Irene mikeG   Sat Aug 13 2005 06:19 AM
. * * Early Saturday thoughts on Irene LI Phil   Sat Aug 13 2005 11:21 AM
. * * Re: Early Saturday thoughts on Irene craigm   Sat Aug 13 2005 12:53 PM
. * * Re: quick reminder damejune2   Sat Aug 13 2005 02:51 AM
. * * Hank and Irene danielwAdministrator   Sat Aug 13 2005 02:50 AM
. * * Irene stalled? Frank P   Sat Aug 13 2005 01:24 AM
. * * Re: Irene Moving Northwest and Will Likely Head Out to Sea Clark   Fri Aug 12 2005 05:56 PM
. * * Re: Irene Moving Northwest and Will Likely Head Out to Sea Myles   Fri Aug 12 2005 06:19 PM
. * * Re: Irene Moving Northwest and Will Likely Head Out to Sea scottsvb   Fri Aug 12 2005 06:16 PM
. * * Re: Irene Moving Northwest and Will Likely Head Out to Sea Rabbit   Fri Aug 12 2005 06:28 PM
. * * Re: Irene Moving Northwest and Will Likely Head Out to Sea scottsvb   Fri Aug 12 2005 06:39 PM
. * * Re: Irene Moving Northwest and Will Likely Head Out to Sea scottsvb   Fri Aug 12 2005 06:43 PM
. * * Recon Brad in Miami   Fri Aug 12 2005 06:37 PM
. * * Re: Recon Todd   Fri Aug 12 2005 06:48 PM
. * * Re: Recon crpeavley   Fri Aug 12 2005 08:14 PM
. * * Re: Recon john03   Fri Aug 12 2005 08:19 PM
. * * Re: Recon Brad in Miami   Fri Aug 12 2005 08:22 PM
. * * Re: Recon Brad in Miami   Fri Aug 12 2005 08:26 PM
. * * Re: Recon Todd   Fri Aug 12 2005 08:18 PM
. * * Re: Recon Rabbit   Fri Aug 12 2005 06:51 PM
. * * Re: Recon Brad in Miami   Fri Aug 12 2005 07:04 PM
. * * Re: Recon Frank P   Fri Aug 12 2005 07:09 PM
. * * Recon Cocoa Beach   Fri Aug 12 2005 07:12 PM
. * * Re: Recon damejune2   Fri Aug 12 2005 07:21 PM
. * * Re: Recon Frank P   Fri Aug 12 2005 07:26 PM
. * * Re: Recon damejune2   Fri Aug 12 2005 07:32 PM
. * * Re: Recon Gainesville, FL   Fri Aug 12 2005 07:37 PM
. * * Re: Recon OcalaKT   Fri Aug 12 2005 07:40 PM
. * * Re: Recon Reaper   Fri Aug 12 2005 07:53 PM
. * * Re: Recon mikeG   Fri Aug 12 2005 07:35 PM
. * * Re: Recon mikeG   Fri Aug 12 2005 07:41 PM
. * * Re: Recon ShanaTX   Fri Aug 12 2005 07:46 PM
. * * Re: Recon mikeG   Fri Aug 12 2005 08:03 PM
. * * Re: Recon mikeG   Fri Aug 12 2005 08:04 PM
. * * Re: Recon Ed in Va   Fri Aug 12 2005 08:12 PM
. * * Re: Recon rmbjoe1954   Fri Aug 12 2005 08:25 PM
. * * Re: Recon Big Kahuna   Fri Aug 12 2005 08:00 PM
. * * Re: Recon superfly   Fri Aug 12 2005 07:45 PM
. * * Re: Recon Ed in Va   Fri Aug 12 2005 07:41 PM
. * * Re: Recon Old Sailor   Fri Aug 12 2005 07:47 PM
. * * Re: Recon Frank P   Fri Aug 12 2005 07:50 PM
. * * Re: Recon Old Sailor   Fri Aug 12 2005 07:55 PM
. * * Re: Recon ralphfl   Fri Aug 12 2005 07:25 PM
. * * Re: Recon mikeG   Fri Aug 12 2005 07:28 PM
. * * Re: Recon margie_visiting   Fri Aug 12 2005 08:28 PM
. * * Re: Recon margie_visiting   Fri Aug 12 2005 08:33 PM
. * * Re: Recon Hurricane Fredrick 1979   Fri Aug 12 2005 08:40 PM
. * * Re: Recon Todd   Fri Aug 12 2005 08:46 PM
. * * Re: Recon mikeG   Fri Aug 12 2005 08:42 PM
. * * Re: Recon DavidP   Fri Aug 12 2005 08:47 PM
. * * Re: Recon mikeG   Fri Aug 12 2005 08:53 PM
. * * Re: Recon mikeG   Fri Aug 12 2005 08:54 PM
. * * Re: Recon Ryan   Fri Aug 12 2005 08:58 PM
. * * Re: Recon Clark   Fri Aug 12 2005 10:49 PM
. * * Irene & to-be-TD 10 Clark   Fri Aug 12 2005 11:54 PM
. * * Re: Irene & to-be-TD 10 Old Sailor   Sat Aug 13 2005 12:06 AM
. * * Re: Recon mikeG   Fri Aug 12 2005 10:55 PM
. * * Re: Recon margie_visiting   Fri Aug 12 2005 11:15 PM
. * * 96L NONAME   Fri Aug 12 2005 08:52 PM
. * * Re: 96L mikeG   Fri Aug 12 2005 09:06 PM
. * * Re: Eye MapMaster   Fri Aug 12 2005 09:15 PM
. * * Re: Eye yecatsjg   Fri Aug 12 2005 09:38 PM
. * * Re: Eye MapMasterNLI   Fri Aug 12 2005 10:35 PM
. * * Re: Eye mikeG   Fri Aug 12 2005 10:36 PM
. * * Re: Eye Frank P   Sat Aug 13 2005 12:32 AM
. * * Re: Eye Storm Cooper   Fri Aug 12 2005 10:46 PM
. * * Re: Recon damejune2   Fri Aug 12 2005 07:28 PM
. * * Re: Recon Frank P   Fri Aug 12 2005 07:18 PM
. * * Re: Recon mikeG   Fri Aug 12 2005 07:23 PM
. * * Re: Recon Bloodstar   Fri Aug 12 2005 06:55 PM
. * * Re: Recon Ed in Va   Fri Aug 12 2005 06:55 PM
. * * Re: Recon Frank P   Fri Aug 12 2005 06:55 PM
. * * Re: Recon NewWatcher   Fri Aug 12 2005 06:56 PM
. * * Re: Recon Todd   Fri Aug 12 2005 06:54 PM
. * * Re: Irene Moving Northwest and Will Likely Head Out to Sea Old Sailor   Fri Aug 12 2005 05:21 PM
. * * Re: Irene Moving Northwest and Will Likely Head Out to Sea craigm   Fri Aug 12 2005 05:50 PM
. * * Re: Irene Moving Northwest and Will Likely Head Out to Sea MikeCAdministrator   Fri Aug 12 2005 05:53 PM

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