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News Talkback >> 2005 News Talkbacks

Clark
Meteorologist

Reged:
Posts: 1710

Different area of low pressure...
Tue Aug 23 2005 06:39 PM

Recon is reporting that the area of low pressure with the depression is not where satellite estimates had it pegged and is instead further north, at 23.5N or so. This places the center underneath a new band of curved convection forming SE of San Salvador and east of Rum Cay.

I expect this storm to be upgraded to a tropical depression at 5pm based upon the findings of a definitive closed center of low pressure. As recon has traversed the storm in a counterclockwise pattern, winds have come from the west-southwest on the southern side of the storm to the east on the north side of the circulation. Winds on the eastern side of the storm have been measured as high as 37kt at flight level (which here is about 240m ~ 750-800ft above the surface), with a pressure of about 1010mb. Given these reports, I estimate this will be a 30kt depression -- or, if it continues to organize -- Tropical Storm Katrina -- at 5pm. Still waiting on the first vortex report from the recon, but that isn't due until closer to 3pm as I recall.

Oh yeah -- 97L -- indications are that the low-level center may be reforming near a mid-level center embedded underneath the deep convection near 17.5N/35.5W. Despite lacking convection for quite some time, this storm has maintained excellent low-level banding features and now appears to be taking that next step towards development. It probably won't beat the Bahamas disturbance as I thought last night, but I do expect this to become a tropical storm before it gets to 45W...perhaps even 40W if the center is indeed reforming underneath the deep convection. Probably won't be upgraded at 5pm, but might at 11p if trends continue.

Got a feeling this place is going to get active again in quite a hurry...

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10	MikeC	Tue Aug 23 2005 06:39 PM
Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10	Beaumont, TX	Tue Aug 23 2005 06:29 PM
Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10	Rabbit	Tue Aug 23 2005 06:35 PM
Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10	LoisCane	Tue Aug 23 2005 10:18 AM
Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10	Ron Basso	Tue Aug 23 2005 10:38 AM
Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10	Richie at work	Tue Aug 23 2005 11:04 AM
Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10	MissBecky	Tue Aug 23 2005 11:15 AM
Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10	Random Chaos	Tue Aug 23 2005 11:19 AM
Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10	Random Chaos	Tue Aug 23 2005 11:26 AM
Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10	J.C.	Tue Aug 23 2005 12:10 PM
Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10	emackl	Tue Aug 23 2005 12:15 PM
Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10	NewWatcher	Tue Aug 23 2005 12:19 PM
Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10	emackl	Tue Aug 23 2005 12:37 PM
Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10	Random Chaos	Tue Aug 23 2005 12:44 PM
Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10	Ed in Va	Tue Aug 23 2005 12:36 PM
Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10	NewWatcher	Tue Aug 23 2005 12:42 PM
Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10	NewWatcher	Tue Aug 23 2005 12:43 PM
Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10	emackl	Tue Aug 23 2005 12:38 PM
Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10	Rich B	Tue Aug 23 2005 12:48 PM
Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10	Ron Basso	Tue Aug 23 2005 12:55 PM
Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10	NONAME	Tue Aug 23 2005 01:08 PM
Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10	Ron Basso	Tue Aug 23 2005 01:15 PM
visibles	HanKFranK	Tue Aug 23 2005 01:43 PM
What the H@#%	Beach	Tue Aug 23 2005 02:03 PM
Re: What the H@#%	NONAME	Tue Aug 23 2005 02:08 PM
Re: What the H@#%	NewWatcher	Tue Aug 23 2005 02:30 PM
Circulation	Beach	Tue Aug 23 2005 02:22 PM
Re: Circulation	ftlaudbob	Tue Aug 23 2005 02:29 PM
Re: Circulation	Frank P	Tue Aug 23 2005 02:34 PM
Re: Circulation	NewWatcher	Tue Aug 23 2005 02:50 PM
Re: Circulation	NONAME	Tue Aug 23 2005 02:53 PM
Re: Circulation	Bloodstar	Tue Aug 23 2005 03:02 PM
Re: Circulation	Clark	Tue Aug 23 2005 03:21 PM
Re: Circulation	Frank P	Tue Aug 23 2005 02:52 PM
Re: Circulation	NewWatcher	Tue Aug 23 2005 02:56 PM
Re: Circulation	Beach	Tue Aug 23 2005 03:08 PM
Re: Circulation	Rabbit	Tue Aug 23 2005 03:22 PM
Re: Circulation	NewWatcher	Tue Aug 23 2005 03:27 PM
Re: Circulation	Jekyhe904	Tue Aug 23 2005 03:33 PM
Re: Circulation	NewWatcher	Tue Aug 23 2005 03:15 PM
Re: Circulation	Old Sailor	Tue Aug 23 2005 03:20 PM
Re: Circulation	NONAME	Tue Aug 23 2005 03:15 PM
Re: Circulation	MikeC	Tue Aug 23 2005 03:42 PM
Re: Circulation	SkeetoBite	Tue Aug 23 2005 03:57 PM
Re: QuikSCAT	Bloodstar	Tue Aug 23 2005 03:51 PM
Re: Circulation	NONAME	Tue Aug 23 2005 03:49 PM
Re: Circulation	SkeetoBite	Tue Aug 23 2005 04:01 PM
Re: Circulation	MikeC	Tue Aug 23 2005 04:14 PM
Re: Circulation	Thunderbird12	Tue Aug 23 2005 04:32 PM
Re: Circulation	Steve H1	Tue Aug 23 2005 04:31 PM
Re: Circulation	NONAME	Tue Aug 23 2005 04:26 PM
Re: Circulation	HURRICANELONNY	Tue Aug 23 2005 04:34 PM
Re: Circulation	pcola	Tue Aug 23 2005 04:46 PM
Re: Circulation	Jamiewx	Tue Aug 23 2005 04:38 PM
Re: Circulation	Big Red Machine	Tue Aug 23 2005 04:45 PM
Re: Circulation	Ron Basso	Tue Aug 23 2005 04:52 PM
Re: Circulation	Hootowl	Tue Aug 23 2005 05:32 PM
Re: Circulation	NONAME	Tue Aug 23 2005 05:35 PM
Re: Circulation	MikeC	Tue Aug 23 2005 05:40 PM
Re: Circulation	VolusiaMike	Tue Aug 23 2005 05:43 PM
Re: Circulation	Clark	Tue Aug 23 2005 06:08 PM
Different area of low pressure...	Clark	Tue Aug 23 2005 06:39 PM
Re: Different area of low pressure...	scottsvb	Tue Aug 23 2005 06:47 PM
agree with scott	LoisCane	Tue Aug 23 2005 07:18 PM
Re: Different area of low pressure...	Rabbit	Tue Aug 23 2005 06:52 PM
Re: Different area of low pressure...	scottsvb	Tue Aug 23 2005 07:08 PM
Re: Different area of low pressure...	Ron Basso	Tue Aug 23 2005 06:45 PM
TD 12	Big Red Machine	Tue Aug 23 2005 06:41 PM
Re: TD 12	Rabbit	Tue Aug 23 2005 06:46 PM
Re: Different area of low pressure...	troy2	Tue Aug 23 2005 06:45 PM
Re: TD 12	MikeC	Tue Aug 23 2005 06:44 PM
Re: Circulation	Ron Basso	Tue Aug 23 2005 06:13 PM
Re: Circulation	Floridacane	Tue Aug 23 2005 06:21 PM
Re: Circulation	Thunderbird12	Tue Aug 23 2005 05:46 PM
Re: Circulation Killed -- Sent to Graveyard	hurrark	Tue Aug 23 2005 05:48 PM
Re: Circulation	VolusiaMike	Tue Aug 23 2005 05:56 PM
Re: Circulation	MikeC	Tue Aug 23 2005 05:56 PM
Re: Circulation	damejune2	Tue Aug 23 2005 05:43 PM
Re: Circulation	NewWatcher	Tue Aug 23 2005 05:34 PM
Re: Circulation	Rabbit	Tue Aug 23 2005 05:54 PM
Re: Circulation	NONAME	Tue Aug 23 2005 05:56 PM
Re: Circulation	Wanna-Be-Storm-Chaser	Tue Aug 23 2005 05:02 PM
Re: Circulation	Ed in Va	Tue Aug 23 2005 05:04 PM
JB	Beach	Tue Aug 23 2005 05:09 PM
Re: JB	NewWatcher	Tue Aug 23 2005 05:12 PM
Re: JB	scottsvb	Tue Aug 23 2005 05:44 PM
Re: Circulation	Big Red Machine	Tue Aug 23 2005 04:59 PM
Re: Circulation	NewWatcher	Tue Aug 23 2005 04:51 PM
Re: Circulation	Steve	Tue Aug 23 2005 04:33 PM
99L	Jamiewx	Tue Aug 23 2005 02:49 PM
Re: Circulation	Frank P	Tue Aug 23 2005 02:29 PM
Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10	emackl	Tue Aug 23 2005 01:32 PM
Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10	NONAME	Tue Aug 23 2005 01:39 PM
Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10	Rich B	Tue Aug 23 2005 01:04 PM
Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10	NewWatcher	Tue Aug 23 2005 12:50 PM
Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10	Beach	Tue Aug 23 2005 11:36 AM
Disreguard the previous links.	Beach	Tue Aug 23 2005 12:09 PM
Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10	NewWatcher	Tue Aug 23 2005 11:31 AM
Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10	Random Chaos	Tue Aug 23 2005 11:09 AM
Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10	Random Chaos	Tue Aug 23 2005 11:14 AM
Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10	pedro	Tue Aug 23 2005 10:15 AM

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