the low from what was td 10 sustained a long burst of deep convection this evening, and now is down to bare bones with a bunch of nearby cloud debris. a couple of the globals move 10L very close to the ne caribbean now. dependent on whether you believe in the coastal storm/trough early next week off the east coast, the threat beyond that may or may not exist. if the gfs and company are right the system will get near 70w and lift straight out. if the others are right it's over in the bahamas in about four days. pick your model. HF 0615z17august
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