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News Talkback >> 2005 News Talkbacks

Clark
Meteorologist

Reged:
Posts: 1710

Re: Trop Wave in SE Bahamas
Mon Aug 22 2005 08:47 PM

TD 11 is still a 30kt depression, but recon isn't out there yet. Kinda curious as to why the package came out to early if recon is supposed to be there for a fix by 5p as per the report (and was close at 4p), but oh well. Do expect a special advisory to bump this up to a TS -- Jose -- within the next hour or so. And no, unlike the initial 5p discussion said, this won't be storm #11 for the season...just #10. They'll correct that, too.

Low center might be trying to form on the NE end of the disturbed area in the Bahamas, due north of Hispaniola and due east of Homestead, FL, but it's not closed yet and winds are light in that area. It's got the potential for development, but it's not going anywhere fast over the next few days, giving us plenty of time to watch it. General track towards S. Florida over the next few days is likely; beyond that, too early to tell. Edit: check water vapor...definite upper-low is what is being reflected there. Gotta work it's way down to the surface -- not out of the question -- but it's going to impede anything else from getting going in its immediate vicinity in the near-term.

If nothing else, 97L has consolidated somewhat. The convection on the southern end is gone and new convection appears to be trying to fire near the low-level center near 17N/34W. Will have to watch the trends with that overnight, but if it holds together, it'll probably become a depression sometime tomorrow or Wednesday. Area just along the coast has impressive convection but not much organization yet...still one to watch over the coming days.

More later if I get a chance, though with TD 11/Jose about ready to move inland, there's not a whole lot to update...yet.

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
T.S. Jose Forms in Bay of Campeche, Several Other Waves being Watched	MikeC	Mon Aug 22 2005 08:47 PM
18z GFS loop of x10 in the gulf is 'comical'	Jekyhe904	Mon Aug 22 2005 11:32 PM
Re: 10	NONAME	Mon Aug 22 2005 11:44 PM
The 8 PM EDT Wrap	danielw	Tue Aug 23 2005 12:03 AM
Re: The 8 PM EDT Wrap	MikeG	Tue Aug 23 2005 12:24 AM
Re: The 8 PM EDT Wrap	MikeG	Tue Aug 23 2005 12:27 AM
Re: The 8 PM EDT Wrap	Ron Basso	Tue Aug 23 2005 01:52 AM
Re: The 8 PM EDT Wrap	La Nimo	Tue Aug 23 2005 02:02 AM
Re: The 8 PM EDT Wrap	SkeetoBite	Tue Aug 23 2005 02:07 AM
Xtd#10	Jekyhe904	Tue Aug 23 2005 02:41 AM
Re: The 8 PM EDT Wrap	danielw	Tue Aug 23 2005 02:14 AM
Re: The 8 PM EDT Wrap	MikeG	Tue Aug 23 2005 02:16 AM
Re: The 8 PM EDT Wrap	Old Sailor	Tue Aug 23 2005 02:11 AM
Re: The 8 PM EDT Wrap	SkeetoBite	Tue Aug 23 2005 02:18 AM
Re: The 8 PM EDT Wrap	Old Sailor	Tue Aug 23 2005 02:22 AM
Re: The 8 PM EDT Wrap	SkeetoBite	Tue Aug 23 2005 02:27 AM
Models	danielw	Tue Aug 23 2005 02:46 AM
Re: Models	Brad in Miami	Tue Aug 23 2005 03:20 AM
Re: Models	Random Chaos	Tue Aug 23 2005 03:40 AM
Re: Models	Isaroni?	Tue Aug 23 2005 03:26 AM
Re: Models	orlando fl	Tue Aug 23 2005 03:54 AM
Re: Models	orlando fl	Tue Aug 23 2005 04:10 AM
Re: Models	DebbiePSL	Tue Aug 23 2005 04:24 AM
Re: Models	DebbiePSL	Tue Aug 23 2005 04:09 AM
Re: Models	Clark	Tue Aug 23 2005 04:13 AM
Re: Models	danielw	Tue Aug 23 2005 04:21 AM
Re: Models	Jekyhe904	Tue Aug 23 2005 04:35 AM
status	HanKFranK	Tue Aug 23 2005 04:53 AM
Models2	danielw	Tue Aug 23 2005 05:02 AM
Re: Models2	Clark	Tue Aug 23 2005 05:07 AM
the system that Stephen King would be proud of....	Bloodstar	Tue Aug 23 2005 08:18 AM
Re: the system that Stephen King would be proud of....	Rich B	Tue Aug 23 2005 09:05 AM
X10 97L	danielw	Tue Aug 23 2005 10:22 AM
Re: the system that Stephen King would be proud of....	MissBecky	Tue Aug 23 2005 10:19 AM
Re: the system that Stephen King would be proud of....	danielw	Tue Aug 23 2005 10:35 AM
Re: the system that Stephen King would be proud of....	Random Chaos	Tue Aug 23 2005 11:03 AM
Re: Models	Random Chaos	Tue Aug 23 2005 03:02 AM
Re: The 8 PM EDT Wrap	Big Red Machine	Tue Aug 23 2005 02:02 AM
Local Update	WXMAN RICHIE	Tue Aug 23 2005 02:15 AM
Re: Several Waves being Watched, Nothing Overly Concerning	Random Chaos	Mon Aug 22 2005 11:10 AM
Re: Several Waves being Watched, Nothing Overly Concerning	Steveunplugged	Mon Aug 22 2005 11:36 AM
random morning	LoisCane	Mon Aug 22 2005 03:06 PM
Re: random morning Killed -- Sent to Graveyard	BORED!!!	Mon Aug 22 2005 03:32 PM
Re: random morning	Rabbit	Mon Aug 22 2005 04:02 PM
Re: random morning Killed -- Sent to Graveyard	SMOKE	Mon Aug 22 2005 03:42 PM
Re: random morning	Beaumont, TX	Mon Aug 22 2005 03:59 PM
Re: random morning	ftlaudbob	Mon Aug 22 2005 03:40 PM
Re: random morning	ralphfl	Mon Aug 22 2005 04:23 PM
Not so random storms	LoisCane	Mon Aug 22 2005 04:29 PM
Re: Not so random storms	Steve	Mon Aug 22 2005 04:53 PM
Re: Not so random storms	MikeG	Mon Aug 22 2005 04:37 PM
Re: Not so random storms	J.C.	Mon Aug 22 2005 04:50 PM
Re: Not so random storms	MikeG	Mon Aug 22 2005 04:53 PM
Re: Trop Wave in SE Bahamas	Ron Basso	Mon Aug 22 2005 03:59 PM
Re: Trop Wave in SE Bahamas	MissBecky	Mon Aug 22 2005 05:00 PM
other off the wall stuff	HanKFranK	Mon Aug 22 2005 05:12 PM
Re: Trop Wave in SE Bahamas	NewWatcher	Mon Aug 22 2005 05:12 PM
Re: Trop Wave in SE Bahamas	Ron Basso	Mon Aug 22 2005 05:27 PM
Re: Trop Wave in SE Bahamas	Rabbit	Mon Aug 22 2005 05:36 PM
Re: Trop Wave in SE Bahamas	HanKFranK	Mon Aug 22 2005 06:55 PM
Re: Trop Wave in SE Bahamas	rmbjoe1954	Mon Aug 22 2005 07:07 PM
Re: Trop Wave in SE Bahamas	Bloodstar	Mon Aug 22 2005 06:52 PM
Re: Trop Wave in SE Bahamas	Ron Basso	Mon Aug 22 2005 07:18 PM
Re: Trop Wave in SE Bahamas	native	Mon Aug 22 2005 07:00 PM
Re: Trop Wave in SE Bahamas	emackl	Mon Aug 22 2005 07:22 PM
Re: Trop Wave in SE Bahamas	native	Mon Aug 22 2005 07:13 PM
Re: Trop Wave in SE Bahamas	Ron Basso	Mon Aug 22 2005 07:23 PM
Re: Trop Wave in SE Bahamas	Steve hirschb.	Mon Aug 22 2005 07:22 PM
Re: Trop Wave in SE Bahamas	MapMaster	Mon Aug 22 2005 07:21 PM
Re: Trop Wave in SE Bahamas	naples	Mon Aug 22 2005 07:18 PM
Re: Trop Wave in SE Bahamas	rmbjoe1954	Mon Aug 22 2005 07:18 PM
Re: Trop Wave in SE Bahamas	Rabbit	Mon Aug 22 2005 07:37 PM
Re: Trop Wave in SE Bahamas	Keith234	Mon Aug 22 2005 07:40 PM
Re: Trop Wave in SE Bahamas	scottsvb	Mon Aug 22 2005 07:54 PM
Re: Trop Wave in SE Bahamas	ralphfl	Mon Aug 22 2005 08:16 PM
Re: Trop Wave in SE Bahamas	Hawkeyewx	Mon Aug 22 2005 08:26 PM
Re: Trop Wave in SE Bahamas	Clark	Mon Aug 22 2005 08:47 PM
Recon reports	Clark	Mon Aug 22 2005 09:27 PM
Re: Recon reports	scottsvb	Mon Aug 22 2005 09:32 PM
Re: Recon reports	Clark	Mon Aug 22 2005 09:37 PM
10 back on NRL	Bloodstar	Mon Aug 22 2005 09:39 PM
Re: 10 back on NRL	Rich B	Mon Aug 22 2005 10:02 PM
Re: 10 back on NRL	NONAME	Mon Aug 22 2005 10:22 PM
IRONIC or what...	Big Kahuna	Mon Aug 22 2005 10:49 PM
Re: IRONIC or what...	Lysis	Mon Aug 22 2005 10:51 PM
Re: IRONIC or what...	danielw	Mon Aug 22 2005 11:28 PM
Re: IRONIC or what...	Keith234	Tue Aug 23 2005 01:09 AM
Keeps Going and Going	danielw	Tue Aug 23 2005 01:50 AM
TS Jose, 50mph, 1002mb	Rabbit	Mon Aug 22 2005 10:38 PM
Re: TS Jose, 50mph, 1002mb	NONAME	Mon Aug 22 2005 10:44 PM
Re: TS Jose, 50mph, 1002mb	Rich B	Mon Aug 22 2005 10:49 PM
Re: TS Jose, 50mph, 1002mb	scottsvb	Mon Aug 22 2005 10:48 PM
Re: Trop Wave in SE Bahamas	native	Mon Aug 22 2005 08:37 PM
Re: Trop Wave in SE Bahamas	native	Mon Aug 22 2005 08:15 PM
Re: Trop Wave in SE Bahamas	Rabbit	Mon Aug 22 2005 08:18 PM
Re: Trop Wave in SE Bahamas	native	Mon Aug 22 2005 08:25 PM
Re: Trop Wave in SE Bahamas	Rabbit	Mon Aug 22 2005 07:47 PM
dynamic models	HanKFranK	Mon Aug 22 2005 07:24 PM
Re: dynamic models	Ron Basso	Mon Aug 22 2005 07:31 PM
complaints?	HanKFranK	Mon Aug 22 2005 07:13 PM
Re: Trop Wave in SE Bahamas	NewWatcher	Mon Aug 22 2005 05:33 PM
Hey Ron	LoisCane	Mon Aug 22 2005 04:32 PM
Re: Hey Ron	NewWatcher	Mon Aug 22 2005 04:37 PM
Re: Hey Ron	emackl	Mon Aug 22 2005 04:52 PM
Re: random morning	NewWatcheratwork	Mon Aug 22 2005 03:38 PM
Re: random morning	native	Mon Aug 22 2005 03:58 PM
Re: Several Waves being Watched, Nothing Overly Concerning	Random Chaos	Mon Aug 22 2005 12:19 PM
Re: Several Waves being Watched, Nothing Overly Concerning	J.C.	Mon Aug 22 2005 12:50 PM
Re: Several Waves being Watched, Nothing Overly Concerning	D3m3NT3DVoRT3X	Mon Aug 22 2005 01:39 PM
Re: Several Waves being Watched, Nothing Overly Concerning	Ed in Va	Mon Aug 22 2005 01:50 PM
Re: Several Waves being Watched, Nothing Overly Concerning	HanKFranK	Mon Aug 22 2005 02:13 PM
Re: Several Waves being Watched, Nothing Overly Concerning	Ed in Va	Mon Aug 22 2005 02:35 PM
Re: Several Waves being Watched, Nothing Overly Concerning	Frank P	Mon Aug 22 2005 02:45 PM
Re: Several Waves being Watched, Nothing Overly Concerning	ralphfl	Mon Aug 22 2005 02:50 PM
Re: Several Waves being Watched, Nothing Overly Concerning	Wxwatcher2	Mon Aug 22 2005 02:54 PM
Re: Several Waves being Watched, Nothing Overly Concerning	Rabbit	Mon Aug 22 2005 03:02 PM
here goes..	HanKFranK	Mon Aug 22 2005 02:53 PM
Re: here goes..	Clark	Mon Aug 22 2005 03:21 PM
Re: here goes..	Frank P	Mon Aug 22 2005 03:02 PM
Re: Several Waves being Watched, Nothing Overly Concerning	naples	Mon Aug 22 2005 02:50 PM
Re: Several Waves being Watched, Nothing Overly Concerning	emackl	Mon Aug 22 2005 02:27 PM
Re: Several Waves being Watched, Nothing Overly Concerning	Beaumont, TX	Mon Aug 22 2005 02:25 PM

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