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Tropical Storm Watch issued for the Lower and Middle Florida Keys from Key West to W of Channel 5 Bridge, and for the Dry Tortugas #RAFAEL #FLWX
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 25 (Milton) , Major: 25 (Milton) Florida - Any: 25 (Milton) Major: 25 (Milton)
Rem Patty
ADV#10 11:00 am EDT
38.5N 16.2W
Wind: 35MPH
Pres: 999mb
Moving:
Ene at 17 mph
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TS Rafael
ADV#5A 6:00 pm EDT
15.8N 76.9W
Wind: 45MPH
Pres: 1000mb
Moving:
Nnw at 9 mph
Click for Storm Spotlight
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News Talkback >> 2005 News Talkbacks
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Clark
Meteorologist


Reged:
Posts: 1710
Re: Circulation
      Tue Aug 23 2005 02:08 PM

So far, the recon appears to traversing the circulation in a counterclockwise manner, flying from the west side of the storm around to the south side now. I'd place the center around 22N/74W -- still somewhat disorganized, maybe not entirely closed off but getting there -- generally drifting WNW. A microwave imager pass from earlier today suggested low-level banding features beginning to develop; the infrared & visible satellite images are beginning to catch up to that. Still broad and overall relatively weak, but it's got warm waters and low shear ahead of it. Scottsvb's post a little while ago pretty much sums up my track thinking for this one -- maybe a bit further south than Erin 1995 and in line with the UKMET & GFDL runs earlier today -- with intensity still up in the air. Interests in both Florida and the northern Gulf east of New Orleans need to watch this one.

The first two reports I have from near the storm suggest flight level winds on the west side of the storm of about 25kt and sea level pressures near 1010mb. It'll depend upon what they find on the east side of the system -- and whether there is definitively a closed low or not -- as to whether or not we have a TD at 5pm.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 MikeCAdministrator Tue Aug 23 2005 02:08 PM
. * * Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 Beaumont, TX   Tue Aug 23 2005 02:29 PM
. * * Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 Rabbit   Tue Aug 23 2005 02:35 PM
. * * Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 LoisCane   Tue Aug 23 2005 06:18 AM
. * * Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 Ron Basso   Tue Aug 23 2005 06:38 AM
. * * Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 Richie at work   Tue Aug 23 2005 07:04 AM
. * * Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 MissBecky   Tue Aug 23 2005 07:15 AM
. * * Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 Random Chaos   Tue Aug 23 2005 07:19 AM
. * * Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 Random Chaos   Tue Aug 23 2005 07:26 AM
. * * Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 J.C.   Tue Aug 23 2005 08:10 AM
. * * Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 emackl   Tue Aug 23 2005 08:15 AM
. * * Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 NewWatcher   Tue Aug 23 2005 08:19 AM
. * * Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 emackl   Tue Aug 23 2005 08:37 AM
. * * Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 Random Chaos   Tue Aug 23 2005 08:44 AM
. * * Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 Ed in Va   Tue Aug 23 2005 08:36 AM
. * * Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 NewWatcher   Tue Aug 23 2005 08:42 AM
. * * Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 NewWatcher   Tue Aug 23 2005 08:43 AM
. * * Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 emackl   Tue Aug 23 2005 08:38 AM
. * * Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 Rich B   Tue Aug 23 2005 08:48 AM
. * * Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 Ron Basso   Tue Aug 23 2005 08:55 AM
. * * Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 NONAME   Tue Aug 23 2005 09:08 AM
. * * Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 Ron Basso   Tue Aug 23 2005 09:15 AM
. * * visibles HanKFranK   Tue Aug 23 2005 09:43 AM
. * * What the H@#% Beach   Tue Aug 23 2005 10:03 AM
. * * Re: What the H@#% NONAME   Tue Aug 23 2005 10:08 AM
. * * Re: What the H@#% NewWatcher   Tue Aug 23 2005 10:30 AM
. * * Circulation Beach   Tue Aug 23 2005 10:22 AM
. * * Re: Circulation ftlaudbob   Tue Aug 23 2005 10:29 AM
. * * Re: Circulation Frank P   Tue Aug 23 2005 10:34 AM
. * * Re: Circulation NewWatcher   Tue Aug 23 2005 10:50 AM
. * * Re: Circulation NONAME   Tue Aug 23 2005 10:53 AM
. * * Re: Circulation Bloodstar   Tue Aug 23 2005 11:02 AM
. * * Re: Circulation Clark   Tue Aug 23 2005 11:21 AM
. * * Re: Circulation Frank P   Tue Aug 23 2005 10:52 AM
. * * Re: Circulation NewWatcher   Tue Aug 23 2005 10:56 AM
. * * Re: Circulation Beach   Tue Aug 23 2005 11:08 AM
. * * Re: Circulation Rabbit   Tue Aug 23 2005 11:22 AM
. * * Re: Circulation NewWatcher   Tue Aug 23 2005 11:27 AM
. * * Re: Circulation Jekyhe904   Tue Aug 23 2005 11:33 AM
. * * Re: Circulation NewWatcher   Tue Aug 23 2005 11:15 AM
. * * Re: Circulation Old Sailor   Tue Aug 23 2005 11:20 AM
. * * Re: Circulation NONAME   Tue Aug 23 2005 11:15 AM
. * * Re: Circulation MikeCAdministrator   Tue Aug 23 2005 11:42 AM
. * * Re: Circulation SkeetoBiteAdministrator   Tue Aug 23 2005 11:57 AM
. * * Re: QuikSCAT Bloodstar   Tue Aug 23 2005 11:51 AM
. * * Re: Circulation NONAME   Tue Aug 23 2005 11:49 AM
. * * Re: Circulation SkeetoBiteAdministrator   Tue Aug 23 2005 12:01 PM
. * * Re: Circulation MikeCAdministrator   Tue Aug 23 2005 12:14 PM
. * * Re: Circulation Thunderbird12   Tue Aug 23 2005 12:32 PM
. * * Re: Circulation Steve H1   Tue Aug 23 2005 12:31 PM
. * * Re: Circulation NONAME   Tue Aug 23 2005 12:26 PM
. * * Re: Circulation HURRICANELONNY   Tue Aug 23 2005 12:34 PM
. * * Re: Circulation pcola   Tue Aug 23 2005 12:46 PM
. * * Re: Circulation Jamiewx   Tue Aug 23 2005 12:38 PM
. * * Re: Circulation Big Red Machine   Tue Aug 23 2005 12:45 PM
. * * Re: Circulation Ron Basso   Tue Aug 23 2005 12:52 PM
. * * Re: Circulation Hootowl   Tue Aug 23 2005 01:32 PM
. * * Re: Circulation NONAME   Tue Aug 23 2005 01:35 PM
. * * Re: Circulation MikeCAdministrator   Tue Aug 23 2005 01:40 PM
. * * Re: Circulation VolusiaMike   Tue Aug 23 2005 01:43 PM
. * * Re: Circulation Clark   Tue Aug 23 2005 02:08 PM
. * * Different area of low pressure... Clark   Tue Aug 23 2005 02:39 PM
. * * Re: Different area of low pressure... scottsvb   Tue Aug 23 2005 02:47 PM
. * * agree with scott LoisCane   Tue Aug 23 2005 03:18 PM
. * * Re: Different area of low pressure... Rabbit   Tue Aug 23 2005 02:52 PM
. * * Re: Different area of low pressure... scottsvb   Tue Aug 23 2005 03:08 PM
. * * Re: Different area of low pressure... Ron Basso   Tue Aug 23 2005 02:45 PM
. * * TD 12 Big Red Machine   Tue Aug 23 2005 02:41 PM
. * * Re: TD 12 Rabbit   Tue Aug 23 2005 02:46 PM
. * * Re: Different area of low pressure... troy2   Tue Aug 23 2005 02:45 PM
. * * Re: TD 12 MikeCAdministrator   Tue Aug 23 2005 02:44 PM
. * * Re: Circulation Ron Basso   Tue Aug 23 2005 02:13 PM
. * * Re: Circulation Floridacane   Tue Aug 23 2005 02:21 PM
. * * Re: Circulation Thunderbird12   Tue Aug 23 2005 01:46 PM
. * * Re: Circulation *Killed -- Sent to Graveyard* hurrark   Tue Aug 23 2005 01:48 PM
. * * Re: Circulation VolusiaMike   Tue Aug 23 2005 01:56 PM
. * * Re: Circulation MikeCAdministrator   Tue Aug 23 2005 01:56 PM
. * * Re: Circulation damejune2   Tue Aug 23 2005 01:43 PM
. * * Re: Circulation NewWatcher   Tue Aug 23 2005 01:34 PM
. * * Re: Circulation Rabbit   Tue Aug 23 2005 01:54 PM
. * * Re: Circulation NONAME   Tue Aug 23 2005 01:56 PM
. * * Re: Circulation Wanna-Be-Storm-Chaser   Tue Aug 23 2005 01:02 PM
. * * Re: Circulation Ed in Va   Tue Aug 23 2005 01:04 PM
. * * JB Beach   Tue Aug 23 2005 01:09 PM
. * * Re: JB NewWatcher   Tue Aug 23 2005 01:12 PM
. * * Re: JB scottsvb   Tue Aug 23 2005 01:44 PM
. * * Re: Circulation Big Red Machine   Tue Aug 23 2005 12:59 PM
. * * Re: Circulation NewWatcher   Tue Aug 23 2005 12:51 PM
. * * Re: Circulation Steve   Tue Aug 23 2005 12:33 PM
. * * 99L Jamiewx   Tue Aug 23 2005 10:49 AM
. * * Re: Circulation Frank P   Tue Aug 23 2005 10:29 AM
. * * Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 emackl   Tue Aug 23 2005 09:32 AM
. * * Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 NONAME   Tue Aug 23 2005 09:39 AM
. * * Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 Rich B   Tue Aug 23 2005 09:04 AM
. * * Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 NewWatcher   Tue Aug 23 2005 08:50 AM
. * * Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 Beach   Tue Aug 23 2005 07:36 AM
. * * Disreguard the previous links. Beach   Tue Aug 23 2005 08:09 AM
. * * Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 NewWatcher   Tue Aug 23 2005 07:31 AM
. * * Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 Random Chaos   Tue Aug 23 2005 07:09 AM
. * * Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 Random Chaos   Tue Aug 23 2005 07:14 AM
. * * Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 pedro   Tue Aug 23 2005 06:15 AM

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