The biggest question about intensity once it reaches the gulf is how much is the inner windfields disrupted by the travel over land. Even as flat as florida is, we're still looking at a relatively small and weak system (hopefully) so it could keep some windspeed, but I think the storm will be slow to intensify in the gulf simply trying to put itself back together.
just my two cents -Mark
-------------------- M. S. Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Georgia Tech - May 2020
NOAA MADIS/HADS Programmer
U. Arizona PhD Student
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