From this afternoons NWS HPC Extended Weather discussion:
EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD 218 PM EDT TUE AUG 23 2005
VALID 12Z FRI AUG 26 2005 - 12Z TUE AUG 30 2005
FINAL MEDIUM RANGE DISCUSSION...
TO THE SOUTH OF THESE HIGHER LAT ANOMALIES...MID LEVEL HTS ARE FCST TO BE NEAR NORMAL IN A FLAT RIDGE ACRS THE SRN TIER OF THE NATION. THE STRENGTH OF THIS RIDGE AND THE DEGREE OF WEAKENESS IN IT WL BE CRUCIAL FOR THE TRACK OF THE AREA OF TROPICAL WEATHER INVOF THE BAHAMAS THAT MAY AFFECT FL AND THE NERN AND NCNTRL GULF THIS PERIOD. THE MAJORITY OF THE MED RANGE GUIDANCE INDICATE THIS LOW MOVG ACRS THE SRN PORTION OF THE FL PENINSULA AND INTO THE ERN GULF BY LATE IN THE WEEK AS IT CONTS ON THE S SIDE OF THE WEAK UPR RIDGE. THE GFS CONTS TO BE ON THE RT HAND SIDE OF THE MODEL SOLNS IN SHOWING A TRACK ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FL FRI-SUN AND THEN ALONG THE SERN COAST MON-TUE. THE ONE THING ALL THE MODELS DO AGREE ON IS THAT THERE WL BE EVENTUAL WEAKENESS IN THIS UPR RIDGE FROM THE STREAM OF STRONG SYSTEMS PUSHING IN THE NRN STREAM ALONG THE U.S./CAN BORDER. THIS WOULD THEN SUPPORT A MORE NWD COMPONENT TO THE TRACK AND POSSIBLE EFFECTS FOR THE ERN GULF COAST. THE LATEST MED RANGE PROGS ARE FOLLOWING THE TPC PREFERRED AND MODEL CONSENSUS SOLN...ALBEIT SLOWER...IN PUSHING ACRS SCNTRL FL FRI-SAT (DAYS 3-4)..INTO THE ERN GULF BY SUN (DAY 5). AT THIS POINT THE ADVERTISED WEAKNESS IN THE E-W RIDGE ALONG THE GULF SHOULD ALLOW FOR A MORE NWD COMPONENT TO THE TRACK...WITH A THREAT FOR THE CNTRL TO ERN GULF COASTAL AREA BY THE BEGINNNING OF NEXT WEEK. SEE LATEST TPC DISCUSSIONS FOR LATEST UPDATES ON THIS STORMS POTENTIAL.
0 registered and 171 anonymous users are browsing this forum.
Moderator:
Forum Permissions
You cannot start new topics
You cannot reply to topics
HTML is disabled
UBBCode is enabled
Rating:
Thread views: 23907
Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources.
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well.
Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center
Previous
Index
Next
Flat
Re: Different area of low pressure...
Edit
Reply
Quote
