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First day of the Atlantic Hurricane season, no tropical activity on the horizon in the near term. Mid August is usually when things pick up.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 282 (Idalia) , Major: 282 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 282 (Idalia) Major: 282 (Idalia)
 


News Talkback >> 2005 News Talkbacks

Rabbit
Weather Master


Reged:
Posts: 511
Loc: Central Florida
Re: random morning
      Mon Aug 22 2005 04:02 PM

Quote:


What a BUST August has turned into, IMO there is NOWAY we will
reach the number of named storms that NHC or G.G. has claimed
there will be...This whole season has been nothing but hype. Really ticks me off.




first off, I dont think the people in Cancun, Pensacola, Cuba, or south of Brownsville will call it "nothing but hype"
second, EVERY YEAR we have a quiet period in August--in 1995 we had 19 storms; we had the seventh on August 10th and didnt have another for 11 days; in 1999 we had 12 storms, with the first on June 11 and the SECOND on August 19; 1984 we had 12 storms, with the first NOT EVEN FORMING until August 29!

Also, the peak is not until SEPTEMBER, and the last several years, the majority of activity has been AFTER AUGUST: 1998 we had 9 of the 14 after August, 1999 we had 7 of 12 after August, in 2000 we had 10 after August; 2001 we had 7 of AFTER SEPTEMBER, and if you remember last year we had 8 by now, with 7 more to follow after August. And last year had a long period of nothing mid-Oct to late Nov.

I am holding to my prediction of 16, and i think it is still very likely to reach 21 storms. If we have one more storm by 2pm tomorrow, we will be ahead of EVERY YEAR PRIOR!


now, as for the systems out there: TD11 will likely become a TS later tonight; XTD10/Trop Wave will not develop, upper winds are too strong; and 97L will probably not develop at all until the end of the week if ever--there is still too much dry air in the circulation, and the convection has weakened quite alot since yesterday.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* T.S. Jose Forms in Bay of Campeche, Several Other Waves being Watched MikeCAdministrator Mon Aug 22 2005 04:02 PM
. * * 18z GFS loop of x10 in the gulf is 'comical' Jekyhe904   Mon Aug 22 2005 11:32 PM
. * * Re: 10 NONAME   Mon Aug 22 2005 11:44 PM
. * * The 8 PM EDT Wrap danielwAdministrator   Tue Aug 23 2005 12:03 AM
. * * Re: The 8 PM EDT Wrap MikeG   Tue Aug 23 2005 12:24 AM
. * * Re: The 8 PM EDT Wrap MikeG   Tue Aug 23 2005 12:27 AM
. * * Re: The 8 PM EDT Wrap Ron Basso   Tue Aug 23 2005 01:52 AM
. * * Re: The 8 PM EDT Wrap La Nimo   Tue Aug 23 2005 02:02 AM
. * * Re: The 8 PM EDT Wrap SkeetoBiteAdministrator   Tue Aug 23 2005 02:07 AM
. * * Xtd#10 Jekyhe904   Tue Aug 23 2005 02:41 AM
. * * Re: The 8 PM EDT Wrap danielwAdministrator   Tue Aug 23 2005 02:14 AM
. * * Re: The 8 PM EDT Wrap MikeG   Tue Aug 23 2005 02:16 AM
. * * Re: The 8 PM EDT Wrap Old Sailor   Tue Aug 23 2005 02:11 AM
. * * Re: The 8 PM EDT Wrap SkeetoBiteAdministrator   Tue Aug 23 2005 02:18 AM
. * * Re: The 8 PM EDT Wrap Old Sailor   Tue Aug 23 2005 02:22 AM
. * * Re: The 8 PM EDT Wrap SkeetoBiteAdministrator   Tue Aug 23 2005 02:27 AM
. * * Models danielwAdministrator   Tue Aug 23 2005 02:46 AM
. * * Re: Models Brad in Miami   Tue Aug 23 2005 03:20 AM
. * * Re: Models Random Chaos   Tue Aug 23 2005 03:40 AM
. * * Re: Models Isaroni?   Tue Aug 23 2005 03:26 AM
. * * Re: Models orlando fl   Tue Aug 23 2005 03:54 AM
. * * Re: Models orlando fl   Tue Aug 23 2005 04:10 AM
. * * Re: Models DebbiePSL   Tue Aug 23 2005 04:24 AM
. * * Re: Models DebbiePSL   Tue Aug 23 2005 04:09 AM
. * * Re: Models Clark   Tue Aug 23 2005 04:13 AM
. * * Re: Models danielwAdministrator   Tue Aug 23 2005 04:21 AM
. * * Re: Models Jekyhe904   Tue Aug 23 2005 04:35 AM
. * * status HanKFranK   Tue Aug 23 2005 04:53 AM
. * * Models2 danielwAdministrator   Tue Aug 23 2005 05:02 AM
. * * Re: Models2 Clark   Tue Aug 23 2005 05:07 AM
. * * the system that Stephen King would be proud of.... Bloodstar   Tue Aug 23 2005 08:18 AM
. * * Re: the system that Stephen King would be proud of.... Rich B   Tue Aug 23 2005 09:05 AM
. * * X10 97L danielwAdministrator   Tue Aug 23 2005 10:22 AM
. * * Re: the system that Stephen King would be proud of.... MissBecky   Tue Aug 23 2005 10:19 AM
. * * Re: the system that Stephen King would be proud of.... danielwAdministrator   Tue Aug 23 2005 10:35 AM
. * * Re: the system that Stephen King would be proud of.... Random Chaos   Tue Aug 23 2005 11:03 AM
. * * Re: Models Random Chaos   Tue Aug 23 2005 03:02 AM
. * * Re: The 8 PM EDT Wrap Big Red Machine   Tue Aug 23 2005 02:02 AM
. * * Local Update WXMAN RICHIE   Tue Aug 23 2005 02:15 AM
. * * Re: Several Waves being Watched, Nothing Overly Concerning Random Chaos   Mon Aug 22 2005 11:10 AM
. * * Re: Several Waves being Watched, Nothing Overly Concerning Steveunplugged   Mon Aug 22 2005 11:36 AM
. * * random morning LoisCane   Mon Aug 22 2005 03:06 PM
. * * Re: random morning *Killed -- Sent to Graveyard* BORED!!!   Mon Aug 22 2005 03:32 PM
. * * Re: random morning Rabbit   Mon Aug 22 2005 04:02 PM
. * * Re: random morning *Killed -- Sent to Graveyard* SMOKE   Mon Aug 22 2005 03:42 PM
. * * Re: random morning Beaumont, TX   Mon Aug 22 2005 03:59 PM
. * * Re: random morning ftlaudbob   Mon Aug 22 2005 03:40 PM
. * * Re: random morning ralphfl   Mon Aug 22 2005 04:23 PM
. * * Not so random storms LoisCane   Mon Aug 22 2005 04:29 PM
. * * Re: Not so random storms Steve   Mon Aug 22 2005 04:53 PM
. * * Re: Not so random storms MikeG   Mon Aug 22 2005 04:37 PM
. * * Re: Not so random storms J.C.   Mon Aug 22 2005 04:50 PM
. * * Re: Not so random storms MikeG   Mon Aug 22 2005 04:53 PM
. * * Re: Trop Wave in SE Bahamas Ron Basso   Mon Aug 22 2005 03:59 PM
. * * Re: Trop Wave in SE Bahamas MissBecky   Mon Aug 22 2005 05:00 PM
. * * other off the wall stuff HanKFranK   Mon Aug 22 2005 05:12 PM
. * * Re: Trop Wave in SE Bahamas NewWatcher   Mon Aug 22 2005 05:12 PM
. * * Re: Trop Wave in SE Bahamas Ron Basso   Mon Aug 22 2005 05:27 PM
. * * Re: Trop Wave in SE Bahamas Rabbit   Mon Aug 22 2005 05:36 PM
. * * Re: Trop Wave in SE Bahamas HanKFranK   Mon Aug 22 2005 06:55 PM
. * * Re: Trop Wave in SE Bahamas rmbjoe1954   Mon Aug 22 2005 07:07 PM
. * * Re: Trop Wave in SE Bahamas Bloodstar   Mon Aug 22 2005 06:52 PM
. * * Re: Trop Wave in SE Bahamas Ron Basso   Mon Aug 22 2005 07:18 PM
. * * Re: Trop Wave in SE Bahamas native   Mon Aug 22 2005 07:00 PM
. * * Re: Trop Wave in SE Bahamas emackl   Mon Aug 22 2005 07:22 PM
. * * Re: Trop Wave in SE Bahamas native   Mon Aug 22 2005 07:13 PM
. * * Re: Trop Wave in SE Bahamas Ron Basso   Mon Aug 22 2005 07:23 PM
. * * Re: Trop Wave in SE Bahamas Steve hirschb.   Mon Aug 22 2005 07:22 PM
. * * Re: Trop Wave in SE Bahamas MapMaster   Mon Aug 22 2005 07:21 PM
. * * Re: Trop Wave in SE Bahamas naples   Mon Aug 22 2005 07:18 PM
. * * Re: Trop Wave in SE Bahamas rmbjoe1954   Mon Aug 22 2005 07:18 PM
. * * Re: Trop Wave in SE Bahamas Rabbit   Mon Aug 22 2005 07:37 PM
. * * Re: Trop Wave in SE Bahamas Keith234   Mon Aug 22 2005 07:40 PM
. * * Re: Trop Wave in SE Bahamas scottsvb   Mon Aug 22 2005 07:54 PM
. * * Re: Trop Wave in SE Bahamas ralphfl   Mon Aug 22 2005 08:16 PM
. * * Re: Trop Wave in SE Bahamas Hawkeyewx   Mon Aug 22 2005 08:26 PM
. * * Re: Trop Wave in SE Bahamas Clark   Mon Aug 22 2005 08:47 PM
. * * Recon reports Clark   Mon Aug 22 2005 09:27 PM
. * * Re: Recon reports scottsvb   Mon Aug 22 2005 09:32 PM
. * * Re: Recon reports Clark   Mon Aug 22 2005 09:37 PM
. * * 10 back on NRL Bloodstar   Mon Aug 22 2005 09:39 PM
. * * Re: 10 back on NRL Rich B   Mon Aug 22 2005 10:02 PM
. * * Re: 10 back on NRL NONAME   Mon Aug 22 2005 10:22 PM
. * * IRONIC or what... Big Kahuna   Mon Aug 22 2005 10:49 PM
. * * Re: IRONIC or what... Lysis   Mon Aug 22 2005 10:51 PM
. * * Re: IRONIC or what... danielwAdministrator   Mon Aug 22 2005 11:28 PM
. * * Re: IRONIC or what... Keith234   Tue Aug 23 2005 01:09 AM
. * * Keeps Going and Going danielwAdministrator   Tue Aug 23 2005 01:50 AM
. * * TS Jose, 50mph, 1002mb Rabbit   Mon Aug 22 2005 10:38 PM
. * * Re: TS Jose, 50mph, 1002mb NONAME   Mon Aug 22 2005 10:44 PM
. * * Re: TS Jose, 50mph, 1002mb Rich B   Mon Aug 22 2005 10:49 PM
. * * Re: TS Jose, 50mph, 1002mb scottsvb   Mon Aug 22 2005 10:48 PM
. * * Re: Trop Wave in SE Bahamas native   Mon Aug 22 2005 08:37 PM
. * * Re: Trop Wave in SE Bahamas native   Mon Aug 22 2005 08:15 PM
. * * Re: Trop Wave in SE Bahamas Rabbit   Mon Aug 22 2005 08:18 PM
. * * Re: Trop Wave in SE Bahamas native   Mon Aug 22 2005 08:25 PM
. * * Re: Trop Wave in SE Bahamas Rabbit   Mon Aug 22 2005 07:47 PM
. * * dynamic models HanKFranK   Mon Aug 22 2005 07:24 PM
. * * Re: dynamic models Ron Basso   Mon Aug 22 2005 07:31 PM
. * * complaints? HanKFranK   Mon Aug 22 2005 07:13 PM
. * * Re: Trop Wave in SE Bahamas NewWatcher   Mon Aug 22 2005 05:33 PM
. * * Hey Ron LoisCane   Mon Aug 22 2005 04:32 PM
. * * Re: Hey Ron NewWatcher   Mon Aug 22 2005 04:37 PM
. * * Re: Hey Ron emackl   Mon Aug 22 2005 04:52 PM
. * * Re: random morning NewWatcheratwork   Mon Aug 22 2005 03:38 PM
. * * Re: random morning native   Mon Aug 22 2005 03:58 PM
. * * Re: Several Waves being Watched, Nothing Overly Concerning Random Chaos   Mon Aug 22 2005 12:19 PM
. * * Re: Several Waves being Watched, Nothing Overly Concerning J.C.   Mon Aug 22 2005 12:50 PM
. * * Re: Several Waves being Watched, Nothing Overly Concerning D3m3NT3DVoRT3X   Mon Aug 22 2005 01:39 PM
. * * Re: Several Waves being Watched, Nothing Overly Concerning Ed in Va   Mon Aug 22 2005 01:50 PM
. * * Re: Several Waves being Watched, Nothing Overly Concerning HanKFranK   Mon Aug 22 2005 02:13 PM
. * * Re: Several Waves being Watched, Nothing Overly Concerning Ed in Va   Mon Aug 22 2005 02:35 PM
. * * Re: Several Waves being Watched, Nothing Overly Concerning Frank P   Mon Aug 22 2005 02:45 PM
. * * Re: Several Waves being Watched, Nothing Overly Concerning ralphfl   Mon Aug 22 2005 02:50 PM
. * * Re: Several Waves being Watched, Nothing Overly Concerning Wxwatcher2   Mon Aug 22 2005 02:54 PM
. * * Re: Several Waves being Watched, Nothing Overly Concerning Rabbit   Mon Aug 22 2005 03:02 PM
. * * here goes.. HanKFranK   Mon Aug 22 2005 02:53 PM
. * * Re: here goes.. Clark   Mon Aug 22 2005 03:21 PM
. * * Re: here goes.. Frank P   Mon Aug 22 2005 03:02 PM
. * * Re: Several Waves being Watched, Nothing Overly Concerning naples   Mon Aug 22 2005 02:50 PM
. * * Re: Several Waves being Watched, Nothing Overly Concerning emackl   Mon Aug 22 2005 02:27 PM
. * * Re: Several Waves being Watched, Nothing Overly Concerning Beaumont, TX   Mon Aug 22 2005 02:25 PM

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