Dave, yes I did and was preparing to post a portion of it here. Against my better judgement, of course. Feeding frenzy will probably occur. But here goes.
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 805 PM EDT THU AUG 18 2005 (edited~danielw) CARIBBEAN SEA... COMPUTER MODELS CONTINUE TO SUGGEST THAT A BROAD LOW IN THE SW CARIBBEAN IN THE MIDDLE LEVELS COULD MOVE NORTHWARD AND INTERACT WITH A SURGE IN MOISTURE ALONG 72W... POSSIBLY LEADING TO AN ENHANCED CHANCE OF TROPICAL GENESIS IN THE W CARIBBEAN. UPPER WINDS SHOULD BECOME A LITTLE MORE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AND IT IS AN AREA TO BE WATCHED AT THE LEAST. bold emphasis added~danielw http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATWDAT+shtml/182332.shtml?
**Note-A little over a week ago. The GFS was indicating a low intensity tropical system in the SE GOM on Aug 20th. That was an extreme long range forecast...but based on TPC's comments it Is an area to watch.
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