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News Talkback >> 2005 News Talkbacks

Random Chaos
Weather Analyst

Reged:
Posts: 1024
Loc: Maryland

Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10
Tue Aug 23 2005 07:09 AM

[moved from old thread]

Ok, NHC is very late in getting their 5am TWO up...given that it is almost 7am now...wonder what is going on? TWD from about 4.5 hours ago says there is a new wave off Africa. Yet another one to watch! Plus a wave over central America and another out in the Carribean...in addition to X-TD10 and 97L.

97L - Looking at IR:
97L Looks VERY good. It looks like it has consolidated down to a central spin, and appears to have a comma-shape with good circulation and banding to it. It has also shrunk in size, no longer the huge blob that it was, it is now a much smaller more defined system.

There hasn't been a Dvorak reading on it in about 5 hours, but what the satellite animation shows is it getting its act together in just the past 6 hours. I'd expect a decent classification soon. This might be why NHC hasn't gotten their TWO up - perhaps they are waiting on information about 97L?

Models are still inconistant on the strength and track of 97L, but they should become better once we see a TD out there. Whether it turns to sea or keeps westward is still unknown, but the models seem to think a turn to sea is likely.

I'm going to take a wild guess and say we might have a cyclone out there today just based on the IR sat.

----------

X-TD10:
Again, the IR presentation is very good this morning, though I'm not seeing rotation to the signature. Again the models are highly divergent on what exactly it will do, with some strengthening it and some ignoring it. Again, once (if) it makes a TD it should get better model guidance. This is still a wait-and-see system, though I expect we'll have a cyclone within a few days.

---------

Any met: why have the GFDL models for 97L on both PSU and FSU been all missing images? NOAA has to be running the models or they wouldn't be listed, but why isn't there any data on those websites?

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10	MikeC	Tue Aug 23 2005 07:09 AM
Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10	Beaumont, TX	Tue Aug 23 2005 02:29 PM
Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10	Rabbit	Tue Aug 23 2005 02:35 PM
Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10	LoisCane	Tue Aug 23 2005 06:18 AM
Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10	Ron Basso	Tue Aug 23 2005 06:38 AM
Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10	Richie at work	Tue Aug 23 2005 07:04 AM
Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10	MissBecky	Tue Aug 23 2005 07:15 AM
Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10	Random Chaos	Tue Aug 23 2005 07:19 AM
Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10	Random Chaos	Tue Aug 23 2005 07:26 AM
Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10	J.C.	Tue Aug 23 2005 08:10 AM
Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10	emackl	Tue Aug 23 2005 08:15 AM
Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10	NewWatcher	Tue Aug 23 2005 08:19 AM
Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10	emackl	Tue Aug 23 2005 08:37 AM
Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10	Random Chaos	Tue Aug 23 2005 08:44 AM
Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10	Ed in Va	Tue Aug 23 2005 08:36 AM
Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10	NewWatcher	Tue Aug 23 2005 08:42 AM
Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10	NewWatcher	Tue Aug 23 2005 08:43 AM
Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10	emackl	Tue Aug 23 2005 08:38 AM
Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10	Rich B	Tue Aug 23 2005 08:48 AM
Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10	Ron Basso	Tue Aug 23 2005 08:55 AM
Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10	NONAME	Tue Aug 23 2005 09:08 AM
Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10	Ron Basso	Tue Aug 23 2005 09:15 AM
visibles	HanKFranK	Tue Aug 23 2005 09:43 AM
What the H@#%	Beach	Tue Aug 23 2005 10:03 AM
Re: What the H@#%	NONAME	Tue Aug 23 2005 10:08 AM
Re: What the H@#%	NewWatcher	Tue Aug 23 2005 10:30 AM
Circulation	Beach	Tue Aug 23 2005 10:22 AM
Re: Circulation	ftlaudbob	Tue Aug 23 2005 10:29 AM
Re: Circulation	Frank P	Tue Aug 23 2005 10:34 AM
Re: Circulation	NewWatcher	Tue Aug 23 2005 10:50 AM
Re: Circulation	NONAME	Tue Aug 23 2005 10:53 AM
Re: Circulation	Bloodstar	Tue Aug 23 2005 11:02 AM
Re: Circulation	Clark	Tue Aug 23 2005 11:21 AM
Re: Circulation	Frank P	Tue Aug 23 2005 10:52 AM
Re: Circulation	NewWatcher	Tue Aug 23 2005 10:56 AM
Re: Circulation	Beach	Tue Aug 23 2005 11:08 AM
Re: Circulation	Rabbit	Tue Aug 23 2005 11:22 AM
Re: Circulation	NewWatcher	Tue Aug 23 2005 11:27 AM
Re: Circulation	Jekyhe904	Tue Aug 23 2005 11:33 AM
Re: Circulation	NewWatcher	Tue Aug 23 2005 11:15 AM
Re: Circulation	Old Sailor	Tue Aug 23 2005 11:20 AM
Re: Circulation	NONAME	Tue Aug 23 2005 11:15 AM
Re: Circulation	MikeC	Tue Aug 23 2005 11:42 AM
Re: Circulation	SkeetoBite	Tue Aug 23 2005 11:57 AM
Re: QuikSCAT	Bloodstar	Tue Aug 23 2005 11:51 AM
Re: Circulation	NONAME	Tue Aug 23 2005 11:49 AM
Re: Circulation	SkeetoBite	Tue Aug 23 2005 12:01 PM
Re: Circulation	MikeC	Tue Aug 23 2005 12:14 PM
Re: Circulation	Thunderbird12	Tue Aug 23 2005 12:32 PM
Re: Circulation	Steve H1	Tue Aug 23 2005 12:31 PM
Re: Circulation	NONAME	Tue Aug 23 2005 12:26 PM
Re: Circulation	HURRICANELONNY	Tue Aug 23 2005 12:34 PM
Re: Circulation	pcola	Tue Aug 23 2005 12:46 PM
Re: Circulation	Jamiewx	Tue Aug 23 2005 12:38 PM
Re: Circulation	Big Red Machine	Tue Aug 23 2005 12:45 PM
Re: Circulation	Ron Basso	Tue Aug 23 2005 12:52 PM
Re: Circulation	Hootowl	Tue Aug 23 2005 01:32 PM
Re: Circulation	NONAME	Tue Aug 23 2005 01:35 PM
Re: Circulation	MikeC	Tue Aug 23 2005 01:40 PM
Re: Circulation	VolusiaMike	Tue Aug 23 2005 01:43 PM
Re: Circulation	Clark	Tue Aug 23 2005 02:08 PM
Different area of low pressure...	Clark	Tue Aug 23 2005 02:39 PM
Re: Different area of low pressure...	scottsvb	Tue Aug 23 2005 02:47 PM
agree with scott	LoisCane	Tue Aug 23 2005 03:18 PM
Re: Different area of low pressure...	Rabbit	Tue Aug 23 2005 02:52 PM
Re: Different area of low pressure...	scottsvb	Tue Aug 23 2005 03:08 PM
Re: Different area of low pressure...	Ron Basso	Tue Aug 23 2005 02:45 PM
TD 12	Big Red Machine	Tue Aug 23 2005 02:41 PM
Re: TD 12	Rabbit	Tue Aug 23 2005 02:46 PM
Re: Different area of low pressure...	troy2	Tue Aug 23 2005 02:45 PM
Re: TD 12	MikeC	Tue Aug 23 2005 02:44 PM
Re: Circulation	Ron Basso	Tue Aug 23 2005 02:13 PM
Re: Circulation	Floridacane	Tue Aug 23 2005 02:21 PM
Re: Circulation	Thunderbird12	Tue Aug 23 2005 01:46 PM
Re: Circulation Killed -- Sent to Graveyard	hurrark	Tue Aug 23 2005 01:48 PM
Re: Circulation	VolusiaMike	Tue Aug 23 2005 01:56 PM
Re: Circulation	MikeC	Tue Aug 23 2005 01:56 PM
Re: Circulation	damejune2	Tue Aug 23 2005 01:43 PM
Re: Circulation	NewWatcher	Tue Aug 23 2005 01:34 PM
Re: Circulation	Rabbit	Tue Aug 23 2005 01:54 PM
Re: Circulation	NONAME	Tue Aug 23 2005 01:56 PM
Re: Circulation	Wanna-Be-Storm-Chaser	Tue Aug 23 2005 01:02 PM
Re: Circulation	Ed in Va	Tue Aug 23 2005 01:04 PM
JB	Beach	Tue Aug 23 2005 01:09 PM
Re: JB	NewWatcher	Tue Aug 23 2005 01:12 PM
Re: JB	scottsvb	Tue Aug 23 2005 01:44 PM
Re: Circulation	Big Red Machine	Tue Aug 23 2005 12:59 PM
Re: Circulation	NewWatcher	Tue Aug 23 2005 12:51 PM
Re: Circulation	Steve	Tue Aug 23 2005 12:33 PM
99L	Jamiewx	Tue Aug 23 2005 10:49 AM
Re: Circulation	Frank P	Tue Aug 23 2005 10:29 AM
Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10	emackl	Tue Aug 23 2005 09:32 AM
Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10	NONAME	Tue Aug 23 2005 09:39 AM
Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10	Rich B	Tue Aug 23 2005 09:04 AM
Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10	NewWatcher	Tue Aug 23 2005 08:50 AM
Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10	Beach	Tue Aug 23 2005 07:36 AM
Disreguard the previous links.	Beach	Tue Aug 23 2005 08:09 AM
Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10	NewWatcher	Tue Aug 23 2005 07:31 AM
Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10	Random Chaos	Tue Aug 23 2005 07:09 AM
Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10	Random Chaos	Tue Aug 23 2005 07:14 AM
Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10	pedro	Tue Aug 23 2005 06:15 AM

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