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First day of the Atlantic Hurricane season, no tropical activity on the horizon in the near term. Mid August is usually when things pick up.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 282 (Idalia) , Major: 282 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 282 (Idalia) Major: 282 (Idalia)
 


News Talkback >> 2005 News Talkbacks

Steve H1
Storm Tracker


Reged:
Posts: 309
Loc: Palm Bay FL USA
Re: Circulation
      Tue Aug 23 2005 04:31 PM

Really don't care what they call it, its the NHC's call. What I am Concerned with is that most of the models don't develop this for another 48 hours, and I believe we will have Katrina by then. I am basing this on the visible satellite pix, relaxation of the shear, and current organizational trands. LCC seems to be coming together now and we should have a depression by 11 pm. This raises a few questions regarding its path and strength. I believe it will strengthen a bit faster than the models have been depicting, and that in itself may only play a small role in its track, however its general movement has been to the WNW/NW, and the right outliers (NAM and GFDL) may have a better idea (hate to agree with the LBAR) than the previous guidance, if only by shear luck! But I see this thing making a Northwesterly track for a day, then bending back to the WNW or west Thursday and Friday, ultimately ending up in the GOM. Its strength and WHERE it crosses is of interest for those in south and maybe even south central Florida in the near term. I'm glad recon is going out now to get a good read on this one. I don't believe the models have a good handle on it yet. They really couldn't, since no center is there to initialize on. Watching this one like a hawk. Cheers!! PS: This is not a official forecast; NHC does that.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 MikeCAdministrator Tue Aug 23 2005 04:31 PM
. * * Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 Beaumont, TX   Tue Aug 23 2005 06:29 PM
. * * Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 Rabbit   Tue Aug 23 2005 06:35 PM
. * * Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 LoisCane   Tue Aug 23 2005 10:18 AM
. * * Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 Ron Basso   Tue Aug 23 2005 10:38 AM
. * * Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 Richie at work   Tue Aug 23 2005 11:04 AM
. * * Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 MissBecky   Tue Aug 23 2005 11:15 AM
. * * Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 Random Chaos   Tue Aug 23 2005 11:19 AM
. * * Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 Random Chaos   Tue Aug 23 2005 11:26 AM
. * * Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 J.C.   Tue Aug 23 2005 12:10 PM
. * * Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 emackl   Tue Aug 23 2005 12:15 PM
. * * Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 NewWatcher   Tue Aug 23 2005 12:19 PM
. * * Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 emackl   Tue Aug 23 2005 12:37 PM
. * * Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 Random Chaos   Tue Aug 23 2005 12:44 PM
. * * Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 Ed in Va   Tue Aug 23 2005 12:36 PM
. * * Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 NewWatcher   Tue Aug 23 2005 12:42 PM
. * * Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 NewWatcher   Tue Aug 23 2005 12:43 PM
. * * Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 emackl   Tue Aug 23 2005 12:38 PM
. * * Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 Rich B   Tue Aug 23 2005 12:48 PM
. * * Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 Ron Basso   Tue Aug 23 2005 12:55 PM
. * * Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 NONAME   Tue Aug 23 2005 01:08 PM
. * * Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 Ron Basso   Tue Aug 23 2005 01:15 PM
. * * visibles HanKFranK   Tue Aug 23 2005 01:43 PM
. * * What the H@#% Beach   Tue Aug 23 2005 02:03 PM
. * * Re: What the H@#% NONAME   Tue Aug 23 2005 02:08 PM
. * * Re: What the H@#% NewWatcher   Tue Aug 23 2005 02:30 PM
. * * Circulation Beach   Tue Aug 23 2005 02:22 PM
. * * Re: Circulation ftlaudbob   Tue Aug 23 2005 02:29 PM
. * * Re: Circulation Frank P   Tue Aug 23 2005 02:34 PM
. * * Re: Circulation NewWatcher   Tue Aug 23 2005 02:50 PM
. * * Re: Circulation NONAME   Tue Aug 23 2005 02:53 PM
. * * Re: Circulation Bloodstar   Tue Aug 23 2005 03:02 PM
. * * Re: Circulation Clark   Tue Aug 23 2005 03:21 PM
. * * Re: Circulation Frank P   Tue Aug 23 2005 02:52 PM
. * * Re: Circulation NewWatcher   Tue Aug 23 2005 02:56 PM
. * * Re: Circulation Beach   Tue Aug 23 2005 03:08 PM
. * * Re: Circulation Rabbit   Tue Aug 23 2005 03:22 PM
. * * Re: Circulation NewWatcher   Tue Aug 23 2005 03:27 PM
. * * Re: Circulation Jekyhe904   Tue Aug 23 2005 03:33 PM
. * * Re: Circulation NewWatcher   Tue Aug 23 2005 03:15 PM
. * * Re: Circulation Old Sailor   Tue Aug 23 2005 03:20 PM
. * * Re: Circulation NONAME   Tue Aug 23 2005 03:15 PM
. * * Re: Circulation MikeCAdministrator   Tue Aug 23 2005 03:42 PM
. * * Re: Circulation SkeetoBiteAdministrator   Tue Aug 23 2005 03:57 PM
. * * Re: QuikSCAT Bloodstar   Tue Aug 23 2005 03:51 PM
. * * Re: Circulation NONAME   Tue Aug 23 2005 03:49 PM
. * * Re: Circulation SkeetoBiteAdministrator   Tue Aug 23 2005 04:01 PM
. * * Re: Circulation MikeCAdministrator   Tue Aug 23 2005 04:14 PM
. * * Re: Circulation Thunderbird12   Tue Aug 23 2005 04:32 PM
. * * Re: Circulation Steve H1   Tue Aug 23 2005 04:31 PM
. * * Re: Circulation NONAME   Tue Aug 23 2005 04:26 PM
. * * Re: Circulation HURRICANELONNY   Tue Aug 23 2005 04:34 PM
. * * Re: Circulation pcola   Tue Aug 23 2005 04:46 PM
. * * Re: Circulation Jamiewx   Tue Aug 23 2005 04:38 PM
. * * Re: Circulation Big Red Machine   Tue Aug 23 2005 04:45 PM
. * * Re: Circulation Ron Basso   Tue Aug 23 2005 04:52 PM
. * * Re: Circulation Hootowl   Tue Aug 23 2005 05:32 PM
. * * Re: Circulation NONAME   Tue Aug 23 2005 05:35 PM
. * * Re: Circulation MikeCAdministrator   Tue Aug 23 2005 05:40 PM
. * * Re: Circulation VolusiaMike   Tue Aug 23 2005 05:43 PM
. * * Re: Circulation Clark   Tue Aug 23 2005 06:08 PM
. * * Different area of low pressure... Clark   Tue Aug 23 2005 06:39 PM
. * * Re: Different area of low pressure... scottsvb   Tue Aug 23 2005 06:47 PM
. * * agree with scott LoisCane   Tue Aug 23 2005 07:18 PM
. * * Re: Different area of low pressure... Rabbit   Tue Aug 23 2005 06:52 PM
. * * Re: Different area of low pressure... scottsvb   Tue Aug 23 2005 07:08 PM
. * * Re: Different area of low pressure... Ron Basso   Tue Aug 23 2005 06:45 PM
. * * TD 12 Big Red Machine   Tue Aug 23 2005 06:41 PM
. * * Re: TD 12 Rabbit   Tue Aug 23 2005 06:46 PM
. * * Re: Different area of low pressure... troy2   Tue Aug 23 2005 06:45 PM
. * * Re: TD 12 MikeCAdministrator   Tue Aug 23 2005 06:44 PM
. * * Re: Circulation Ron Basso   Tue Aug 23 2005 06:13 PM
. * * Re: Circulation Floridacane   Tue Aug 23 2005 06:21 PM
. * * Re: Circulation Thunderbird12   Tue Aug 23 2005 05:46 PM
. * * Re: Circulation *Killed -- Sent to Graveyard* hurrark   Tue Aug 23 2005 05:48 PM
. * * Re: Circulation VolusiaMike   Tue Aug 23 2005 05:56 PM
. * * Re: Circulation MikeCAdministrator   Tue Aug 23 2005 05:56 PM
. * * Re: Circulation damejune2   Tue Aug 23 2005 05:43 PM
. * * Re: Circulation NewWatcher   Tue Aug 23 2005 05:34 PM
. * * Re: Circulation Rabbit   Tue Aug 23 2005 05:54 PM
. * * Re: Circulation NONAME   Tue Aug 23 2005 05:56 PM
. * * Re: Circulation Wanna-Be-Storm-Chaser   Tue Aug 23 2005 05:02 PM
. * * Re: Circulation Ed in Va   Tue Aug 23 2005 05:04 PM
. * * JB Beach   Tue Aug 23 2005 05:09 PM
. * * Re: JB NewWatcher   Tue Aug 23 2005 05:12 PM
. * * Re: JB scottsvb   Tue Aug 23 2005 05:44 PM
. * * Re: Circulation Big Red Machine   Tue Aug 23 2005 04:59 PM
. * * Re: Circulation NewWatcher   Tue Aug 23 2005 04:51 PM
. * * Re: Circulation Steve   Tue Aug 23 2005 04:33 PM
. * * 99L Jamiewx   Tue Aug 23 2005 02:49 PM
. * * Re: Circulation Frank P   Tue Aug 23 2005 02:29 PM
. * * Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 emackl   Tue Aug 23 2005 01:32 PM
. * * Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 NONAME   Tue Aug 23 2005 01:39 PM
. * * Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 Rich B   Tue Aug 23 2005 01:04 PM
. * * Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 NewWatcher   Tue Aug 23 2005 12:50 PM
. * * Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 Beach   Tue Aug 23 2005 11:36 AM
. * * Disreguard the previous links. Beach   Tue Aug 23 2005 12:09 PM
. * * Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 NewWatcher   Tue Aug 23 2005 11:31 AM
. * * Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 Random Chaos   Tue Aug 23 2005 11:09 AM
. * * Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 Random Chaos   Tue Aug 23 2005 11:14 AM
. * * Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 pedro   Tue Aug 23 2005 10:15 AM

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